Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TWELVE-24
in Vanuatu

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TWELVE-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 61 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (10 Feb 22:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Vanuatu)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 61 km/h 0.3 m 84 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 68 km/h 0.3 m 360 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

68 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 10 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Feb 2024 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Feb 2024 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Feb 2024 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Feb 2024 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Feb 2024 00:00 68 -
- - - - - Solomon Islands
GREEN 6 09 Feb 2024 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Feb 2024 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Feb 2024 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 Feb 2024 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 10 Feb 2024 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 10 Feb 2024 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 10 Feb 2024 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmTuvalu1,020 
50-100 mmPapua New Guinea, Tuvalu, Solomon Islands, Wallis and Futuna, Fiji523,273
+
Papua New Guinea18,075 
Tuvalu8,895 
Solomon Islands87,828 
Wallis and Futuna3,947 
Fiji404,526 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Feb 2024 00:00 141 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Feb 2024 06:00 217 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Feb 2024 12:00 230 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Feb 2024 18:00 96 -
- - - - - Solomon Islands
Blue 5 09 Feb 2024 00:00 95 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 09 Feb 2024 06:00 51 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Feb 2024 12:00 98 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 09 Feb 2024 18:00 166 -
- - - - - Wallis and Futuna
Blue 9 10 Feb 2024 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 10 Feb 2024 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 10 Feb 2024 12:00 125 -
- - - - - Fiji
Blue 12 10 Feb 2024 18:00 276 1 thousand
- - - - Papua New Guinea, Tuvalu, Solomon Islands, Wallis and Futuna, Fiji




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Paita, New Caledonia. This height is estimated for 10 Feb 2024 22:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 Feb 2024 22:00 Paita New Caledonia  0.3
10 Feb 2024 22:00 Nouville New Caledonia  0.3
10 Feb 2024 22:00 Noumea New Caledonia  0.3
10 Feb 2024 22:00 Dumbea New Caledonia  0.3
10 Feb 2024 22:00 Comm. du Mont-Dore New Caledonia  0.3
10 Feb 2024 22:00 Saint-Louis New Caledonia  0.3
10 Feb 2024 22:00 Plum New Caledonia  0.3
10 Feb 2024 23:45 Nailanga Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 23:45 Sorokoba Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 23:45 Ba Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 23:45 Natunuka Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 19:30 Lautoka Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 22:00 Prony New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 22:00 Ouara New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 22:00 Goro New Caledonia  0.2
11 Feb 2024 00:00 Rakiraki Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 00:00 Vaileka Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 00:00 Nanukuloa Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 00:00 Nasau Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 00:00 Nayavutoka Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 21:00 Poro New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 21:00 Kouaoua New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 20:00 Tavua Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 18:30 Korosi Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 18:30 Korotasere Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 18:30 Naweni Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 18:30 Nakarambo Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 18:30 Viani Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 18:30 Ndrekeniwai Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 18:30 Mbangasau Fiji  0.2
11 Feb 2024 00:00 Biagunu Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 00:00 Namboutini Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 00:00 Nailou Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 00:00 Napuka Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 21:30 Poum New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 21:30 Poum-Plage New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 21:30 Arama New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 19:00 Lodoni Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 19:00 Lawaki Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 19:00 Naingani Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 00:00 Malake Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 00:00 Naua Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 00:00 Namukalau Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 00:00 Tawake Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 00:00 Lao Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 00:00 Nawi Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 00:00 Vunikura Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 21:00 Vieux Tuho New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 21:00 Touho New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 21:00 Kokengone New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 21:00 Saint-Denis New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 21:00 Poindimie New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 21:00 Bayes New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 00:00 Nukusa Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 00:00 Nambouono Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 18:00 Korovou Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 18:00 Ucunivanua Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 18:00 Navuti Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 18:00 Nasaga Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 18:00 Rukuruku Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 22:00 Voh New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 22:00 Oundjo New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 22:00 Pinjen New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 22:00 Tarbeville New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 19:30 Mou New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 19:30 Moneo New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 19:30 Ho New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 19:30 Meomo New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 20:45 Ometteux New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 20:45 Ponerihouen New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 23:45 Vangai Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 21:15 Paagoumene New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 00:00 Nalauwaki Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 00:00 Soso Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 00:00 Somosomo Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 22:15 Tiabet New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 18:00 Naimasimasi Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 18:00 Lovoni Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 18:00 Nauouo Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 18:00 Levuka Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 18:45 Yandina Solomon Islands  0.1
10 Feb 2024 22:15 Nde New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 19:30 Solevu Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 19:30 Momi Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 19:30 Nadi Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 19:30 Namaka Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 22:00 Koumac New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 22:00 Kaala-Gomen New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 21:45 Bouloupari New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 23:30 Galoa Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 23:30 Yanutha Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 23:30 Matavuralevu Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 23:30 Pacific Harbour Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 23:30 Waisomo Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 23:30 Dakuimbeqa Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 23:30 Lalati Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 23:30 Navua Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 23:30 Naitionitoni Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 23:30 Mau Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 21:30 Panane New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 21:30 Mouane New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 21:30 Ono New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 21:30 Wala New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 21:30 Bweo New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 21:30 Pairome New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 20:00 Rabulu Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 00:00 Tavua Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 21:15 Ouaco New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 21:45 Nepoui New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 21:45 Station Ouaneko New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 21:45 Station de Beaupre New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 21:45 Gouaro New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 21:45 Bourail New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 21:45 Nessadiou New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 21:45 Moindou New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 21:45 Houone New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2024 00:00 Matayalevu Fiji  0.1
11 Feb 2024 00:00 Matacawalevu Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 20:30 Ouanache New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 20:30 Paola New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 18:45 Kasavu Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 18:45 Nausori Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 18:45 Cautata Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 18:45 Dromuna Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 19:15 Ghaomai Solomon Islands  0.1
10 Feb 2024 19:15 Harapa Solomon Islands  0.1
10 Feb 2024 19:15 Kamaleai Solomon Islands  0.1
10 Feb 2024 19:15 Shortland I Solomon Islands  0.1
10 Feb 2024 19:15 Maleai Solomon Islands  0.1
10 Feb 2024 19:15 Koliai Solomon Islands  0.1
10 Feb 2024 19:15 Harehare Solomon Islands  0.1
10 Feb 2024 19:15 Nila Solomon Islands  0.1
10 Feb 2024 20:30 Tipindje New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 20:30 Pindache New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 19:15 Rave-rave Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 19:15 Ndawara Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 19:15 Waisa Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 19:15 Natua Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 19:15 Mbangata Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 22:00 Tomo New Caledonia  0.1