Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TWELVE-24
in Vanuatu

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TWELVE-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 61 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (11 Feb 09:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Vanuatu)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 61 km/h 0.3 m 93 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 68 km/h 0.3 m 360 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

68 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 11 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Feb 2024 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Feb 2024 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Feb 2024 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Feb 2024 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Feb 2024 00:00 68 -
- - - - - Solomon Islands
GREEN 6 09 Feb 2024 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Feb 2024 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Feb 2024 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 Feb 2024 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 10 Feb 2024 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 10 Feb 2024 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 10 Feb 2024 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 11 Feb 2024 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 11 Feb 2024 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmTuvalu8,513 
50-100 mmSolomon Islands, Papua New Guinea, Tuvalu, Wallis and Futuna, Fiji173,786
+
Solomon Islands36,316 
Papua New Guinea17,757 
Tuvalu1,402 
Wallis and Futuna3,947 
Fiji114,361 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Feb 2024 00:00 141 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Feb 2024 06:00 217 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Feb 2024 12:00 230 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Feb 2024 18:00 96 -
- - - - - Solomon Islands
Blue 5 09 Feb 2024 00:00 95 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 09 Feb 2024 06:00 51 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Feb 2024 12:00 98 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 09 Feb 2024 18:00 166 -
- - - - - Wallis and Futuna
Blue 9 10 Feb 2024 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 10 Feb 2024 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 10 Feb 2024 12:00 125 -
- - - - - Fiji
Blue 12 10 Feb 2024 18:00 84 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 11 Feb 2024 00:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 11 Feb 2024 06:00 323 9 thousand
- - - - Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea, Tuvalu, Wallis and Futuna, Fiji




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Korosi, Fiji. This height is estimated for 11 Feb 2024 09:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
11 Feb 2024 09:45 Korosi Fiji  0.3
11 Feb 2024 09:45 Korotasere Fiji  0.3
11 Feb 2024 09:45 Naweni Fiji  0.3
11 Feb 2024 09:45 Nakarambo Fiji  0.3
11 Feb 2024 09:45 Viani Fiji  0.3
11 Feb 2024 09:45 Ndrekeniwai Fiji  0.3
11 Feb 2024 09:45 Mbangasau Fiji  0.3
11 Feb 2024 09:45 Malake Fiji  0.3
11 Feb 2024 09:45 Lao Fiji  0.3
11 Feb 2024 09:30 Biagunu Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 09:00 Poro New Caledonia  0.2
11 Feb 2024 09:00 Kouaoua New Caledonia  0.2
11 Feb 2024 09:30 Nailou Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 09:30 Nawi Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 09:30 Vunikura Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 11:00 Paita New Caledonia  0.2
11 Feb 2024 11:00 Nouville New Caledonia  0.2
11 Feb 2024 11:00 Noumea New Caledonia  0.2
11 Feb 2024 11:00 Dumbea New Caledonia  0.2
11 Feb 2024 11:00 Comm. du Mont-Dore New Caledonia  0.2
11 Feb 2024 11:00 Saint-Louis New Caledonia  0.2
11 Feb 2024 11:00 Plum New Caledonia  0.2
11 Feb 2024 10:30 Galoa Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 10:30 Yanutha Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 10:30 Matavuralevu Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 10:30 Pacific Harbour Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 10:30 Waisomo Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 10:30 Dakuimbeqa Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 10:30 Lalati Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 10:30 Navua Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 10:30 Naitionitoni Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 10:30 Mau Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 09:30 Namboutini Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 09:45 Korovou Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 09:45 Lodoni Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 09:45 Naimasimasi Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 09:45 Lawaki Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 09:45 Ucunivanua Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 09:45 Navuti Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 09:45 Nasaga Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 09:45 Rukuruku Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 09:45 Lovoni Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 09:45 Nauouo Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 09:45 Levuka Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 09:45 Naingani Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 08:15 Yandina Solomon Islands  0.2
11 Feb 2024 09:00 Mou New Caledonia  0.2
11 Feb 2024 09:00 Moneo New Caledonia  0.2
11 Feb 2024 09:00 Ho New Caledonia  0.2
11 Feb 2024 09:00 Meomo New Caledonia  0.2
11 Feb 2024 09:15 Navinggiri Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 09:15 Yangganga Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 09:15 Ndalomo Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 09:15 Nawailevu Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 09:15 Nasarowangga Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 09:15 Navindamu Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 11:00 Prony New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 11:00 Ouara New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 11:00 Goro New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:45 Ouanache New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:45 Paola New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:45 Vieux Tuho New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:45 Touho New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:45 Kokengone New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:15 Lautoka Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:15 Nailanga Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:15 Sorokoba Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:15 Ba Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:45 Tipindje New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:45 Pindache New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 10:00 Napuka Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 09:15 Tiabet New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:45 Balaide New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:45 Saint-Paul New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:45 Pouebo New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:45 Yambe New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:45 Diahoue New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:45 Colnett New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 09:00 Saint-Denis New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 09:00 Poindimie New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 09:00 Bayes New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:45 Poum-Plage New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 11:15 Momi Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 11:15 Nadi Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 11:15 Namaka Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 11:15 Solevu Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:45 Ometteux New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 06:45 Puto Papua New Guinea  0.1
11 Feb 2024 06:45 Konua Papua New Guinea  0.1
11 Feb 2024 06:45 Sipai Papua New Guinea  0.1
11 Feb 2024 06:45 Amun Papua New Guinea  0.1
11 Feb 2024 11:45 Nagumu Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 06:45 Kuraio Mission Papua New Guinea  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:15 Natunuka Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 09:30 Potnarvin Vanuatu  0.1
11 Feb 2024 09:30 Ipota Vanuatu  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:45 Panane New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:45 Mouane New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:45 Ono New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:45 Wala New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:45 Bweo New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:45 Pairome New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 09:15 Saint-Gabriel New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 09:15 Saint Roch New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 09:15 Ngoye New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 09:15 Petit-Borindi New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:45 Ouinne New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 09:00 Pam New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 09:45 Naruwai Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 09:45 Nabouwalu Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 09:45 Thavanga Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 09:45 Ndaria Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:45 Houone New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:15 Mamie New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:15 Yate-Village New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:15 Waho New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:15 Ouasse New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:15 Nakety New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:15 Thio New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 10:00 Kasavu Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 10:00 Cautata Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 10:00 Rakiraki Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 10:00 Vaileka Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 10:00 Nanukuloa Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 10:00 Nasau Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:30 Mouly New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:30 Lekia New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:30 Fayaoue New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:30 Wadrilla New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:30 Ognahu New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:30 Wegnec St-Joseph New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:30 Teouta New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:30 Ognat New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:00 Poum New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:00 Arama New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 09:00 Nikaura Vanuatu  0.1
11 Feb 2024 09:00 Tavio Vanuatu  0.1
11 Feb 2024 09:00 Leman Vanuatu  0.1
11 Feb 2024 09:00 Votlo Vanuatu  0.1
11 Feb 2024 09:00 Mate Vanuatu  0.1
11 Feb 2024 09:00 Nul Vanuatu  0.1
11 Feb 2024 09:00 Filakara Vanuatu  0.1
11 Feb 2024 09:00 Lambukuti Vanuatu  0.1
11 Feb 2024 08:15 Tavua Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 09:30 Rave-rave Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 09:30 Ndawara Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 09:30 Waisa Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 09:30 Natua Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 09:30 Mbangata Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 09:45 Vangai Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 06:15 Nayavutoka Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 09:45 Nabouwalu Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 09:45 Vabea Fiji  0.1