Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ROSA-18 in Mexico from 25 Sep 2018 09:00 UTC to 02 Oct 2018 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ROSA-18

in Mexico

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ROSA-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	169 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (29 Sep 16:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	169 km/h	0.3 m	n.a.	0.5
GFS Overall	181 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 28 Sep 2018 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	25 Sep 2018 06:00	181	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Sep 2018 12:00	191	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Sep 2018 18:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	26 Sep 2018 00:00	187	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	26 Sep 2018 06:00	187	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Sep 2018 12:00	191	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Sep 2018 18:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	27 Sep 2018 00:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	27 Sep 2018 06:00	177	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Sep 2018 12:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	27 Sep 2018 18:00	183	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	28 Sep 2018 00:00	183	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	28 Sep 2018 06:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	28 Sep 2018 12:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

-1 mm

No people can be affected rain lower than 100mm

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 28 Sep 2018 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	25 Sep 2018 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Sep 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Sep 2018 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	26 Sep 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	26 Sep 2018 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Sep 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Sep 2018 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	27 Sep 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	27 Sep 2018 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Sep 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	27 Sep 2018 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	28 Sep 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	28 Sep 2018 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	28 Sep 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 29 Sep 2018 16:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Sep 2018 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	29 Sep 2018 16:00	El Golfo de Santa Clara	Mexico	0.3
	29 Sep 2018 02:00	La Choya	Mexico	0.3
	29 Sep 2018 02:00	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.3
	29 Sep 2018 15:30	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.3
	29 Sep 2018 15:30	San Felipe	Mexico	0.3
	28 Sep 2018 23:00	Los Burros	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 12:45	Wakonda Beach	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 12:45	Seal Rock	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 12:45	Bayshore	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 12:45	Forfar	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 12:45	Waldport	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 12:45	Agate Beach	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 12:45	Southbeach	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 12:45	Newport	United States	0.2
	29 Sep 2018 01:00	Rancho Bahia	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Stinson Beach	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Muir Beach	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Kentfield	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Tamalpais Valley	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Mill Valley	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Larkspur	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Almonte	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Green Brae	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Marin City	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Strawberry	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Corte Madera	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Sunset District	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Sausalito	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Edgemar	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	San Quentin	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Broadmoor	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Paradise Cay	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Stonestown	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Fort Winfield Scott	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Richmond District	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Daly City	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Westborough	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Tiburon	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Belvedere	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Colma	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Baden	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Little Osaka	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Fort McDowell	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	San Francisco	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Bayshore	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	South San Francisco	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	North Beach	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Brisbane	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Bayview District	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	North Richmond	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Richmond	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 12:45	San Marine	United States	0.2
	29 Sep 2018 00:00	Puertecitos	Mexico	0.2
	29 Sep 2018 00:30	Molino	Mexico	0.2
	29 Sep 2018 00:30	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 12:45	Beverly Beach	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 12:45	Yaquina Hd	United States	0.2
	29 Sep 2018 00:30	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 12:45	Yachats	United States	0.2
	30 Sep 2018 02:30	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 12:00	Brookings	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 12:00	Harbor	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 12:00	Pacific Shores	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 12:00	Yontocket	United States	0.2
	29 Sep 2018 00:15	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 20:30	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 20:30	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 20:30	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.2
	01 Oct 2018 06:15	Bahia de Tortugas	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 12:45	Searose Beach	United States	0.2
	29 Sep 2018 00:00	Hunter Creek	United States	0.2
	29 Sep 2018 00:00	Nesika Beach	United States	0.2
	29 Sep 2018 00:00	Gold Beach	United States	0.2
	29 Sep 2018 00:00	Ophir	United States	0.2
	29 Sep 2018 00:00	Port Orford	United States	0.2
	29 Sep 2018 00:00	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 23:45	Plantation	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 23:45	Walsh Landing	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 23:45	Fort Ross	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 23:45	Seaview	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 23:45	Toners Place	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 23:45	Jenner	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 23:45	Bridgehaven	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 23:45	Carnet	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 23:45	Salmon Creek	United States	0.2
	28 Sep 2018 23:45	Bodega Bay	United States	0.2
	29 Sep 2018 00:00	Fields Landing	United States	0.2
	29 Sep 2018 00:00	Fairhaven	United States	0.2
	29 Sep 2018 00:00	Spruce Point	United States	0.2
	29 Sep 2018 00:00	Samoa	United States	0.2
	29 Sep 2018 00:00	Bayview	United States	0.2
	29 Sep 2018 00:00	Manila	United States	0.2
	29 Sep 2018 00:00	Tyee City	United States	0.2
	29 Sep 2018 00:00	McKinleyville	United States	0.2
	29 Sep 2018 00:00	Clam Beach	United States	0.2
	29 Sep 2018 00:00	Westhaven	United States	0.2
	29 Sep 2018 00:00	Calville	United States	0.2
	29 Sep 2018 00:00	Crannell	United States	0.2
	29 Sep 2018 00:00	Pistol River	United States	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 00:00	Carpenterville	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 23:15	Heceta Beach	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 23:15	Florence	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 23:15	Glenada	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 04:30	El Sauzal	Mexico	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 04:30	Cabo Punta Banda	Mexico	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 04:30	Ensenada	Mexico	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:00	Woodville	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:00	Bolinas	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:00	Terra Linda	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:00	Marinwood	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:00	Gallinas	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:00	Santa Venetia	United States	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 00:15	Tecomate	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 12:15	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 00:15	Requa	United States	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 00:15	Klamath	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 23:15	Bandon	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 23:15	Bullards	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 23:15	Charleston	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 23:15	Barview	United States	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 01:15	Dillon Beach	United States	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 01:15	Brazil Beach	United States	