Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KIRRILY-24 in Australia from 23 Jan 2024 00:00 UTC to 12:00

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIRRILY-24

in Australia

23 Jan 2024 12 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIRRILY-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Australia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	102 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.2 m (25 Jan 11:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)
Landfall	between 25 Jan 2024 00:00 - 25 Jan 2024 12:00 in Australia

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	102 km/h	1.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	102 km/h	1.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

102 km/h Current Max.

Up to 410000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	23 Jan 2024 00:00	120	360 thousand	No people	Australia
2	23 Jan 2024 06:00	111	430 thousand	No people	Australia
3	23 Jan 2024 12:00	102	410 thousand	No people	Australia

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	23 Jan 2024 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-16.6, 153.7
2	23 Jan 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-17.1, 153.6
3	23 Jan 2024 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-17.3, 153.5
3	24 Jan 2024 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	-17.6, 152.5
3	24 Jan 2024 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	230000 people	-17.9, 151.1
3	25 Jan 2024 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	400000 people	-18.5, 149.2
3	25 Jan 2024 12:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	310000 people	-19.5, 147.2	Australia
3	26 Jan 2024 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-22, 144	Australia

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country	Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Australia	380000 people

Provinces

Region Province	Country	Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Queensland	Australia	380000 people

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Proserpine	Queensland	Australia	City	-
Mackay	Queensland	Australia	City	75000 people
Bowen	Queensland	Australia	City	11000 people
Ayr	Queensland	Australia	City	9000 people
Home Hill	Queensland	Australia	City	-
Collinsville	Queensland	Australia	City	-
Townsville	Queensland	Australia	Major city	140000 people
Ingham	Queensland	Australia	City	6000 people
Tully	Queensland	Australia	City	-
Charters Towners	Queensland	Australia	City	-
Hughenden	Queensland	Australia	City	-
Winton	Queensland	Australia	City	-

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Hayman Island	HIS	unknown				0
Hook Island	HIH	unknown				0
Lindeman Island	LDC	unknown				0
Hamilton Island	HTI	5	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5900
Shute Harbour Heliport	JHQ	unknown				0
Proserpine	PPP	25	Civ.	Paved	Yes	6800
Bowen	ZBO	8	Civ.	Unpaved	Yes	4400
Daydream Island	DDI	unknown				0
Collinsville	KCE	unknown				0
Ayr	AYR	12	Civ.	Paved	No	3000
Townsville	TSV	5	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7900
Palm Island	PMK	9	Civ.	Paved	Yes	3700
Orpheus Island Resort Waterport	ORS	unknown				0
Hinchinbrook Island	HNK	unknown				0
Dunk Island Township	DKI	unknown				0
Ingham	IGH	15	Civ.	Paved	No	3000
Charters Towers	CXT	291	Civ.	Paved	No	3000
Miners Lake	MRL	unknown				0
Mt. Full Stop	MFL	unknown				0
Hughenden	HGD	318	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5300
New Moon	NMP	unknown				0
Muttaburra	UTB	unknown				0
Winton	WIN	194	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4600

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Mackay	AUMKY	Coral Sea Islands
Bowen	AUZBO	Coral Sea Islands
Abbot Point	AUABP	Coral Sea Islands
Townsville	AUTSV	Coral Sea Islands
Lucinda	AULUC	Coral Sea Islands
Mourilyan	AUMOU	Coral Sea Islands

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
	Peter Faust	Proserpine	1990
	Kinchant	North Branch of Sandy Creek	1986
	Eungella	Broken	1969
	Ross River	Ross	1987
Dalrymple	Burdekin Falls	Burdekin	1987
Paluma	Paluma	Swamp Creek	1959

