Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TWELVE-24
in Vanuatu

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TWELVE-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Solomon Islands
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 54 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (08 Feb 03:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Vanuatu)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 54 km/h 0.1 m 141 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 68 km/h 0.3 m 360 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

68 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormSolomon Islands405 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Feb 2024 00:00 72 -
- - - - - Solomon Islands
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmSolomon Islands, Papua New Guinea, Tuvalu, Fiji, Vanuatu328,635
+
Solomon Islands246,887 
Papua New Guinea60,725 
Tuvalu290 
Fiji19,060 
Vanuatu1,670 
50-100 mmPapua New Guinea, Tuvalu, Solomon Islands, Fiji, Vanuatu505,269
+
Solomon Islands249,034 
Papua New Guinea35,457 
Tuvalu9,144 
Fiji90,955 
Vanuatu120,678 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Feb 2024 00:00 294 330 thousand
- - - - Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea, Tuvalu, Fiji, Vanuatu




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in Nailanga, Fiji. This height is estimated for 08 Feb 2024 03:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Feb 2024 03:15 Nailanga Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 03:15 Sorokoba Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 03:15 Ba Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 03:15 Natunuka Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 03:30 Puto Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2024 03:30 Konua Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2024 03:30 Sipai Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2024 03:30 Amun Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2024 03:30 Kuraio Mission Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Vona Vona I Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Mbarasipo Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Mbomboe Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Sulimuni Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Mbanga Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Menakasapa Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 03:00 Lautoka Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Canaan Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Mbiula Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:00 Nailou Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:00 Nawi Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:00 Vunikura Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:00 Napuka Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 02:30 Navinggiri Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 02:30 Yangganga Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 02:30 Ndalomo Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 02:30 Nawailevu Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 02:30 Nasarowangga Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 02:30 Navindamu Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:00 Namboutini Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:00 Lao Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:00 Vangai Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 02:45 Korosi Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 02:45 Korotasere Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 02:45 Naweni Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 02:45 Nakarambo Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 02:45 Viani Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 02:45 Ndrekeniwai Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 02:45 Mbangasau Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 03:45 Ghaomai Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 03:45 Harapa Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 03:45 Kamaleai Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 03:45 Shortland I Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 03:45 Maleai Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 03:45 Koliai Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 03:45 Harehare Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 03:45 Nila Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:00 Malake Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:00 Biagunu Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 03:45 Yandina Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 01:45 Panane New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 01:45 Mouane New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 01:45 Ono New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 03:15 Tavua Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 02:45 Koroinasolo Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 02:45 Naruwai Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 02:45 Nabouwalu Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:00 Nagumu Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:00 Nanduri Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 06:00 Vatutandova Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 03:15 East Pt Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2024 03:15 Moisuru Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2024 02:45 Rakiraki Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 02:45 Vaileka Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 02:45 Nanukuloa Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 02:45 Nasau Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Rob Roy I Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 03:00 Saint-Gabriel New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 03:00 Saint Roch New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 03:00 Ngoye New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 03:00 Petit-Borindi New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Kukudu Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Hovoro Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Poum New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Poum-Plage New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Arama New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Pam New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2024 02:45 Nayavutoka Fiji  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Lotiloti Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Lajaka Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Sambora Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Barakoma Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Biloa Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Joroveto Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Eleoteve Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Kumbolia Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Sagheraghi Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Ruruvai Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 05:15 Sopanitogha Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 05:15 Ambuavao Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 05:15 Ghorambau Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 05:15 Komuvadha Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 05:15 Ngalikomba Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 05:15 Komukea Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 05:15 Kulu Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 05:15 Mbokoaghau Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 05:15 Tambunimane Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 05:15 Mbelasara Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 05:15 Vanuagobu Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Kolombangara Solomon Islands  0.1
08 Feb 2024 04:00 Hambere Solomon Islands  0.1