Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for BORIS-26
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BORIS-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 74 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (09 Jun 07:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)
Landfall between
09 Jun 2026 03:00 - 09 Jun 2026 09:00

in Mexico

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 46 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 74 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

46 km/h Current Max.

Up to 1.2 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Level Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 07 Jun 2026 15:00 74 3.7 million No people Mexico
Green 2 07 Jun 2026 21:00 74 2.7 million No people Mexico
Green 3 08 Jun 2026 03:00 65 2.9 million No people Mexico
Green 4 08 Jun 2026 09:00 65 2 million No people Mexico
Green 5 08 Jun 2026 15:00 74 2 million No people Mexico
Green 6 08 Jun 2026 18:00 74 2.1 million No people Mexico
Green 7 08 Jun 2026 21:00 74 1.7 million No people Mexico
Green 8 09 Jun 2026 03:00 74 800 thousand No people Mexico
Green 9 09 Jun 2026 09:00 65 1.7 million No people Mexico
Green 10 09 Jun 2026 15:00 46 1.2 million No people Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

Level Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 07 Jun 2026 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 110000 people 15.5, -99.9
GREEN
2 07 Jun 2026 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 1.3 million people 15.7, -99.7
GREEN
3 08 Jun 2026 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 420000 people 15.3, -99.4
GREEN
4 08 Jun 2026 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 640000 people 15.9, -99.2
GREEN
5 08 Jun 2026 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 1.4 million people 16, -99.2
GREEN
6 08 Jun 2026 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 270000 people 15.3, -99.2
GREEN
7 08 Jun 2026 21:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 1.3 million people 15.5, -99
GREEN
8 09 Jun 2026 03:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 810000 people 16, -98.3
GREEN
9 09 Jun 2026 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 1.7 million people 16.4, -98.4 Mexico
GREEN
10 09 Jun 2026 15:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 16.9, -98.9 Mexico
GREEN
10 10 Jun 2026 00:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 17.3, -99.7 Mexico
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Mexico 1.2 million people

Provinces

Region Province Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Guerrero Mexico 820000 people
Oaxaca Mexico 390000 people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Ayutla Guerrero Mexico City 9900 people
San Marcos Guerrero Mexico City 12000 people
Manzintla Guerrero Mexico City -
Jamiltepec Oaxaca Mexico City 9800 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Ta lo de Soto 149 0
Pinotepa Nacional PNO unknown 0

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
El Guineo Nexpa 1985

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Huajapan, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Jun 2026 07:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (64 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 9 of 09 Jun 2026 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Level Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Jun 2026 07:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.4
09 Jun 2026 07:00 El Roble Mexico  0.4
09 Jun 2026 09:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.3
09 Jun 2026 04:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
09 Jun 2026 04:00 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.2
09 Jun 2026 04:00 Union Hidalgo Mexico  0.2
09 Jun 2026 04:00 Chicapa Mexico  0.2
09 Jun 2026 05:00 La Majada Mexico  0.2
09 Jun 2026 05:00 Boqueron Mexico  0.2
09 Jun 2026 05:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.2
09 Jun 2026 08:00 Arista Mexico  0.2
09 Jun 2026 10:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.2
09 Jun 2026 05:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.2
09 Jun 2026 03:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.2
09 Jun 2026 05:00 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.2
09 Jun 2026 09:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
09 Jun 2026 04:00 Tamiahua Mexico  0.2
09 Jun 2026 04:00 La Verde Guatemala  0.2
09 Jun 2026 04:00 El Tulate Guatemala  0.2
09 Jun 2026 06:00 Pie Cerro Mexico  0.1
09 Jun 2026 04:00 Puerto de San Benito Mexico  0.1
09 Jun 2026 04:00 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.1
09 Jun 2026 03:00 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
09 Jun 2026 03:00 La Concepion Mexico  0.1
09 Jun 2026 04:00 Laja Mexico  0.1
09 Jun 2026 06:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
09 Jun 2026 06:00 Los Ebanos Mexico  0.1
09 Jun 2026 04:00 Champerico Guatemala  0.1
09 Jun 2026 04:00 Tecojate Guatemala  0.1
09 Jun 2026 11:00 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
09 Jun 2026 05:00 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
09 Jun 2026 04:00 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.1
09 Jun 2026 05:00 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
09 Jun 2026 09:00 El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
09 Jun 2026 07:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
09 Jun 2026 07:00 Palacios United States  0.1
09 Jun 2026 04:00 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
09 Jun 2026 04:00 La Herradura El Salvador  0.1
09 Jun 2026 04:00 El Zapote El Salvador  0.1
09 Jun 2026 04:00 Hacienda La Chepona El Salvador  0.1
09 Jun 2026 04:00 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.1
09 Jun 2026 04:00 San Jose Rama Blanca Guatemala  0.1
09 Jun 2026 04:00 Sipacate Guatemala  0.1
09 Jun 2026 04:00 Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
09 Jun 2026 04:00 Isla de Mendez El Salvador  0.1
09 Jun 2026 04:00 El Espiritu Santo El Salvador  0.1
09 Jun 2026 05:00 Corral de Mulas El Salvador  0.1
09 Jun 2026 04:00 Barra Madre Vieja Guatemala  0.1
08 Jun 2026 09:00 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
09 Jun 2026 04:00 La Tuza Mexico  0.1
09 Jun 2026 06:00 El Naranjal Mexico  0.1
09 Jun 2026 05:00 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
09 Jun 2026 06:00 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.1
09 Jun 2026 06:00 La Mata Mexico  0.1
09 Jun 2026 06:00 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.1
09 Jun 2026 04:00 Ocos Guatemala  0.1
09 Jun 2026 04:00 El Chico Guatemala  0.1
09 Jun 2026 08:00 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.1
09 Jun 2026 13:00 Calderas Mexico  0.1
09 Jun 2026 04:00 Barra de Santiago El Salvador  0.1
09 Jun 2026 04:00 Acapan Guatemala  0.1
09 Jun 2026 04:00 Buenos Aires El Salvador  0.1
09 Jun 2026 04:00 Metalio El Salvador  0.1
09 Jun 2026 03:00 El Tular Mexico  0.1