Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for FIFTEEN-19 in Cape Verde from 14 Oct 2019 21:00 UTC to 16 Oct 2019 09:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FIFTEEN-19

in Cape Verde

15 Oct 2019 06 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FIFTEEN-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	54 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (17 Oct 01:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	54 km/h	0.2 m	72 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	72 km/h	0.2 m	215 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

72 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 15 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	14 Oct 2019 18:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	15 Oct 2019 00:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	15 Oct 2019 06:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 15 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	14 Oct 2019 18:00	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	15 Oct 2019 00:00	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	15 Oct 2019 06:00	189	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in El Mamghar, Mauritania. This height is estimated for 17 Oct 2019 01:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	17 Oct 2019 01:15	El Mamghar	Mauritania	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Uato Mandinga	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Uato Fula	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Ponta Doce Mancanha	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Ga Moria	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Canema	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Pecete	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Ilheu do Mancebo	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Bolama	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Intindumbo	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Gantumane	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Sao Joao	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Santa Maria	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Fei	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Ganchombe	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Madina de Baixo	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Ganture	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Tabanca Nova	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Sancoma	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Fortuna	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Bigine	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Gambacar Nancho	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Mansaba	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Darsalame	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Ganafa	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Ga Eugenia	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Ga Maior de Baixo	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Paiunco	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Camaga	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Ga Maior Beafada	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Farancunda	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Umpoloco	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Nova Sintra	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Cabaceira	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Belai	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Gantongo	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Ponta Filipe	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Tema	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Pobreza	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Canchungozinho	Guinea-Bissau	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 22:30	Ponta Gardele	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:30	Conlumo	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:30	Bissau	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:30	Antula	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:30	Birte	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:30	Cumere	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:30	Oco Grande	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:30	Nhala de Baixo	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:30	Nhala de Cima	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:30	Santa Joana	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:30	Biogate	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:30	Enxude	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:30	Foia	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:30	Enchude	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:30	Mato Grande	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:30	Gambinta	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:30	Cabame	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:00	Baloma de Baixo	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Eticoba	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Bubaque	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Ambeno	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Inhoda	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Ambuduco	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Ambacana	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Umpucute	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Indena	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Acampamento	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Meneque	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Angumba	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Anchorupe	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Inorei	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Angojiga	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 12:00	Ancano	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:45	Ametite	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 11:00	Meruigi	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:00	Suro	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:00	Petate	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:00	Prabis	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:00	Oco	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Bijilo	The Gambia	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Sara Job Kunda	The Gambia	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Sukuta	The Gambia	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Kololj	The Gambia	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Fajara	The Gambia	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Bununka Kunda	The Gambia	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Manjal Kunda	The Gambia	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Jeswang	The Gambia	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Latra Kunda	The Gambia	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Bakau	The Gambia	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Talingding Kunjang	The Gambia	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Abuko	The Gambia	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Lamin	The Gambia	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Kerewan	The Gambia	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Mandinari	The Gambia	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Banjul	The Gambia	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Bandiala	Senegal	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Bandiaia	Senegal	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Barra	The Gambia	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Djinak	Senegal	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Ginak Kajata	The Gambia	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Essau	The Gambia	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Niji	The Gambia	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Myamba	The Gambia	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Kanuma	The Gambia	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	M'Bengkama	The Gambia	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Tuba Kolong	The Gambia	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Sittanunku	The Gambia	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Aljamdu	The Gambia	0.1
	16 Oct 2019 16:30	Lamin	The Gambia	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 09:00	Bruce	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 09:00	Cabuno	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 09:00	Anor	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 09:00	Angodigo	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 09:00	Ambeduco	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 09:00	Anane	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 09:00	Erinhoco	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 09:00	Etinhoque	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 09:00	Ossocone	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 09:00	Ancagume	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 09:00	Ancopado	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 09:00	Eticoga	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 09:00	Ancalhe	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 09:00	Imbone	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 09:00	Ancaquia	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 09:00	Etiogo	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 09:00	Ancumbo	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 09:00	Elicoga	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 09:00	Anecuene	Guinea-Bissau	0.1
	15 Oct 2019 09:00	Abu	Guinea-Bissau	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.