Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for CEMPAKA-21
in China

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CEMPAKA-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Glide number: TC-2021-000094-CHN
Exposed countries China
Exposed population 2.2 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
Maximum storm surge n.a.
Vulnerability Medium (China)
Landfall between
23 Jul 2021 06:00 - 24 Jul 2021 06:00

in China

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 65 km/h n.a. n.a. 1.5
Overall 139 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

65 km/h Current Max.

Up to 36.9 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 2 18 Jul 2021 18:00 102 12.4 million No people China
Green 3 19 Jul 2021 00:00 111 7.1 million No people China
Green 4 19 Jul 2021 06:00 120 14.2 million Few people China
Orange 5 19 Jul 2021 12:00 120 12.4 million 300 thousand China
Orange 6 19 Jul 2021 18:00 120 22.5 million 850 thousand China
Orange 7 20 Jul 2021 00:00 120 78.5 million 860 thousand China
Orange 8 20 Jul 2021 06:00 130 52.4 million 1.4 million China
Orange 9 20 Jul 2021 12:00 139 53.8 million 1.8 million China
Green 10 20 Jul 2021 18:00 102 28.6 million 2.2 million China
Orange 11 21 Jul 2021 00:00 65 44.6 million 2.2 million China
Orange 12 21 Jul 2021 06:00 65 36.9 million 2.2 million China

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
2 18 Jul 2021 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 20.8, 113.2
GREEN
3 19 Jul 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 210000 people 20.9, 113.1
GREEN
4 19 Jul 2021 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 1.9 million people 21, 113
GREEN
5 19 Jul 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 102 <1000 people 1.7 million people 21.2, 112.7
GREEN
6 19 Jul 2021 18:00 Category 1 120 <1000 people 1.8 million people 21.2, 112.5
ORANGE
7 20 Jul 2021 00:00 Category 1 120 870000 people 13.4 million people 21.3, 112.4
ORANGE
8 20 Jul 2021 06:00 Category 1 130 1.4 million people 16.2 million people 21.4, 112.3
ORANGE
9 20 Jul 2021 12:00 Category 1 139 1.8 million people 21.5 million people 21.7, 112 China
GREEN
10 20 Jul 2021 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 11.6 million people 21.7, 111.4 China
GREEN
11 21 Jul 2021 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 9.3 million people 21.9, 110.9 China
GREEN
12 21 Jul 2021 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 22.1, 110.9 China
GREEN
12 21 Jul 2021 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 22.3, 110.1 China
GREEN
12 22 Jul 2021 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 22.1, 109.1 China
GREEN
12 22 Jul 2021 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 3.5 million people 21.5, 108.5 China
ORANGE
12 23 Jul 2021 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 13.7 million people 20.7, 108.3
GREEN
12 24 Jul 2021 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 9.7 million people 19.1, 109.6 China
GREEN
12 25 Jul 2021 06:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 19.4, 112.5
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
China
Vietnam

Provinces

Region Province Country
Guangdong China
Guangxi China
Hainan China
Macau China
Quang Ninh Viet Nam
Lang Son Viet Nam
Hai Phong Viet Nam

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Gaozhou Guangdong China City 160000 people
Maoming Guangdong China City 470000 people
Meilu Guangdong China City 100000 people
Huangpo Guangdong China City -
Chuncheng Guangdong China City 150000 people
Jiangcheng Guangdong China City -
Encheng Guangdong China City 110000 people
Xinxing Guangdong China City -
Cangcheng Guangdong China City -
Sihe Guangdong China City -
Lianzhou Guangxi China City 71000 people
Zhaoqing Guangdong China City 360000 people
Taicheng Guangdong China City 140000 people
Beihai Guangxi China City 290000 people
Mingcheng Guangdong China City -
Sanbu Guangdong China City 140000 people
Xincheng Guangdong China City -
Jiangmen Guangdong China City 530000 people
Haikou Hainan China City 610000 people
Xiaolan Guangdong China City 180000 people
Zhongshan Guangdong China City 340000 people
Sanxiang Guangdong China City -
Dingcheng Hainan China City -
Macau Macau SAR Macau (China) Major city -
Lingao Hainan China City 65000 people
Wencheng Hainan China City -
Jinjiang Hainan China City -
Jiaji Hainan China City -
Wancheng Hainan China City -
Cam Pha Quang Ninh Vietnam City 130000 people
Duntou Hainan China City -
Baocheng Hainan China City -
Lingcheng Hainan China City -
Sanya Hainan China City 140000 people
Yacheng Hainan China City -
Yulin Hainan China City -
Huangliu Hainan China City -

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Beihai BHY 25 0
Haikou 26 Civ. Paved Yes 11800
Meilan HAK 23 0
Zhuhai ZUH 6 0
Shanzhou SZO unknown 0
Macau MFM 6 Civ. Paved Yes 11000
Jtalaishi 121 0
Lingshui 25 0
Foluo Northeast 165 0
Sanya-Yaxian 15 0
Sanya (Fenghuang) SYX 28 Civ. Paved Yes 11100

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Shuidong CNSDG China
Yangjiang CNYJI China
Bei Hai CNBHY China
Wei Chou Island China
Jiangmen CNJMN China
Haikou CNHAK China
Hsu Wen China
Fangcheng Gang China
Lin Kao China
Fangcheng CNFAN China
Van Hoa Vietnam
Cam Pha Vietnam
Paso China
Basuo CNBAS China
Hongai VNHON Vietnam
Cua Lo China
Sanya CNSYX China
Yu Lin Chiang China
Cape Bastion China

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Gaozhou Dajing He 1959
Fucao Qianpai He 1997
Huangsha Yanghua Jiang 1960
Renshui Luoguang Shui 1975
Jinjiang Tan He 1972
Donghu Nalong He 1961
Dalongdong Dalongdong He 1959
Hexi Rong Jiang 1958
Fushan Huachang 1974
Jiatan Haizai 1961
Songtao Nandu Jiang 1970
Niululing Wanquan 1979
Shilu Shilu 1973
Xiaomei Duzuong 1975
Daguanba Changhua Jiang 1995
Tuoxin Ganen He 1978
Changmao Wanglou 1960
Banling Shanya 1969
Baogu Hingyuan 1979

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.