Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TWELVE-24
in Vanuatu

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TWELVE-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 61 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (09 Feb 09:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Vanuatu)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 61 km/h 0.2 m 51 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 68 km/h 0.3 m 360 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

68 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 09 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Feb 2024 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Feb 2024 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Feb 2024 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Feb 2024 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Feb 2024 00:00 68 -
- - - - - Solomon Islands
GREEN 6 09 Feb 2024 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmPapua New Guinea, Tuvalu, Wallis and Futuna, Fiji31,400
+
Papua New Guinea10,752 
Tuvalu21 
Fiji16,678 
Wallis and Futuna3,947 
50-100 mmSolomon Islands, Papua New Guinea, Tuvalu, Fiji, Vanuatu1,176,427
+
Solomon Islands395,710 
Papua New Guinea7,322 
Tuvalu9,032 
Fiji758,681 
Vanuatu5,680 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Feb 2024 00:00 141 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Feb 2024 06:00 217 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Feb 2024 12:00 230 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Feb 2024 18:00 96 -
- - - - - Solomon Islands
Blue 5 09 Feb 2024 00:00 95 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 09 Feb 2024 06:00 315 30 thousand
- - - - Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea, Tuvalu, Fiji, Wallis and Futuna, Vanuatu




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Nailanga, Fiji. This height is estimated for 09 Feb 2024 09:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Nailanga Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Sorokoba Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Ba Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Natunuka Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 10:00 Tiabet New Caledonia  0.2
09 Feb 2024 10:00 Poum-Plage New Caledonia  0.2
09 Feb 2024 10:30 Korosi Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 10:30 Korotasere Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 10:30 Naweni Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 10:30 Nakarambo Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 10:30 Viani Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 10:30 Ndrekeniwai Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 10:30 Mbangasau Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 08:30 Lautoka Fiji  0.2
09 Feb 2024 10:30 Malake Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 07:15 Prony New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 07:15 Ouara New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 07:15 Goro New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Houone New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 10:00 Galoa Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 10:00 Yanutha Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 10:00 Matavuralevu Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 10:00 Pacific Harbour Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 10:00 Waisomo Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 10:00 Dakuimbeqa Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 10:00 Lalati Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 10:00 Navua Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 10:00 Naitionitoni Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 10:00 Mau Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 10:30 Lao Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Saint-Gabriel New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Saint Roch New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Ngoye New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Petit-Borindi New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:45 Poum New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:45 Arama New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 10:45 Yandina Solomon Islands  0.1
09 Feb 2024 11:45 Torakina Papua New Guinea  0.1
09 Feb 2024 11:45 Koiaris Papua New Guinea  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:00 Tavua Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Panane New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Mouane New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Ono New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Wala New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Bweo New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Pairome New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 07:00 Paita New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 07:00 Nouville New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 07:00 Noumea New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 07:00 Dumbea New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 07:00 Comm. du Mont-Dore New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 07:00 Saint-Louis New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 07:00 Plum New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Nikaura Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Tavio Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Leman Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Votlo Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Mate Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Nul Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Filakara Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Lambukuti Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 08:15 Nawailevu Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 08:15 Nasarowangga Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 08:15 Navindamu Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 11:45 Jaba Papua New Guinea  0.1
09 Feb 2024 08:45 Poro New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 08:45 Kouaoua New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 10:15 Biagunu Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Utanlangi Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Nekapa Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Emua Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Laonomoa Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Onesoua Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Marow Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Ebao Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 08:45 Rabulu Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Nanduri Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Vatutandova Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Rakiraki Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Vaileka Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Nanukuloa Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Nasau Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 10:15 Korovou Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 10:15 Lodoni Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 10:15 Lawaki Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 10:15 Ucunivanua Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 10:15 Naingani Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 10:15 Navuti Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 10:15 Nasaga Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 10:15 Rukuruku Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 08:45 Koroinasolo Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 08:45 Navinggiri Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 08:45 Ndalomo Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 08:45 Naruwai Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 08:45 Nabouwalu Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 08:45 Ouinne New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 08:45 Mamie New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 11:15 Konua Papua New Guinea  0.1
09 Feb 2024 11:15 Sipai Papua New Guinea  0.1
09 Feb 2024 11:15 Amun Papua New Guinea  0.1
09 Feb 2024 11:15 Kuraio Mission Papua New Guinea  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Nagumu Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 11:15 Puto Papua New Guinea  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Nayavutoka Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:00 Wowo Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:00 Asavagas Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:00 Laruru Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:00 Vao Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 10:30 Naimasimasi Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 10:30 Lovoni Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 10:30 Nauouo Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 10:30 Levuka Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Wintua Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 10:45 Nailou Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 10:45 Nawi Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 10:45 Vunikura Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Melip Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Tavendrua Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Balaide New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Saint-Paul New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Pouebo New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Yambe New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Diahoue New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Colnett New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 08:45 Togowere Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:00 Mou New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:00 Moneo New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:00 Ho New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:00 Meomo New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Malfakhal Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Ellarmo Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Brenwe Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Vinmavis Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Laravet Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Matao Tiupeniu Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Natapao Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Epantgouei Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Erakor Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Port-Havannah Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Mele Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Port-Vila Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Nanguile Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Montmartre Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Eratap Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Norsup Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Lakatoro Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Katbol Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Manpay Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Boloa Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Mangita Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Makatea Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Tenmaru Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Sounai Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Peskarus Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Mae Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Valesdir Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Faroun Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Meriver Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Bourbar Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:15 Lamap Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Burumba Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Ponkovia Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Abnetare Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Segond Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Luganville Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Palikoulo Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 08:45 Nalauwaki Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 08:45 Soso Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 08:45 Somosomo Fiji  0.1
09 Feb 2024 07:15 Moisuru Papua New Guinea  0.1
09 Feb 2024 07:15 East Pt Papua New Guinea  0.1
09 Feb 2024 07:15 Olava Papua New Guinea  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Olo Olo Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Tasiriki Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Wailapo Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 08:45 Lamarou Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 08:45 Paia Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 08:45 Vaoleli Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 08:45 Tafouale Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 08:45 Pawe Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 08:45 Liro Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 08:45 Ignal Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 08:45 Lulep Nesa Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 08:45 Endu Pahakol Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 08:45 Toak Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 08:45 Halos Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Moeriou Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:00 Saint-Denis New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:00 Poindimie New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:00 Ometteux New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:00 Bayes New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Lamen Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 11:00 Harapa Solomon Islands  0.1
09 Feb 2024 11:00 Kamaleai Solomon Islands  0.1
09 Feb 2024 11:00 Koliai Solomon Islands  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Youelapa Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 08:45 Houailou New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 08:45 Ouakaya New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:00 Wadrilla New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:00 Wegnec St-Joseph New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:00 Teouta New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:00 Ognat New Caledonia  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Losoue Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 08:45 Port-Vato Vanuatu  0.1
09 Feb 2024 09:30 Malakof Vanuatu  0.1