Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for JULIA-22 in Nicaragua from 06 Oct 2022 15:00 UTC to 07 Oct 2022 09:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for JULIA-22

in Nicaragua

07 Oct 2022 09 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JULIA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Nicaragua
Exposed population	520 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	139 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.9 m (09 Oct 15:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Nicaragua)
Landfall	between 09 Oct 2022 06:00 - 09 Oct 2022 18:00 in Nicaragua

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	139 km/h	0.9 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	139 km/h	0.9 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

139 km/h Current Max.

Up to 36000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	06 Oct 2022 15:00	83	17.9 million	No people	Colombia, Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador, Guatemala, Mexico
2	06 Oct 2022 21:00	139	15.2 million	No people	Venezuela, Colombia, Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador, Guatemala
3	07 Oct 2022 03:00	139	12.3 million	200 thousand	Nicaragua, Honduras
4	07 Oct 2022 09:00	139	4.4 million	40 thousand	Nicaragua

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	06 Oct 2022 15:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	11.4, -67
2	06 Oct 2022 21:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	380000 people	11.6, -68.7
3	07 Oct 2022 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	73000 people	11.9, -69.8	Venezuela
4	07 Oct 2022 09:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	59000 people	12.1, -71.1	Colombia
4	07 Oct 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	12.7, -73.5
4	08 Oct 2022 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	13.1, -76.5
4	08 Oct 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	111	5300 people	220000 people	13.2, -79.5
4	09 Oct 2022 06:00	Category 1	139	36000 people	1.1 million people	13.2, -82
4	09 Oct 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	4.2 million people	13.5, -84.3	Nicaragua
4	10 Oct 2022 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	14.1, -86.7	Honduras
4	11 Oct 2022 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	16, -91.5	Guatemala, Mexico

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country	Population in Category 1 or higher strength
Nicaragua	36000 people

Provinces

Region Province	Country	Population in Category 1 or higher strength
Zelaya	Nicaragua	36000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Siuna	SIU	unknown				0

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Puerto Isabel		Nicaragua

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.9m in Coco Haulover, Nicaragua. This height is estimated for 09 Oct 2022 15:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (55 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 4 of 07 Oct 2022 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	09 Oct 2022 15:00	Coco Haulover	Nicaragua	0.9
	09 Oct 2022 14:00	Hualpasika	Nicaragua	0.9
	09 Oct 2022 14:00	Wounta	Nicaragua	0.9
	09 Oct 2022 14:00	Tahuantla	Nicaragua	0.8
	09 Oct 2022 15:00	Puerto Cabezas	Nicaragua	0.7
	09 Oct 2022 15:00	Lama Laya	Nicaragua	0.7
	09 Oct 2022 15:00	Tuapi	Nicaragua	0.7
	09 Oct 2022 14:00	Puerto Isabel	Nicaragua	0.7
	09 Oct 2022 15:00	Karata	Nicaragua	0.7
	09 Oct 2022 15:00	Huahua	Nicaragua	0.7
	09 Oct 2022 15:00	Crucira	Nicaragua	0.7
	09 Oct 2022 15:00	Ninayeri	Nicaragua	0.6
	09 Oct 2022 15:00	Ledakura	Nicaragua	0.6
	09 Oct 2022 15:00	Graytown	Nicaragua	0.6
	09 Oct 2022 14:00	Awastara	Nicaragua	0.5
	09 Oct 2022 14:00	Wankluma	Nicaragua	0.5
	09 Oct 2022 14:00	Raya	Honduras	0.4
	09 Oct 2022 14:00	Clubki	Honduras	0.4
	09 Oct 2022 14:00	Cabo Gracias Viejo	Nicaragua	0.4
	09 Oct 2022 18:00	Uhi	Honduras	0.3
	09 Oct 2022 15:00	Irlaya	Honduras	0.3
	09 Oct 2022 15:00	Cabo Gracias a Dios	Honduras	0.3
	09 Oct 2022 17:00	Patlaya	Honduras	0.3
	09 Oct 2022 04:00	Aguadulce	Colombia	0.3
	09 Oct 2022 04:00	Morris Hill	Colombia	0.3
	09 Oct 2022 04:00	Franshua	Colombia	0.3
	09 Oct 2022 15:00	Kanko	Honduras	0.2
	09 Oct 2022 14:00	Canco	Honduras	0.2
	09 Oct 2022 14:00	Barra Kruta	Honduras	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 09:00	Guaguri	Colombia	0.2
	09 Oct 2022 16:00	Pusuaya	Honduras	0.2
	09 Oct 2022 16:00	Yahurabila	Honduras	0.2
	07 Oct 2022 09:00	Punta Espada	Colombia	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 14:00	Tay Lirila	Honduras	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 16:00	Barra de Caratasca	Honduras	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 15:00	Kaski	Honduras	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 09:00	Chichibacoa	Colombia	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 11:00	San Jose	Colombia	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 18:00	Set Net	Nicaragua	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 14:00	Cauauira	Honduras	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 11:00	Corn Island	Nicaragua	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 14:00	Dapat	Honduras	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 17:00	Sandy Bay Sirpi	Nicaragua	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 12:00	Barra de Rio Grande	Nicaragua	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 10:00	Puerto Estrella	Colombia	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 12:00	Kaurimahana	Colombia	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 09:00	Karasua	Colombia	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 09:00	Puerto Ingles	Colombia	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 16:00	Claura	Honduras	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 17:00	Barra del Patuca	Honduras	0.1
	09 Oct 2022 11:00	Tasbapauni	Nicaragua	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 05:00	Los Taques	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 05:00	Adaro	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 05:00	Punto Fijo	Venezuela	0.1
	07 Oct 2022 05:00	Las Piedras	Venezuela	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.