Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TWELVE-24
in Vanuatu

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TWELVE-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (09 Feb 13:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Vanuatu)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 58 km/h 0.3 m 98 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 68 km/h 0.3 m 360 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

68 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 09 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Feb 2024 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Feb 2024 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Feb 2024 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Feb 2024 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Feb 2024 00:00 68 -
- - - - - Solomon Islands
GREEN 6 09 Feb 2024 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Feb 2024 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmPapua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, Tuvalu, Wallis and Futuna, Fiji191,231
+
Solomon Islands15,505 
Papua New Guinea318 
Tuvalu21 
Fiji171,437 
Wallis and Futuna3,947 
50-100 mmSolomon Islands, Papua New Guinea, Tuvalu, Fiji1,031,750
+
Solomon Islands383,606 
Papua New Guinea22,041 
Tuvalu9,495 
Fiji616,606 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Feb 2024 00:00 141 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Feb 2024 06:00 217 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Feb 2024 12:00 230 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Feb 2024 18:00 96 -
- - - - - Solomon Islands
Blue 5 09 Feb 2024 00:00 95 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 09 Feb 2024 06:00 51 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Feb 2024 12:00 332 190 thousand
- - - - Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea, Tuvalu, Fiji, Wallis and Futuna




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Korosi, Fiji. This height is estimated for 09 Feb 2024 13:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Feb 2024 13:45 Korosi Fiji  0.3
09 Feb 2024 13:45 Korotasere Fiji  0.3
09 Feb 2024 13:45 Naweni Fiji  0.3
09 Feb 2024 13:45 Nakarambo Fiji  0.3
09 Feb 2024 13:45 Viani Fiji  0.3
09 Feb 2024 13:45 Ndrekeniwai Fiji  0.3
09 Feb 2024 13:45 Mbangasau Fiji  0.3
09 Feb 2024 13:45 Malake Fiji  0.3
09 Feb 2024 13:45 Lao Fiji  0.3
09 Feb 2024 13:45 Biagunu Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 13:45 Nailou Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 13:45 Nawi Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 13:45 Vunikura Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 13:30 Namboutini Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 18:00 Navinggiri Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 18:00 Yangganga Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 18:00 Ndalomo Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 18:00 Nawailevu Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 18:00 Nasarowangga Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 18:00 Navindamu Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 13:30 Napuka Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 16:45 Galoa Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 16:45 Yanutha Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 16:45 Matavuralevu Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 16:45 Pacific Harbour Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 16:45 Waisomo Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 16:45 Dakuimbeqa Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 16:45 Lalati Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 16:45 Navua Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 16:45 Naitionitoni Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 16:45 Mau Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 12:45 Nailanga Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 12:45 Sorokoba Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 12:45 Ba Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 12:45 Natunuka Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 12:45 Lautoka Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:15 Korovou Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:15 Lodoni Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:15 Naimasimasi Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:15 Lawaki Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:15 Ucunivanua Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:15 Navuti Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:15 Nasaga Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:15 Rukuruku Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:15 Lovoni Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:15 Nauouo Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:15 Levuka Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:30 Nagumu Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:30 Nanduri Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:30 Vatutandova Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:45 Rakiraki Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:45 Vaileka Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:45 Nanukuloa Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:45 Nasau Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:30 Vangai Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 18:00 Tiabet New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 18:00 Poum-Plage New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 16:30 Nayavutoka Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:30 Naingani Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:30 Utanlangi Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:30 Nekapa Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:30 Emua Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:30 Laonomoa Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:30 Onesoua Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:30 Marow Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:30 Ebao Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 12:00 Yandina Solomon Islands  0.1
09 Feb 2024 18:00 Ouinne New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 18:00 Mamie New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:30 Nasea Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:30 Vunivatu Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:30 Navukembuli Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 16:45 Faroun Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 16:45 Rerep Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 16:45 Lambulmbatuei Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 16:45 Meriver Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 16:45 Bourbar Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 16:45 Lamap Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 16:45 Fali Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Burumba Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Ponkovia Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Lamarou Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Lamen Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Paia Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Vaoleli Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Tafouale Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Liro Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Nikaura Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Tavio Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Ignal Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Lulep Nesa Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Leman Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Mate Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Halos Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Votlo Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Nul Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Filakara Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Lambukuti Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Moeriou Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 18:00 Natapao Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 18:00 Port-Havannah Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 18:00 Sounai Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:15 Rave-rave Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:15 Ndawara Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:15 Waisa Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:15 Natua Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:15 Mbangata Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:15 Poum New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:15 Arama New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Valesdir Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Manpay Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Peskarus Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:30 Naua Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:30 Namukalau Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:30 Tawake Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:30 Saint-Denis New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:30 Poindimie New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:30 Ometteux New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:30 Ponerihouen New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:30 Bayes New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:30 Mou New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Boloa Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Mangita Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Makatea Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:30 Matao Tiupeniu Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 18:00 Melip Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 18:00 Malfakhal Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Epantgouei Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Erakor Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Mele Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Port-Vila Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Nanguile Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 15:30 Paita New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 15:30 Nouville New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 15:30 Noumea New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 15:30 Dumbea New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 15:30 Comm. du Mont-Dore New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 15:30 Saint-Louis New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 15:30 Plum New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Port-Vato Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 18:00 Wintua Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Pawe Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:30 Montmartre Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:30 Eratap Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 18:00 Tavendrua Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Malakof Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:00 Toak Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Endu Pahakol Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Yelowouwou Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Yaotilie Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:15 Tenmaru Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:15 Ellarmo Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:15 Brenwe Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:15 Mae Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:15 Laravet Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:15 Vinmavis Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:15 Norsup Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:15 Lakatoro Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:15 Katbol Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:30 Potnarvin Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:30 Ipota Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Kouroumanpe Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Mangarisu Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Leiwoma Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:00 Kasavu Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:00 Cautata Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:15 Wowo Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:15 Asavagas Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:15 Laruru Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:15 Vao Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 12:00 Torakina Papua New Guinea  0.1
09 Feb 2024 12:00 Koiaris Papua New Guinea  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:45 Forari Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 12:45 Ambuavao Solomon Islands  0.1
09 Feb 2024 12:45 Ghorambau Solomon Islands  0.1
09 Feb 2024 12:45 Komuvadha Solomon Islands  0.1
09 Feb 2024 12:45 Ngalikomba Solomon Islands  0.1
09 Feb 2024 12:45 Komukea Solomon Islands  0.1
09 Feb 2024 12:45 Kulu Solomon Islands  0.1
09 Feb 2024 12:45 Mbokoaghau Solomon Islands  0.1
09 Feb 2024 12:45 Tambunimane Solomon Islands  0.1
09 Feb 2024 12:45 Mbelasara Solomon Islands  0.1
09 Feb 2024 12:45 Vanuagobu Solomon Islands  0.1
09 Feb 2024 12:45 Aola Solomon Islands  0.1
09 Feb 2024 12:45 Komunimboko Solomon Islands  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:00 Umpon Mompu Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:00 Yawisaghuwi Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:00 Ifo Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:30 Saint-Gabriel New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:30 Saint Roch New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:30 Ngoye New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 17:30 Petit-Borindi New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 16:45 Segond Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:15 Poro New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 13:15 Kouaoua New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 16:30 Limap Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 16:30 Roghumbo Vanuatu  0.1