Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for MAILA-26
in Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAILA-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 231 km/h
Maximum storm surge n.a.
Vulnerability High (Papua New Guinea)

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 65 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
Overall 231 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

65 km/h Current Max.

Up to 410000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Level Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 04 Apr 2026 00:00 148 260 thousand No people Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands
Green 2 04 Apr 2026 12:00 176 160 thousand No people Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands
Green 3 05 Apr 2026 00:00 204 220 thousand Few people Papua New Guinea
Green 4 05 Apr 2026 12:00 204 500 thousand 40 thousand Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea
Orange 5 06 Apr 2026 00:00 139 480 thousand 150 thousand Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea
Orange 6 06 Apr 2026 06:00 167 580 thousand 160 thousand Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea
Orange 7 06 Apr 2026 12:00 167 1.2 million 150 thousand Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands
Orange 8 06 Apr 2026 18:00 167 610 thousand 130 thousand Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands
Orange 9 07 Apr 2026 00:00 185 500 thousand 90 thousand Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands
Green 10 07 Apr 2026 06:00 213 460 thousand 30 thousand Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea
Orange 11 07 Apr 2026 12:00 213 620 thousand 70 thousand Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea
Green 12 07 Apr 2026 18:00 231 480 thousand 30 thousand Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea
Green 13 08 Apr 2026 00:00 213 620 thousand 40 thousand Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea
Green 14 08 Apr 2026 12:00 204 660 thousand 30 thousand Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea
Green 15 09 Apr 2026 00:00 185 550 thousand 6 thousand Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea
Green 16 09 Apr 2026 12:00 157 570 thousand No people Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea
Green 17 10 Apr 2026 00:00 130 720 thousand No people Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea
Green 18 10 Apr 2026 12:00 83 660 thousand No people Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea
Green 19 11 Apr 2026 00:00 65 410 thousand No people Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea

Bulletin Timeline

Level Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 04 Apr 2026 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 7700 people -9.1, 155.1
GREEN
2 04 Apr 2026 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 52000 people -8.9, 155
GREEN
3 05 Apr 2026 00:00 Category 1 120 <1000 people 38000 people -8.8, 154.2
GREEN
4 05 Apr 2026 12:00 Category 1 139 no people 86000 people -9.3, 154.6
GREEN
5 06 Apr 2026 00:00 Category 2 167 no people 53000 people -9.5, 154.7
GREEN
6 06 Apr 2026 06:00 Category 2 157 no people 72000 people -9.7, 155.3
GREEN
7 06 Apr 2026 12:00 Category 2 176 no people 68000 people -9.7, 155.5
GREEN
8 06 Apr 2026 18:00 Category 2 167 no people 93000 people -9.9, 156.1
GREEN
9 07 Apr 2026 00:00 Category 2 167 no people 93000 people -9.9, 156.4
GREEN
10 07 Apr 2026 06:00 Category 3 185 no people 87000 people -9.9, 156.5
GREEN
11 07 Apr 2026 12:00 Category 3 204 no people 120000 people -9.7, 156.3
GREEN
12 07 Apr 2026 18:00 Category 4 231 no people 81000 people -9.5, 156
GREEN
13 08 Apr 2026 00:00 Category 4 213 no people 180000 people -9, 155.9
GREEN
14 08 Apr 2026 12:00 Category 3 194 no people 290000 people -8.6, 155.7
GREEN
15 09 Apr 2026 00:00 Category 3 185 no people 200000 people -8.5, 155.1
GREEN
16 09 Apr 2026 12:00 Category 2 157 no people 170000 people -8.3, 154.4
GREEN
17 10 Apr 2026 00:00 Category 1 130 no people 350000 people -8.1, 154.6
GREEN
18 10 Apr 2026 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 10000 people -8.4, 154.3
GREEN
19 11 Apr 2026 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 150000 people -7.8, 154.6
GREEN
19 11 Apr 2026 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -8, 154.7
GREEN
19 12 Apr 2026 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -8.3, 154.7
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Solomon Is. 60000 people
Papua New Guinea 240000 people

Provinces

Region Province Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Solomon Is. Solomon Islands 60000 people
Northern Solomons Papua New Guinea 220000 people
Milne Bay Papua New Guinea 20000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Mono MNY 11 0
Ballalae 2 0
Buin UBI unknown 0
Oria OTY unknown 0
Arawa RAW unknown 0
Boku BOQ unknown 0
Karato KAF unknown 0
Torokina TOK unknown 0
Tonu TON unknown 0
Lehu LHP unknown 0
Kurwina KWV unknown 0
Aropa KIE 3 0
Manetai MVI unknown 0
Wakunai WKN 3 0
Inus IUS unknown 0
Barakoma V La Vella VEV unknown 0
Choiseul Bay CHY unknown 0
Guasopa GAZ -1 0
Sabah SBV unknown 0
Dios DOS unknown 0
Kukundu KUE unknown 0
Ringi Cove RIN unknown 0
Munda MUA 3 0
Viru QVU unknown 0
Sege EGM 3 0
Misima MIS 7 0
Tagula TGL unknown 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Blanche Harbour Soloman Islands
Shortland Harbour SBSHH Soloman Islands
Shortland Harbor Soloman Islands
Anewa Bay PGANB Papua New Guinea
Kieta PGKIE Papua New Guinea
Keita Papua New Guinea
Malloco Bay Soloman Islands
Choiseul Bay SBCHY Soloman Islands
Gizo Is SBGZO Soloman Islands
Suloga Harbor Papua New Guinea
Buka PGBUA Papua New Guinea
Ringi Cove SBRIN Soloman Islands
Port Noro SBNOR Soloman Islands
Lever Harbor Soloman Islands
Viru Harbour SBVIU Soloman Islands
Misima Island PGMIS Papua New Guinea
Bwagaoia Papua New Guinea
Rossel Island Papua New Guinea

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.