Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for CEMPAKA-21
in China

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CEMPAKA-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Glide number: TC-2021-000094-CHN
Exposed countries China
Exposed population 2.2 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
Maximum storm surge n.a.
Vulnerability Medium (China)
Landfall between
20 Jul 2021 00:00 - 20 Jul 2021 12:00

in China

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 120 km/h n.a. n.a. 1.5
Overall 139 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

120 km/h Current Max.

Up to 860000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 2 18 Jul 2021 18:00 102 12.4 million No people China
Green 3 19 Jul 2021 00:00 111 7.1 million No people China
Green 4 19 Jul 2021 06:00 120 14.2 million Few people China
Orange 5 19 Jul 2021 12:00 120 12.4 million 300 thousand China
Orange 6 19 Jul 2021 18:00 120 22.5 million 850 thousand China
Orange 7 20 Jul 2021 00:00 120 78.5 million 860 thousand China

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
2 18 Jul 2021 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 20.8, 113.2
GREEN
3 19 Jul 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 210000 people 20.9, 113.1
GREEN
4 19 Jul 2021 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 1.9 million people 21, 113
GREEN
5 19 Jul 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 102 <1000 people 1.7 million people 21.2, 112.7
GREEN
6 19 Jul 2021 18:00 Category 1 120 <1000 people 1.8 million people 21.2, 112.5
ORANGE
7 20 Jul 2021 00:00 Category 1 120 870000 people 13.4 million people 21.3, 112.4
GREEN
7 20 Jul 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 9.4 million people 21.6, 112.1 China
GREEN
7 21 Jul 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 12.5 million people 21.8, 111.5 China
GREEN
7 21 Jul 2021 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 21.9, 110.6 China
GREEN
7 22 Jul 2021 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 11 million people 21.5, 109.9 China
GREEN
7 23 Jul 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 17.9 million people 19.9, 110.3 China
GREEN
7 24 Jul 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 67.5 million people 19, 112.7
GREEN
7 25 Jul 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 21, 117.1
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
China

Provinces

Region Province Country
Guangdong China

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Jiangcheng Guangdong China City -

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Yangjiang CNYJI China

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.