Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIRRILY-24
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIRRILY-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 102 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1 m (25 Jan 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)
Landfall between
25 Jan 2024 06:00 - 25 Jan 2024 18:00

in Australia

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 102 km/h 1.0 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 102 km/h 1.0 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

102 km/h Current Max.

Up to 270000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 23 Jan 2024 00:00 120 360 thousand No people Australia
Green 2 23 Jan 2024 06:00 111 430 thousand No people Australia
Green 3 23 Jan 2024 12:00 102 410 thousand No people Australia
Green 4 23 Jan 2024 18:00 102 310 thousand No people Australia
Green 5 24 Jan 2024 00:00 102 470 thousand No people Australia
Green 6 24 Jan 2024 06:00 102 290 thousand No people Australia
Green 7 24 Jan 2024 12:00 102 330 thousand No people Australia
Green 8 24 Jan 2024 18:00 102 270 thousand No people Australia

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 23 Jan 2024 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -16.6, 153.7
GREEN
2 23 Jan 2024 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -17.1, 153.6
GREEN
3 23 Jan 2024 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -17.3, 153.5
GREEN
4 23 Jan 2024 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -17.3, 153.3
GREEN
5 24 Jan 2024 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -17.3, 153
GREEN
6 24 Jan 2024 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 37000 people -17.4, 152.2
GREEN
7 24 Jan 2024 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 270000 people -17.5, 150.7
GREEN
8 24 Jan 2024 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 250000 people -17.8, 150
GREEN
8 25 Jan 2024 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 260000 people -18.7, 147.8
GREEN
8 25 Jan 2024 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 13000 people -19.8, 145.6 Australia
GREEN
8 26 Jan 2024 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -21, 143.8 Australia
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Australia 260000 people

Provinces

Region Province Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Queensland Australia 260000 people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Bowen Queensland Australia City 11000 people
Ayr Queensland Australia City 9000 people
Home Hill Queensland Australia City -
Townsville Queensland Australia Major city 140000 people
Ingham Queensland Australia City 6000 people
Charters Towners Queensland Australia City -
Hughenden Queensland Australia City -

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Hayman Island HIS unknown 0
Hook Island HIH unknown 0
Bowen ZBO 8 Civ. Unpaved Yes 4400
Daydream Island DDI unknown 0
Ayr AYR 12 Civ. Paved No 3000
Palm Island PMK 9 Civ. Paved Yes 3700
Townsville TSV 5 Civ. Paved Yes 7900
Orpheus Island Resort Waterport ORS unknown 0
Hinchinbrook Island HNK unknown 0
Dunk Island Township DKI unknown 0
Ingham IGH 15 Civ. Paved No 3000
Charters Towers CXT 291 Civ. Paved No 3000
Miners Lake MRL unknown 0
Mt. Full Stop MFL unknown 0
New Moon NMP unknown 0
Hughenden HGD 318 Civ. Paved Yes 5300

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Abbot Point AUABP Coral Sea Islands
Bowen AUZBO Coral Sea Islands
Townsville AUTSV Coral Sea Islands
Lucinda AULUC Coral Sea Islands

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Ross River Ross 1987
Paluma Paluma Swamp Creek 1959