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 01:15	Hamlet	United States	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 01:15	Nicks Cove	United States	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 01:15	Lairds Landing	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Datilito	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 22:15	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 00:00	Patricks Point	United States	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 00:00	Big Lagoon	United States	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 00:00	Trinidad	United States	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 00:00	Orick	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 21:15	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 21:15	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 13:00	Shelter Cove	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 13:00	Moss Beach	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 13:00	Montara	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 13:00	Rockaway Beach	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 13:00	Pacifica	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 13:00	San Bruno	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 13:00	Tanforan	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 13:00	Millbrae	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 13:00	Burlingame	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 13:00	Hillsborough	United States	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 00:00	Port Kenyon	United States	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 00:00	Southport Landing	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 23:00	Cambria	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 23:00	Harmony	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 23:00	Cayucos	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 23:00	Morro Bay	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 23:00	Baywood Park	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 23:15	Fourmile	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 23:15	Dew Valley	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:15	Princeton	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:15	El Granada	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:15	Miramar	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:15	Accent Homes Mobile Home Park	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:15	Half Moon Bay	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:15	Martins Beach	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:15	Tunitas	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:15	San Gregorio	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:15	Pescadero	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:15	San Mateo	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:15	Hillsdale	United States	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 00:00	Crescent City North	United States	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 00:00	Crescent City	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:15	Albion	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:15	Elk	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:15	Flumeville	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:15	Stronetta	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:15	Manchester	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:15	Iverson Indian Rancheria	United States	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 00:15	Capetown	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:30	Hauser	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:30	Saunders Lake	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 20:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 20:30	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 10:30	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:45	Rosarito	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 20:30	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 20:30	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:45	Imperial Beach	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:45	Boal	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:15	Point Arena	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:15	Gallaway	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 23:45	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 20:00	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 23:15	El Barril	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 23:45	Valley Crossing	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 23:45	Stewarts Point	United States	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 01:30	Lakeside	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:15	Caspar	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:15	Mendocino	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:15	Little River	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 10:30	Cedros	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 13:00	Winchester Bay	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 22:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 22:45	La Ventana	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 22:45	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:00	Shelter Cove	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:00	Wheeler	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:00	Kenny	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:00	Playa Oceano Pacifico	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 23:30	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 23:45	Gualala	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 23:45	Sea Ranch	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 23:00	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 23:00	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 23:00	Port San Luis	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:30	Davenport	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:30	Gordola	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:30	Santa Cruz	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:30	Twin Lakes	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:30	Live Oak	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:30	Opal Cliffs	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:30	Capitola	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:30	Soquel	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:30	Aptos	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:30	Rio del Mar	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:30	Avila Beach	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:30	Sycamore Springs	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:30	Pismo Beach	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:30	Oceano	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:30	Grover City	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:30	Callender	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:00	Rockport	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 22:45	San Rafael	Mexico	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:15	Noyo	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:15	Fort Bragg	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:00	Anchor Bay	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:45	Hardy	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:45	DeHaven	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:15	Cleone	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 12:45	Rob Roy Junction	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 12:45	La Selva Beach	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 12:45	Ellicott	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 12:45	Moss Landing	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:15	Westport	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:15	Kibesillah	United States	0.1
	30 Sep 2018 15:30	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 07:15	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 06:45	Swanton	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 22:45	Mission	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 22:45	Montecito	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 22:45	Summerland	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 22:45	Serena Park	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 22:45	Franciscan Village	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 22:45	Carpinteria	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 22:45	Rincon	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 22:45	Shepards	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 22:45	Punta	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 23:45	Guasimas	Mexico	0.1
	30 Sep 2018 15:30	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:00	Estero la Bocana	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 22:30	Hope Ranch	United States	0.1
	28 Sep 2018 23:00	Happy Hill	United States	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 01:30	Del Monte Forest	United States	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 01:30	Pebble Beach	United States	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 01:30	Carmel-by-the-Sea	United States	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 01:30	Pacific Grove	United States	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 01:30	Carmel	United States	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 01:30	Monterey	United States	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 01:30	Del Rey Oaks	United States	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 01:30	Workfield	United States	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 01:30	Seaside	United States	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 01:30	Ord	United States	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 01:30	Marina	United States	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 01:30	Neponset	United States	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 01:30	Nashua	United States	0.1
	29 Sep 2018 01:30	Castroville	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:15	Faria	United States	0.1
	01 Oct 2018 07:15	Dulah	United States	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.