Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for FIFTEEN-19 in Cape Verde from 14 Oct 2019 21:00 UTC to 16 Oct 2019 09:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FIFTEEN-19

in Cape Verde

16 Oct 2019 06 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FIFTEEN-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	40 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (16 Oct 23:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	40 km/h	0.2 m	44 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	72 km/h	0.2 m	215 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

72 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 16 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	14 Oct 2019 18:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	15 Oct 2019 00:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	15 Oct 2019 06:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	15 Oct 2019 12:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	15 Oct 2019 18:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	16 Oct 2019 00:00	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	16 Oct 2019 06:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 16 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	14 Oct 2019 18:00	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	15 Oct 2019 00:00	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	15 Oct 2019 06:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	15 Oct 2019 12:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	15 Oct 2019 18:00	62	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	16 Oct 2019 00:00	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	16 Oct 2019 06:00	60	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in El Mamghar, Mauritania. This height is estimated for 16 Oct 2019 23:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	16 Oct 2019 23:00	El Mamghar	Mauritania	0.2
	16 Oct 2019 21:15	Ponta Gardele	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:15	Conlumo	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:15	Bissau	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:15	Antula	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:15	Birte	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:15	Cumere	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:15	Ilheu do Mancebo	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:15	Oco Grande	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:15	Nhala de Baixo	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:15	Nhala de Cima	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:15	Santa Joana	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:15	Fei	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:15	Fortuna	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:15	Biogate	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:15	Enxude	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:15	Foia	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:15	Enchude	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:15	Mato Grande	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:15	Gambacar Nancho	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:15	Gambinta	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:15	Cabame	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:15	Farancunda	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:15	Nova Sintra	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:15	Belai	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 21:15	Gantongo	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Pissangue	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Benanga	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Injante	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Nanga	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Cuiane	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Anga	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Nago	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Botai	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Ondame	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Acuno	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Chedia	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Blom	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Cassaca	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Omaia	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Metampil	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Iofa	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Tepil	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Bissa	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Bucomil	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Ponto Compito	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:00	Cajegute	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:00	Chanto	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:00	Dapatai	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:00	Quinhamel	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Tingaga	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Amboje	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Ampincha	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Baloma de Baixo	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Uato Mandinga	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Uato Fula	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Ponta Doce Mancanha	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Ga Moria	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Canema	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Pecete	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Bolama	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Sao Joao	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Santa Maria	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Ga Eugenia	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Ga Maior de Baixo	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Ga Maior Beafada	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 22:00	Cabaceira	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:00	Binte	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 19:45	Intindumbo	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 19:45	Gantumane	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 19:45	Ganchombe	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 19:45	Madina de Baixo	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 19:45	Ganture	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 19:45	Tabanca Nova	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 19:45	Sancoma	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 19:45	Bigine	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 19:45	Mansaba	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 19:45	Darsalame	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 19:45	Ganafa	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 19:45	Paiunco	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 19:45	Camaga	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 19:45	Umpoloco	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 19:45	Ponta Filipe	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 19:45	Tema	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 19:45	Pobreza	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	18 Oct 2019 19:45	Canchungozinho	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:00	Bagongo	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:00	Quecete	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:00	Betelhe	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:00	Acubede	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:00	Bichau	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:00	Anipoco	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:00	Ambacana	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:00	Acampamento	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:00	Ametite	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:00	Anchorupe	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:00	Ancano	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Bijilo	The Gambia	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Sara Job Kunda	The Gambia	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Sukuta	The Gambia	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Kololj	The Gambia	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Fajara	The Gambia	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Bununka Kunda	The Gambia	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Manjal Kunda	The Gambia	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Jeswang	The Gambia	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Latra Kunda	The Gambia	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Bakau	The Gambia	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Talingding Kunjang	The Gambia	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Abuko	The Gambia	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Lamin	The Gambia	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Kerewan	The Gambia	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Mandinari	The Gambia	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Banjul	The Gambia	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Bandiala	Senegal	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Bandiaia	Senegal	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Barra	The Gambia	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Djinak	Senegal	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Ginak Kajata	The Gambia	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Essau	The Gambia	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Niji	The Gambia	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Myamba	The Gambia	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Kanuma	The Gambia	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	M'Bengkama	The Gambia	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Tuba Kolong	The Gambia	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Sittanunku	The Gambia	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Aljamdu	The Gambia	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Lamin	The Gambia	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:00	Suro	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:00	Petate	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:00	Prabis	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:00	Oco	Guinea-Bissau	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.