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

1.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 1.2m in Alva, Australia. This height is estimated for 25 Jan 2024 11:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (117 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 3 of 23 Jan 2024 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	25 Jan 2024 11:00	Alva	Australia	1.2
	25 Jan 2024 11:00	Carstairs	Australia	1.1
	25 Jan 2024 11:00	Jarvisfield	Australia	1.1
	25 Jan 2024 11:00	Rita Island	Australia	1.1
	25 Jan 2024 04:00	Cannonvale	Australia	0.8
	25 Jan 2024 04:00	Airlie	Australia	0.8
	25 Jan 2024 05:00	Banana Pocket	Australia	0.8
	25 Jan 2024 05:00	Lethebrook	Australia	0.8
	25 Jan 2024 05:00	Midgeton	Australia	0.8
	24 Jan 2024 16:00	Carmila	Australia	0.7
	24 Jan 2024 17:00	Te Kowai	Australia	0.7
	24 Jan 2024 17:00	Etowri	Australia	0.7
	24 Jan 2024 17:00	Nindaroo	Australia	0.7
	24 Jan 2024 17:00	Bucasia	Australia	0.7
	24 Jan 2024 17:00	Eimeo	Australia	0.7
	24 Jan 2024 17:00	Andergrove	Australia	0.7
	24 Jan 2024 17:00	Blacks Beach	Australia	0.7
	25 Jan 2024 12:00	Bowen	Australia	0.7
	25 Jan 2024 12:00	Yumbabullo	Australia	0.7
	25 Jan 2024 10:00	Flaggy Rock	Australia	0.7
	25 Jan 2024 12:00	Inveroona	Australia	0.7
	25 Jan 2024 12:00	Queens Beach	Australia	0.7
	25 Jan 2024 11:00	Kalarka	Australia	0.6
	25 Jan 2024 11:00	Clairview	Australia	0.6
	25 Jan 2024 07:00	Seaforth	Australia	0.6
	25 Jan 2024 11:00	Elalie	Australia	0.6
	25 Jan 2024 12:00	Merinda	Australia	0.6
	25 Jan 2024 12:00	Delta	Australia	0.6
	25 Jan 2024 12:00	Bootooloo	Australia	0.6
	24 Jan 2024 18:00	Slade Point	Australia	0.6
	24 Jan 2024 18:00	Amhurst	Australia	0.6
	25 Jan 2024 12:00	Saint Lawrence	Australia	0.6
	24 Jan 2024 18:00	Glenella	Australia	0.6
	24 Jan 2024 17:00	North Mackay	Australia	0.6
	24 Jan 2024 17:00	Mackay	Australia	0.6
	24 Jan 2024 17:00	Cremorne	Australia	0.6
	24 Jan 2024 18:00	Bakers Creek	Australia	0.6
	25 Jan 2024 08:00	Taffy Islet	Australia	0.6
	24 Jan 2024 19:00	Rosella	Australia	0.6
	24 Jan 2024 19:00	Chelona	Australia	0.6
	24 Jan 2024 19:00	Hay Point	Australia	0.5
	24 Jan 2024 18:00	Alligator Creek	Australia	0.5
	24 Jan 2024 14:00	Keppel Sands	Australia	0.4
	24 Jan 2024 14:00	Farnborough	Australia	0.4
	24 Jan 2024 14:00	Yeppoon	Australia	0.4
	24 Jan 2024 14:00	Emu Park	Australia	0.4
	24 Jan 2024 14:00	Parsons Point	Australia	0.4
	24 Jan 2024 14:00	Southend	Australia	0.4
	25 Jan 2024 14:00	Oolbun	Australia	0.4
	25 Jan 2024 14:00	Townsville	Australia	0.3
	25 Jan 2024 14:00	Cluden	Australia	0.3
	25 Jan 2024 14:00	Oonoonba	Australia	0.3
	24 Jan 2024 17:00	Port Alma	Australia	0.3
	23 Jan 2024 17:00	Sidabadu	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	24 Jan 2024 16:00	Sarire	Indonesia	0.3
	24 Jan 2024 16:00	Kumbe	Indonesia	0.3
	24 Jan 2024 16:00	Anansai	Indonesia	0.3
	24 Jan 2024 16:00	Wendu	Indonesia	0.3
	24 Jan 2024 16:00	Matara	Indonesia	0.3
	24 Jan 2024 16:00	Urum	Indonesia	0.3
	24 Jan 2024 16:00	Merauke	Indonesia	0.3
	24 Jan 2024 16:00	Bula	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	24 Jan 2024 16:00	Jara	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	24 Jan 2024 17:00	Badu	Australia	0.3
