Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TWELVE-24
in Vanuatu

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TWELVE-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 61 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (10 Feb 02:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Vanuatu)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 61 km/h 0.2 m 86 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 68 km/h 0.3 m 360 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

68 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 10 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Feb 2024 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Feb 2024 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Feb 2024 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Feb 2024 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Feb 2024 00:00 68 -
- - - - - Solomon Islands
GREEN 6 09 Feb 2024 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Feb 2024 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Feb 2024 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 Feb 2024 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmTuvalu, Solomon Islands, Fiji267,795
+
Solomon Islands27,921 
Tuvalu7,173 
Fiji232,700 
50-100 mmPapua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, Tuvalu, Wallis and Futuna, Fiji744,468
+
Papua New Guinea17,757 
Solomon Islands106,280 
Tuvalu2,742 
Wallis and Futuna3,947 
Fiji613,739 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Feb 2024 00:00 141 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Feb 2024 06:00 217 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Feb 2024 12:00 230 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Feb 2024 18:00 96 -
- - - - - Solomon Islands
Blue 5 09 Feb 2024 00:00 95 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 09 Feb 2024 06:00 51 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Feb 2024 12:00 98 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 09 Feb 2024 18:00 166 -
- - - - - Wallis and Futuna
Blue 9 10 Feb 2024 00:00 280 270 thousand
- - - - Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, Tuvalu, Wallis and Futuna, Fiji




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Lautoka, Fiji. This height is estimated for 10 Feb 2024 02:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 Feb 2024 02:45 Lautoka Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 02:45 Nailanga Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 02:45 Sorokoba Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 02:45 Ba Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 03:00 Navinggiri Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 03:00 Yangganga Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 03:00 Ndalomo Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 03:00 Nawailevu Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 03:00 Nasarowangga Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 03:00 Navindamu Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 02:45 Natunuka Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 02:30 Korosi Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 02:30 Korotasere Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 02:30 Naweni Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 02:30 Nakarambo Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 02:30 Viani Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 02:30 Ndrekeniwai Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 02:30 Mbangasau Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 02:30 Malake Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 03:15 Nagumu Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 02:30 Lao Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 02:15 Biagunu Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 02:15 Nailou Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 02:15 Nawi Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 02:15 Vunikura Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Korovou Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Lodoni Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Naimasimasi Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Lawaki Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Ucunivanua Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Navuti Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Nasaga Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Rukuruku Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Lovoni Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Nauouo Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Levuka Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 05:30 Tiabet New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 05:30 Poum-Plage New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 05:45 Poro New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 05:45 Kouaoua New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 02:15 Namboutini Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 05:00 Galoa Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 05:00 Yanutha Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 05:00 Matavuralevu Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 05:00 Pacific Harbour Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 05:00 Waisomo Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 05:00 Dakuimbeqa Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 05:00 Lalati Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 05:00 Navua Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 05:00 Naitionitoni Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 05:00 Mau Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Naingani Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 02:45 Nalauwaki Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 02:45 Soso Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 02:45 Somosomo Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 05:00 Paita New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 05:00 Nouville New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 05:00 Noumea New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 05:00 Dumbea New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 05:00 Comm. du Mont-Dore New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 05:00 Saint-Louis New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 05:00 Plum New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 02:45 Rakiraki Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 02:45 Vaileka Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 02:45 Nanukuloa Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 02:45 Nasau Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 02:45 Nayavutoka Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 03:15 Koroinasolo Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 03:15 Savu Sau Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 03:00 Solevu Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 03:00 Momi Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 03:00 Nadi Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 03:00 Namaka Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 03:00 Nanduri Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 03:00 Vatutandova Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 03:15 Tavua Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:15 Napuka Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 03:15 Rabulu Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:45 Nasea Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:45 Vunivatu Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:45 Navukembuli Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:45 Matayalevu Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:45 Matacawalevu Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:45 Sisili Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 03:15 Togowere Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 03:15 Nacula Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 03:15 Navotua Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 03:15 Tamusua Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 03:15 Teci Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 03:15 Mbukama Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 03:15 Yasawairara Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Saint-Denis New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Poindimie New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Ometteux New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Ponerihouen New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Bayes New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 06:00 Mou New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:30 Utanlangi Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:30 Nekapa Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:30 Emua Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:30 Laonomoa Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:30 Onesoua Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:30 Marow Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:30 Ebao Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 04:15 Rave-rave Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 04:15 Ndawara Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 04:15 Waisa Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 04:15 Natua Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 04:15 Mbangata Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 05:45 Kasavu Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 05:45 Nausori Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 05:45 Cautata Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 05:45 Dromuna Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 00:00 Yandina Solomon Islands  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:45 Tavua Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:30 Naua Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:30 Namukalau Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:30 Tawake Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:45 Ndenimanu Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:45 Vangai Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:30 Forari Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:45 Nikaura Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:45 Tavio Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:45 Leman Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:45 Votlo Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:45 Mate Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:45 Nul Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:45 Filakara Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:45 Lambukuti Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:15 Makatea Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:15 Moeriou Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:15 Kouroumanpe Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:15 Mangarisu Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:15 Leiwoma Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:30 Nukusa Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:30 Nambouono Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:15 Matao Tiupeniu Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:15 Natapao Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:15 Epantgouei Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:15 Erakor Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:15 Port-Havannah Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:15 Mele Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:15 Port-Vila Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:15 Nanguile Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:15 Montmartre Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:15 Eratap Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 03:00 Naruwai Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 03:00 Nabouwalu Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 01:15 Lamarou Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 01:15 Paia Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 01:15 Vaoleli Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 01:15 Tafouale Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 01:15 Pawe Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 01:15 Liro Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 01:15 Ignal Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 01:15 Lulep Nesa Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 01:15 Endu Pahakol Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 01:15 Toak Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 01:15 Halos Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 00:00 Mbomboe Solomon Islands  0.1
10 Feb 2024 00:00 Sulimuni Solomon Islands  0.1
10 Feb 2024 00:00 Mbanga Solomon Islands  0.1
10 Feb 2024 00:00 Menakasapa Solomon Islands  0.1
10 Feb 2024 00:00 Canaan Solomon Islands  0.1
10 Feb 2024 00:00 Mbiula Solomon Islands  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:15 Boloa Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:15 Mangita Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:15 Malakof Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 03:00 Potnarvin Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 03:00 Ipota Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:15 Rampunalvat Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 01:15 Olal Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 01:15 Lonbilingdoun Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 03:00 Umpon Mompu Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 03:00 Yawisaghuwi Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 03:00 Ifo Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 03:00 Epuen Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 05:30 Nasilai Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 02:00 Sounai Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 01:15 Ranvetlam Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 01:15 Linbul Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 01:15 Fonwor Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 01:15 Port-Vato Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 01:15 Fali Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 01:15 Yelowouwou Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 01:15 Yaotilie Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 04:30 Prony New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 04:30 Ouara New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 04:30 Goro New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 01:15 Rerep Vanuatu  0.1