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.0m in Oonoonba, Australia. This height is estimated for 25 Jan 2024 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (133 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 8 of 24 Jan 2024 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
25 Jan 2024 12:00 Oonoonba Australia  1.0
25 Jan 2024 12:00 Cluden Australia  1.0
25 Jan 2024 12:00 Townsville Australia  1.0
25 Jan 2024 12:00 Oolbun Australia  0.9
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Te Kowai Australia  0.8
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Etowri Australia  0.8
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Nindaroo Australia  0.8
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Bucasia Australia  0.8
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Eimeo Australia  0.8
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Andergrove Australia  0.8
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Blacks Beach Australia  0.8
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Carmila Australia  0.8
24 Jan 2024 14:00 Cannonvale Australia  0.8
24 Jan 2024 14:00 Airlie Australia  0.8
25 Jan 2024 09:00 Alva Australia  0.7
25 Jan 2024 10:00 Carstairs Australia  0.7
25 Jan 2024 10:00 Jarvisfield Australia  0.7
25 Jan 2024 10:00 Rita Island Australia  0.7
24 Jan 2024 12:00 Lethebrook Australia  0.7
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Banana Pocket Australia  0.7
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Midgeton Australia  0.6
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Flaggy Rock Australia  0.6
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Slade Point Australia  0.6
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Amhurst Australia  0.6
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Glenella Australia  0.6
24 Jan 2024 13:00 North Mackay Australia  0.6
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Mackay Australia  0.6
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Cremorne Australia  0.6
24 Jan 2024 12:00 Bakers Creek Australia  0.6
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Rosella Australia  0.6
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Chelona Australia  0.6
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Hay Point Australia  0.6
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Taffy Islet Australia  0.5
24 Jan 2024 14:00 Alligator Creek Australia  0.5
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Elalie Australia  0.5
25 Jan 2024 20:00 Kalarka Australia  0.5
25 Jan 2024 20:00 Clairview Australia  0.5
24 Jan 2024 15:00 Seaforth Australia  0.5
25 Jan 2024 20:00 Saint Lawrence Australia  0.5
25 Jan 2024 12:00 Bowen Australia  0.4
25 Jan 2024 12:00 Yumbabullo Australia  0.4
25 Jan 2024 12:00 Inveroona Australia  0.4
25 Jan 2024 12:00 Queens Beach Australia  0.4
24 Jan 2024 12:00 Keppel Sands Australia  0.4
24 Jan 2024 14:00 Farnborough Australia  0.4
24 Jan 2024 14:00 Yeppoon Australia  0.4
24 Jan 2024 14:00 Emu Park Australia  0.4
25 Jan 2024 12:00 Merinda Australia  0.4
25 Jan 2024 12:00 Delta Australia  0.4
25 Jan 2024 12:00 Bootooloo Australia  0.4
25 Jan 2024 15:00 Kinduro Australia  0.3
24 Jan 2024 12:00 Southend Australia  0.3
24 Jan 2024 14:00 Bula Papua New Guinea  0.3
24 Jan 2024 14:00 Jara Papua New Guinea  0.3
24 Jan 2024 12:00 Sidabadu Papua New Guinea  0.3
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Sarire Indonesia  0.3
25 Jan 2024 15:00 Rollingstone Australia  0.3
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Kumbe Indonesia  0.3
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Merauke Indonesia  0.3
24 Jan 2024 12:00 Anansai Indonesia  0.3
24 Jan 2024 12:00 Wendu Indonesia  0.3
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Matara Indonesia  0.3
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Urum Indonesia  0.3
25 Jan 2024 15:00 Coolbie Australia  0.3
25 Jan 2024 22:00 Badu Australia  0.3
25 Jan 2024 15:00 Moongobulla Australia  0.3
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Onggalie Indonesia  0.3
25 Jan 2024 21:00 Port Kennedy Australia  0.3
25 Jan 2024 22:00 Hammond I Australia  0.3
23 Jan 2024 15:00 Saibai Australia  0.3
23 Jan 2024 15:00 Hamlet of Togo Papua New Guinea  0.3
23 Jan 2024 15:00 Mabaduan Papua New Guinea  0.3
24 Jan 2024 14:00 Kotad Indonesia  0.3
24 Jan 2024 14:00 Dumande Indonesia  0.3
24 Jan 2024 12:00 Alakoe Indonesia  0.2
24 Jan 2024 12:00 Alatepi Indonesia  0.2
25 Jan 2024 15:00 Halifax Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Taroea Anim Indonesia  0.2
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Targinie Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Beecher Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Gladstone Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Toolooa Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Parsons Point Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2024 19:00 Cassady Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2024 20:00 Lucinda Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2024 14:00 Okaba Indonesia  0.2
24 Jan 2024 14:00 Moegaigare Indonesia  0.2
25 Jan 2024 21:00 Mapoon Australia  0.2
25 Jan 2024 21:00 Seisia Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2024 12:00 Mutarnee Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2024 16:00 Kobiem Indonesia  0.2
25 Jan 2024 21:00 Cape York Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2024 10:00 Boyne Island Australia  0.2
24 Jan 2024 10:00 Benaraby Australia  0.2
25 Jan 2024 19:00 Kowanyama Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2024 09:00 Pantava Papua New Guinea  0.2
23 Jan 2024 13:00 Hekampan Papua New Guinea  0.2
24 Jan 2024 12:00 Birab Indonesia  0.2
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Welab Indonesia  0.2
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Bustard Head Australia  0.2
25 Jan 2024 20:00 Weipa Australia  0.2
25 Jan 2024 20:00 Weipa South Australia  0.2
23 Jan 2024 09:00 Rewe Papua New Guinea  0.2
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Papisote Indonesia  0.2
23 Jan 2024 12:00 Gelib Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2024 19:00 Deeral Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2024 19:00 Bellenden Ker Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2024 19:00 South Mission Beach Australia  0.1
23 Jan 2024 09:00 Madaua Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Jan 2024 12:00 Lahimoina Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Jan 2024 12:00 Leileiafa Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Jan 2024 14:00 Wamal Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2024 20:00 Innisfail Australia  0.1
23 Jan 2024 08:00 Tagula Papua New Guinea  0.1
25 Jan 2024 21:00 Dolatanden Indonesia  0.1
23 Jan 2024 15:00 Waidoro Papua New Guinea  0.1
25 Jan 2024 20:00 Kulinchin Australia  0.1
25 Jan 2024 03:00 Karumba Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2024 10:00 Seventeen Seventy Australia  0.1
23 Jan 2024 13:00 Komoran Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2024 20:00 Kladar Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2024 20:00 Sabon Indonesia  0.1
25 Jan 2024 20:00 Tor Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2024 19:00 Kamma Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2024 19:00 Yarrabah Aboriginal Community Australia  0.1
24 Jan 2024 19:00 Lower Tully Australia  0.1
23 Jan 2024 09:00 Griffin Point Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Jan 2024 09:00 Kamaua Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Jan 2024 09:00 Mira Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Jan 2024 07:00 Gadaisu Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Jan 2024 09:00 Mirimairau Papua New Guinea  0.1
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Konerau Indonesia  0.1
24 Jan 2024 13:00 Selemit Indonesia  0.1