Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for MAILA-26
in Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAILA-26 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 231 km/h
Maximum storm surge n.a.
Vulnerability High (Papua New Guinea)

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 204 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
Overall 231 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

204 km/h Current Max.

Up to <1000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Level Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 04 Apr 2026 00:00 148 260 thousand No people Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands
Green 2 04 Apr 2026 12:00 176 160 thousand No people Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands
Green 3 05 Apr 2026 00:00 204 220 thousand Few people Papua New Guinea

Bulletin Timeline

Level Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 04 Apr 2026 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 7700 people -9.1, 155.1
GREEN
2 04 Apr 2026 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 52000 people -8.9, 155
GREEN
3 05 Apr 2026 00:00 Category 1 120 <1000 people 38000 people -8.8, 154.2
GREEN
3 05 Apr 2026 12:00 Category 1 148 <1000 people 46000 people -9.1, 154.3
GREEN
3 06 Apr 2026 00:00 Category 2 176 no people 66000 people -9.3, 154.6
GREEN
3 06 Apr 2026 12:00 Category 3 194 no people 79000 people -9.4, 155.2
GREEN
3 07 Apr 2026 00:00 Category 3 204 no people 82000 people -9.4, 155.6
GREEN
3 08 Apr 2026 00:00 Category 2 176 no people 160000 people -9, 155.4
GREEN
3 09 Apr 2026 00:00 Category 2 157 <1000 people 170000 people -8.7, 154.6
GREEN
3 10 Apr 2026 00:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -8.8, 153.6
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country Population in Category 1 or higher strength

Provinces

Region Province Country Population in Category 1 or higher strength

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.