Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MEGAN-24
in Australia
15 Mar 2024 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MEGAN-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (15 Mar 08:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 79 km/h 0.7 m 466 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 90 km/h 1.3 m 963 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

90 km/h

Up to 3 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Mar 2024 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAustralia2,763 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 15 Mar 2024 00:00 133 -
- - - - - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Mar 2024 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmAustralia00
+
250-500 mmAustralia1,044 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia479,292
+
Indonesia416,284 
Papua New Guinea35,092 
Australia27,916 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, East Timor, Australia2,634,918
+
Indonesia1,701,391 
Papua New Guinea738,377 
East Timor46,308 
Australia148,840 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 15 Mar 2024 00:00 1416 480 thousand
- - - Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, East Timor, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Soeam, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 15 Mar 2024 08:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Mar 2024 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
15 Mar 2024 08:30 Soeam Indonesia  0.7
15 Mar 2024 07:45 Heits Indonesia  0.7
15 Mar 2024 07:30 Taroea Anim Indonesia  0.6
15 Mar 2024 11:15 Numbulwar Australia  0.5
15 Mar 2024 10:00 Dolatanden Indonesia  0.5
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Sarire Indonesia  0.5
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Tamarike Indonesia  0.5
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Tamerau Indonesia  0.5
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Sabon Indonesia  0.5
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Alyangula Australia  0.5
15 Mar 2024 07:00 Birab Indonesia  0.4
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Urum Indonesia  0.4
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Merauke Indonesia  0.4
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Daub Indonesia  0.4
15 Mar 2024 07:30 Biwarlaut Indonesia  0.4
15 Mar 2024 07:30 Jow Indonesia  0.4
15 Mar 2024 07:30 Otsjanep Indonesia  0.4
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Hammond I Australia  0.4
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Port Kennedy Australia  0.4
15 Mar 2024 07:15 Per Indonesia  0.4
15 Mar 2024 07:15 Amborip Indonesia  0.4
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Matara Indonesia  0.4
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Karumba Australia  0.4
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Kladar Indonesia  0.4
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Tor Indonesia  0.4
15 Mar 2024 10:15 Bing Bong Australia  0.4
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Barattar Indonesia  0.4
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Anansai Indonesia  0.4
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Wendu Indonesia  0.4
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Badu Australia  0.4
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Kondomiraf Indonesia  0.4
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Mapoon Australia  0.4
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Onggalie Indonesia  0.4
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Kumbe Indonesia  0.4
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Kowanyama Australia  0.4
15 Mar 2024 11:00 Jofar Indonesia  0.4
15 Mar 2024 11:00 Agats Indonesia  0.4
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Bula Papua New Guinea  0.4
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Jara Papua New Guinea  0.4
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Kulinchin Australia  0.3
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Mari Papua New Guinea  0.3
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Cowel Creek Australia  0.3
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Seisia Australia  0.3
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Dumande Indonesia  0.3
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Weipa South Australia  0.3
15 Mar 2024 09:45 Weipa Australia  0.3
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Kotad Indonesia  0.3
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Alatepi Indonesia  0.3
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Alakoe Indonesia  0.3
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Moegaigare Indonesia  0.3
15 Mar 2024 09:30 Amamapare Indonesia  0.3
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Okaba Indonesia  0.3
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Kobiem Indonesia  0.3
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Bamaga Australia  0.3
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Cape York Australia  0.3
15 Mar 2024 11:30 Welab Indonesia  0.3
15 Mar 2024 10:00 Ndapurutiri Indonesia  0.3
15 Mar 2024 11:30 Papisote Indonesia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Flaggy Rock Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Carmila Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Elalie Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Kalarka Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Clairview Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Banana Pocket Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Lethebrook Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Conway Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Midgeton Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 10:30 Gelib Indonesia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 10:30 Dokib Indonesia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Saint Lawrence Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 10:45 Keawkwa Indonesia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 10:45 Timuka Indonesia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Cannon Valley Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Windermere Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 10:45 Mimako Indonesia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 10:45 Kandala Jawal Indonesia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 10:45 Wamal Indonesia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 10:45 Dodalim Indonesia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 10:45 Yulbabuti Indonesia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 05:45 Darwin Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 05:45 