	24 Jan 2024 16:00	Onggalie	Indonesia	0.3
	23 Jan 2024 15:00	Saibai	Australia	0.3
	23 Jan 2024 15:00	Hamlet of Togo	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	23 Jan 2024 15:00	Mabaduan	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	24 Jan 2024 17:00	Hammond I	Australia	0.3
	24 Jan 2024 16:00	Kotad	Indonesia	0.3
	24 Jan 2024 16:00	Dumande	Indonesia	0.3
	24 Jan 2024 17:00	Port Kennedy	Australia	0.2
	24 Jan 2024 14:00	Targinie	Australia	0.2
	24 Jan 2024 14:00	Beecher	Australia	0.2
	24 Jan 2024 14:00	Gladstone	Australia	0.2
	24 Jan 2024 14:00	Toolooa	Australia	0.2
	24 Jan 2024 16:00	Alakoe	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Jan 2024 16:00	Alatepi	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Jan 2024 17:00	Taroea Anim	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Jan 2024 15:00	Boyne Island	Australia	0.2
	24 Jan 2024 16:00	Okaba	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Jan 2024 16:00	Moegaigare	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Jan 2024 14:00	Bustard Head	Australia	0.2
	25 Jan 2024 02:00	Lucinda	Australia	0.2
	23 Jan 2024 16:00	Kobiem	Indonesia	0.2
	24 Jan 2024 15:00	Benaraby	Australia	0.2
	25 Jan 2024 02:00	Cassady	Australia	0.2
	23 Jan 2024 09:00	Tagula	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	24 Jan 2024 17:00	Birab	Indonesia	0.2
	23 Jan 2024 09:00	Pantava	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	23 Jan 2024 16:00	Welab	Indonesia	0.2
	23 Jan 2024 09:00	Rewe	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	23 Jan 2024 15:00	Papisote	Indonesia	0.2
	23 Jan 2024 15:00	Gelib	Indonesia	0.2
	23 Jan 2024 15:00	Wamal	Indonesia	0.1
	23 Jan 2024 09:00	Madaua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	23 Jan 2024 16:00	Lahimoina	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	23 Jan 2024 16:00	Leileiafa	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	24 Jan 2024 18:00	Seisia	Australia	0.1
	24 Jan 2024 14:00	Seventeen Seventy	Australia	0.1
	25 Jan 2024 00:00	Deeral	Australia	0.1
	25 Jan 2024 00:00	Bellenden Ker	Australia	0.1
	25 Jan 2024 01:00	South Mission Beach	Australia	0.1
	25 Jan 2024 01:00	Halifax	Australia	0.1
	23 Jan 2024 14:00	Komoran	Indonesia	0.1
	25 Jan 2024 01:00	Innisfail	Australia	0.1
	23 Jan 2024 06:00	Hekampan	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	23 Jan 2024 09:00	Griffin Point	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	23 Jan 2024 09:00	Kamaua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	23 Jan 2024 09:00	Mira	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	25 Jan 2024 00:00	Kamma	Australia	0.1
	25 Jan 2024 00:00	Yarrabah Aboriginal Community	Australia	0.1
	23 Jan 2024 07:00	Gadaisu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	23 Jan 2024 09:00	Mirimairau	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	23 Jan 2024 13:00	Wan	Indonesia	0.1
	23 Jan 2024 13:00	Konerau	Indonesia	0.1
	23 Jan 2024 13:00	Selemit	Indonesia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.