Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TWELVE-24
in Vanuatu

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TWELVE-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Vanuatu
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (08 Feb 08:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Vanuatu)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 68 km/h 0.4 m 224 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 68 km/h 0.4 m 736 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

68 km/h

Up to 4 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormVanuatu4,001 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 07 Feb 2024 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Feb 2024 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Vanuatu
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmSolomon Islands, Vanuatu2,062
+
Solomon Islands1,324 
Vanuatu737 
100-250 mmPapua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, Fiji282,440
+
Solomon Islands161,192 
Papua New Guinea83,491 
Fiji33,464 
Vanuatu4,291 
50-100 mmSolomon Islands, Papua New Guinea, Tuvalu, Fiji, Vanuatu, Wallis and Futuna836,915
+
Solomon Islands190,855 
Papua New Guinea44,063 
Tuvalu7,092 
Fiji451,630 
Vanuatu139,325 
Wallis and Futuna3,947 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 07 Feb 2024 12:00 170 -
- - - - - Fiji
Blue 2 08 Feb 2024 00:00 435 280 thousand
- - - Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea, Tuvalu, Fiji, Vanuatu, Wallis and Futuna




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Nailanga, Fiji. This height is estimated for 08 Feb 2024 08:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Feb 2024 08:00 Nailanga Fiji  0.4
08 Feb 2024 08:00 Sorokoba Fiji  0.4
08 Feb 2024 08:00 Ba Fiji  0.4
08 Feb 2024 08:00 Natunuka Fiji  0.4
08 Feb 2024 08:00 Lautoka Fiji  0.3
08 Feb 2024 04:15 Tavua Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 03:30 Navinggiri Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 03:30 Yangganga Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 03:30 Ndalomo Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 03:30 Nawailevu Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 03:30 Nasarowangga Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 03:30 Navindamu Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Rabulu Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Togowere Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 06:00 Takataka Solomon Islands  0.2
08 Feb 2024 06:00 Ahia Solomon Islands  0.2
08 Feb 2024 04:15 Ghaomai Solomon Islands  0.2
08 Feb 2024 04:15 Harapa Solomon Islands  0.2
08 Feb 2024 04:15 Kamaleai Solomon Islands  0.2
08 Feb 2024 04:15 Shortland I Solomon Islands  0.2
08 Feb 2024 04:15 Koliai Solomon Islands  0.2
08 Feb 2024 04:15 Harehare Solomon Islands  0.2
08 Feb 2024 04:15 Nila Solomon Islands  0.2
08 Feb 2024 04:15 East Pt Papua New Guinea  0.2
08 Feb 2024 03:45 Korosi Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 03:45 Korotasere Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 03:45 Naweni Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 03:45 Nakarambo Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 03:45 Viani Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 03:45 Ndrekeniwai Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 03:45 Mbangasau Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 10:30 Yandina Solomon Islands  0.2
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Soso Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Somosomo Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 08:00 Rakiraki Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 08:00 Vaileka Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 08:00 Nanukuloa Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 08:00 Nasau Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 07:45 Namaka Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 03:45 Nadi Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 04:15 Moisuru Papua New Guinea  0.2
08 Feb 2024 03:45 Nalauwaki Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 03:45 Malake Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Matayalevu Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Matacawalevu Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Sisili Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Nagumu Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 07:45 Solevu Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Nanduri Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Vatutandova Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Biagunu Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 07:45 Momi Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 10:45 Korovou Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 10:45 Lodoni Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 10:45 Lawaki Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 10:45 Ucunivanua Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 10:45 Naingani Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 10:45 Navuti Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 10:45 Nasaga Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 10:45 Rukuruku Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 03:45 Lao Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 00:15 Galoa Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 00:15 Yanutha Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 00:15 Matavuralevu Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 00:15 Pacific Harbour Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 00:15 Waisomo Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 00:15 Dakuimbeqa Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 00:15 Lalati Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 00:15 Navua Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 00:15 Naitionitoni Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 00:15 Mau Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 10:45 Naimasimasi Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 10:45 Lovoni Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 10:45 Nauouo Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 10:45 Levuka Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 07:30 Nacula Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 07:30 Navotua Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 07:30 Tamusua Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 00:00 Poum New Caledonia  0.2
08 Feb 2024 00:00 Poum-Plage New Caledonia  0.2
08 Feb 2024 00:00 Arama New Caledonia  0.2
08 Feb 2024 00:00 Pam New Caledonia  0.2
08 Feb 2024 03:00 Koroinasolo Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 03:00 Savu Sau Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 03:15 Nayavutoka Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 04:15 Olava Papua New Guinea  0.2
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Teci Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Mbukama Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 07:30 Naruwai Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 07:30 Nabouwalu Fiji  0.2
08 Feb 2024 11:15 Ouasse New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:15 Nakety New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:15 Thio New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:15 Saint-Gabriel New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 02:15 Nasea Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 02:15 Prony New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 02:15 Ouara New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 02:15 Goro New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Nailou Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Nawi Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Vunikura Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Ndenimanu Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 03:00 Namboutini Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 03:00 Napuka Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 03:45 Yasawairara Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 03:30 Tavua Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 12:00 Namukalau Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 12:00 Tawake Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 12:00 Nukusa Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 12:00 Nambouono Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 10:45 Puto Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2024 10:45 Konua Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2024 10:45 Sipai Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2024 10:45 Amun Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2024 03:00 Vangai Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 10:45 Kuraio Mission Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2024 07:45 Vunivatu Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 07:45 Navukembuli Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 10:15 Paita New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 10:15 Nouville New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 10:15 Noumea New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 10:15 Dumbea New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 10:15 Comm. du Mont-Dore New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 10:15 Saint-Louis New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 10:15 Plum New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:15 Fauro I Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:15 Piapouria Vanuatu  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:15 Mae Vanuatu  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:15 Tourebiou Vanuatu  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:15 Atsaritibi Vanuatu  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:15 Robertsons Vanuatu  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:15 Bakakara Vanuatu  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:15 Terou Vanuatu  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:15 Worovok Vanuatu  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:15 Ladhu Vanuatu  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:15 Lavatavo Vanuatu  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:15 Iakobone Vanuatu  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:30 Naua Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Mou New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Moneo New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Ho New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 11:45 Meomo New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:30 Panane New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:30 Mouane New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 09:30 Ono New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 05:00 Ambuavao Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 05:00 Ghorambau Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 05:00 Komuvadha Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 05:00 Ngalikomba Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 05:00 Komukea Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 05:00 Kulu Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 05:00 Mbokoaghau Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 05:00 Tambunimane Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 05:00 Mbelasara Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 05:00 Vanuagobu Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 05:00 Aola Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 05:00 Komunimboko Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:30 Torakina Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:30 Koiaris Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2024 05:45 Paunairo Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 05:45 Manikiriu Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 05:45 Olomburi Solomon Islands  0.1