Nightcliff Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 05:45 Ludmilla Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 05:45 Bagot Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 05:45 Leanyer Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 05:45 Knuckeys Lagoon Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 05:45 Berrimah Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Habana Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Barcoo Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Alexandra Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Etowri Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Nindaroo Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Glenella Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Bucasia Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Eimeo Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 North Mackay Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Mackay Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Andergrove Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Cremorne Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Blacks Beach Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Slade Point Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Amhurst Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Hay Point Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Taffy Islet Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Alligator Creek Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 09:15 Derby Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Komoran Indonesia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 10:30 Derby Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Te Kowai Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Bakers Creek Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 06:45 Broome Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 06:45 Thangoo Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Coowonga Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Farnborough Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Coorooman Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Yeppoon Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Tanby Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Keppel Sands Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Kinka Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Emu Park Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 10:45 Ipirawea Indonesia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 11:15 Rosella Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 11:15 Chelona Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 11:00 Munbura Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 06:00 Fannie Bay Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 06:00 Parap Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 09:30 Pardoo Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 05:30 Larrakeyah Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Airlie Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Saint Helens Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Seaforth Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 10:00 Amagoa Papua New Guinea  0.2
15 Mar 2024 10:00 Segero Papua New Guinea  0.2
15 Mar 2024 10:00 Tugara Papua New Guinea  0.2
15 Mar 2024 10:00 Dibiri Papua New Guinea  0.2
15 Mar 2024 10:00 Orapoi Papua New Guinea  0.2
15 Mar 2024 10:00 Oropai Papua New Guinea  0.2
15 Mar 2024 10:00 Gesco Papua New Guinea  0.2
15 Mar 2024 10:00 Tirere Papua New Guinea  0.2
15 Mar 2024 10:00 Dameramuda Papua New Guinea  0.2
15 Mar 2024 10:00 Bina No 1 Papua New Guinea  0.2
15 Mar 2024 10:00 Maipani Papua New Guinea  0.2
15 Mar 2024 09:45 Bunigi Papua New Guinea  0.2
15 Mar 2024 05:30 The Palms Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 10:15 Amar Indonesia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 05:15 Pender Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 09:00 Broadmount Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 07:15 Gladstone Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 07:15 Toolooa Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 07:15 Parsons Point Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 07:15 Benaraby Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 07:15 Boyne Island Australia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Selemit Indonesia  0.2
15 Mar 2024 09:45 Umuda I Papua New Guinea  0.1
15 Mar 2024 03:45 Caburinga Village Australia  0.1
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Wan Indonesia  0.1
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Konerau Indonesia  0.1
15 Mar 2024 10:15 Wakia Indonesia  0.1
15 Mar 2024 10:15 Uta Indonesia  0.1
15 Mar 2024 08:30 Port Alma Australia  0.1
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Merinda Australia  0.1
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Delta Australia  0.1
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Bootooloo Australia  0.1
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Inveroona Australia  0.1
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Queens Beach Australia  0.1
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Bowen Australia  0.1
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Yumbabullo Australia  0.1
15 Mar 2024 11:15 Cannonvale Australia  0.1
15 Mar 2024 09:30 Bamio Papua New Guinea  0.1
15 Mar 2024 09:30 Buniki Papua New Guinea  0.1
15 Mar 2024 09:30 Giwaretore Papua New Guinea  0.1
15 Mar 2024 09:30 Ibou Papua New Guinea  0.1
15 Mar 2024 09:30 Mapoi'a Papua New Guinea  0.1
15 Mar 2024 10:00 Pai-a Papua New Guinea  0.1
15 Mar 2024 10:00 Moinamu Papua New Guinea  0.1
15 Mar 2024 10:00 Namaituri Papua New Guinea  0.1
15 Mar 2024 10:00 Goari Papua New Guinea  0.1
15 Mar 2024 10:00 Maubi Papua New Guinea  0.1
15 Mar 2024 10:00 Ubua Papua New Guinea  0.1
15 Mar 2024 10:00 Dopima Papua New Guinea  0.1
15 Mar 2024 10:00 Apeawa Papua New Guinea  0.1
15 Mar 2024 10:00 Babai Papua New Guinea  0.1
15 Mar 2024 10:00 Umuk Indonesia  0.1
15 Mar 2024 07:45 Daware Papua New Guinea  0.1
15 Mar 2024 07:45 Mibu Papua New Guinea  0.1
15 Mar 2024 07:45 Iasa Papua New Guinea  0.1
15 Mar 2024 07:45 Aibinio Papua New Guinea  0.1
15 Mar 2024 04:30 Waterbank Australia  0.1
15 Mar 2024 04:30 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.1
15 Mar 2024 09:45 Kipia Maparpa Indonesia  0.1
15 Mar 2024 12:00 Mookarra Australia  0.1
15 Mar 2024 09:45 Paraoka Indonesia  0.1
15 Mar 2024 05:15 Bona Bona I Papua New Guinea  0.1
15 Mar 2024 05:15 Auneri Papua New Guinea  0.1
15 Mar 2024 05:15 Silo Silo Papua New Guinea  0.1
15 Mar 2024 05:15 Lawes College Papua New Guinea  0.1
15 Mar 2024 05:15 Lahimoina Papua New Guinea  0.1
15 Mar 2024 05:15 Leileiafa Papua New Guinea  0.1
15 Mar 2024 07:00 Southend Australia  0.1