Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TWELVE-24
in Vanuatu

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TWELVE-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (10 Feb 15:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Vanuatu)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 58 km/h 0.3 m 125 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 68 km/h 0.3 m 360 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

68 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 10 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Feb 2024 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Feb 2024 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Feb 2024 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Feb 2024 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Feb 2024 00:00 68 -
- - - - - Solomon Islands
GREEN 6 09 Feb 2024 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Feb 2024 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Feb 2024 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 Feb 2024 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 10 Feb 2024 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 10 Feb 2024 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmSolomon Islands, Tuvalu8,043
+
Solomon Islands1,345 
Tuvalu6,697 
50-100 mmSolomon Islands, Papua New Guinea, Tuvalu, Fiji558,646
+
Solomon Islands100,987 
Papua New Guinea18,075 
Tuvalu3,218 
Fiji436,365 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Feb 2024 00:00 141 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Feb 2024 06:00 217 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Feb 2024 12:00 230 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Feb 2024 18:00 96 -
- - - - - Solomon Islands
Blue 5 09 Feb 2024 00:00 95 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 09 Feb 2024 06:00 51 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Feb 2024 12:00 98 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 09 Feb 2024 18:00 166 -
- - - - - Wallis and Futuna
Blue 9 10 Feb 2024 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 10 Feb 2024 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 10 Feb 2024 12:00 306 8 thousand
- - - - Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea, Tuvalu, Fiji




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Nailanga, Fiji. This height is estimated for 10 Feb 2024 15:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 Feb 2024 15:30 Nailanga Fiji  0.3
10 Feb 2024 15:30 Sorokoba Fiji  0.3
10 Feb 2024 15:30 Ba Fiji  0.3
10 Feb 2024 15:30 Natunuka Fiji  0.3
10 Feb 2024 15:00 Lautoka Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:15 Korovou Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:15 Lodoni Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:15 Naimasimasi Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:15 Lawaki Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:15 Ucunivanua Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:15 Navuti Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:15 Nasaga Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:15 Rukuruku Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:15 Lovoni Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:15 Nauouo Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:15 Levuka Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:15 Tavua Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:00 Korosi Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:00 Korotasere Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:00 Naweni Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:00 Nakarambo Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:00 Viani Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:00 Ndrekeniwai Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:00 Mbangasau Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:30 Rakiraki Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:30 Vaileka Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:30 Nanukuloa Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:30 Nasau Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:30 Nayavutoka Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:00 Malake Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:00 Lao Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:15 Naingani Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 18:00 Paita New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 18:00 Nouville New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 18:00 Noumea New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 18:00 Dumbea New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 18:00 Comm. du Mont-Dore New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 18:00 Saint-Louis New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 18:00 Plum New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:00 Biagunu Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 14:30 Nawailevu Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 14:30 Nasarowangga Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 14:30 Navindamu Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:30 Namaka Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:00 Rabulu Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:00 Koroinasolo Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:00 Navinggiri Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:00 Ndalomo Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:00 Naruwai Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:00 Nabouwalu Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:45 Momi Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:45 Nadi Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:30 Solevu Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:15 Togowere Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:15 Somosomo Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:45 Nagumu Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:45 Nanduri Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:15 Nailou Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:15 Nawi Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:15 Vunikura Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:15 Soso Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:15 Matayalevu Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:15 Matacawalevu Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:15 Sisili Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:45 Kasavu Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:45 Nausori Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:45 Cautata Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:45 Dromuna Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 12:00 Poro New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 12:00 Kouaoua New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:45 Nalauwaki Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:30 Thavanga Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 14:15 Rave-rave Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 14:15 Ndawara Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 14:15 Waisa Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 14:15 Natua Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 14:15 Mbangata Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:30 Savu Sau Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:30 Yangganga Fiji  0.2
10 Feb 2024 15:30 Nacula Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 15:15 Navotua Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 15:00 Tamusua Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 16:00 Tavua Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 15:45 Ndenimanu Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 15:00 Teci Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 15:00 Mbukama Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 15:00 Namboutini Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 18:00 Prony New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 18:00 Ouara New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 18:00 Goro New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 14:45 Naua Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 14:45 Namukalau Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 14:45 Tawake Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 14:45 Napuka Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 15:30 Savusavu Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 15:30 Naindi Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 15:15 Ndaria Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 14:30 Nukusa Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 14:30 Nambouono Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 15:00 Yasawairara Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 15:30 Makongai Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 16:00 Vatutandova Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 17:45 Vangai Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 15:15 Nasilai Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 15:30 Vunivatu Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 15:30 Navukembuli Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 16:15 Galoa Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 16:15 Yanutha Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 16:15 Matavuralevu Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 16:15 Pacific Harbour Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 16:15 Waisomo Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 16:15 Dakuimbeqa Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 16:15 Lalati Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 16:15 Navua Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 16:15 Naitionitoni Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 16:15 Mau Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 14:45 Nasea Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 15:45 Sawaieke Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 15:45 Vione Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 15:45 Dalice Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 15:45 Umpon Mompu Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 15:45 Potnarvin Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 15:45 Yawisaghuwi Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 15:45 Ipota Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 15:45 Ifo Vanuatu  0.1
10 Feb 2024 17:30 Yate-Village New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 17:30 Waho New Caledonia  0.1
10 Feb 2024 16:00 Nabouwalu Fiji  0.1
10 Feb 2024 16:00 Vabea Fiji  0.1