Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for ETA-20
in Nicaragua, United States, Honduras
02 Nov 2020 15 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone ETA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Nicaragua, United States, Honduras
    Exposed population 200 thousand in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 241 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 1.3 m (03 Nov 18:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Nicaragua)
    Landfall between
    03 Nov 2020 12:00 - 04 Nov 2020 00:00
    in Nicaragua

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 222 km/h 1.3 m n.a. 1.5
    Overall 241 km/h 1.3 m n.a. 1.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      222 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 130000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Orange 1 31 Oct 2020 21:00 139 7.1 million 290 thousand Nicaragua
        Orange 2 01 Nov 2020 03:00 130 6.3 million 200 thousand Nicaragua, Honduras
        Green 3 01 Nov 2020 09:00 148 3.4 million 100 thousand Nicaragua
        Orange 4 01 Nov 2020 15:00 130 7.5 million 130 thousand Nicaragua
        Orange 5 01 Nov 2020 21:00 176 15.1 million 170 thousand Nicaragua
        Red 6 02 Nov 2020 03:00 185 9.4 million 130 thousand Nicaragua
        Orange 7 02 Nov 2020 09:00 176 1.5 million 150 thousand Nicaragua
        Orange 8 02 Nov 2020 15:00 222 1.3 million 130 thousand Nicaragua

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 31 Oct 2020 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 15, -73.2
          GREEN
          		 2 01 Nov 2020 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 15, -74.2
          GREEN
          		 3 01 Nov 2020 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 15.2, -75.7
          GREEN
          		 4 01 Nov 2020 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 14.8, -77.2
          GREEN
          		 5 01 Nov 2020 21:00 Tropical storm 102 no people <1000 people 14.9, -78.9
          GREEN
          		 6 02 Nov 2020 03:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 25000 people 14.9, -80
          GREEN
          		 7 02 Nov 2020 09:00 Category 1 120 no people 210000 people 14.8, -80.9
          GREEN
          		 8 02 Nov 2020 15:00 Category 2 176 no people 210000 people 14.8, -81.5
          ORANGE
          		 8 03 Nov 2020 00:00 Category 4 213 64000 people 480000 people 14.4, -82.4
          ORANGE
          		 8 03 Nov 2020 12:00 Category 4 222 86000 people 790000 people 14, -83.1
          ORANGE
          		 8 04 Nov 2020 00:00 Category 2 167 120000 people 790000 people 13.9, -83.6 Nicaragua
          GREEN
          		 8 04 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 900000 people 13.9, -84.5 Nicaragua
          GREEN
          		 8 05 Nov 2020 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 14.2, -85.7 Honduras
          GREEN
          		 8 05 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 14.6, -87 Honduras
          GREEN
          		 8 06 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 15.8, -87.7 Honduras
          GREEN
          		 8 07 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.5, -86.5
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Nicaragua

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Zelaya Nicaragua

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Puerto Cabezas Atlántico Norte Nicaragua City 34000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Puerto Cabezas PUZ 16 Civ. Paved No 8200
          Rosita RFS 63 0
          Bonanza San Pedro BZA unknown 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Cayos Miskitos Nicaragua
          Tuapi Nicaragua
          Puerto Cabezas NIPUZ Nicaragua
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          1.3 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  1.3m in Puerto Cabezas, Nicaragua. This height is estimated for 03 Nov 2020 18:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (117 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 8 of 02 Nov 2020 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          03 Nov 2020 18:00 Puerto Cabezas Nicaragua  1.3
          03 Nov 2020 18:00 Tuapi Nicaragua  1.3
          03 Nov 2020 18:00 Crucira Nicaragua  1.3
          04 Nov 2020 01:00 Lama Laya Nicaragua  1.2
          03 Nov 2020 16:00 Ninayeri Nicaragua  1.1
          03 Nov 2020 16:00 Ledakura Nicaragua  1.1
          03 Nov 2020 16:00 Graytown Nicaragua  1.1
          03 Nov 2020 15:00 Awastara Nicaragua  1.0
          03 Nov 2020 21:00 Karata Nicaragua  0.9
          03 Nov 2020 21:00 Huahua Nicaragua  0.8
          03 Nov 2020 09:00 Raya Honduras  0.5
          03 Nov 2020 09:00 Clubki Honduras  0.5
          04 Nov 2020 09:00 Uhi Honduras  0.5
          03 Nov 2020 05:00 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.4
          04 Nov 2020 08:00 Patlaya Honduras  0.4
          04 Nov 2020 01:00 Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.4
          03 Nov 2020 17:00 Irlaya Honduras  0.3
          03 Nov 2020 16:00 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.3
          03 Nov 2020 06:00 Kanko Honduras  0.2
          04 Nov 2020 18:00 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.2
          04 Nov 2020 12:00 Boca Chica Panama  0.2
          04 Nov 2020 07:00 Pusuaya Honduras  0.2
          04 Nov 2020 07:00 Yahurabila Honduras  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 22:00 Ararca Colombia  0.2
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Isla Torta Panama  0.2
          04 Nov 2020 12:00 Machacal Guatemala  0.2
          02 Nov 2020 10:00 Tay Lirila Honduras  0.2
          04 Nov 2020 12:00 Livingston Guatemala  0.2
          04 Nov 2020 12:00 Macho Creek Guatemala  0.2
          04 Nov 2020 12:00 Puerto Barrios Guatemala  0.2
          04 Nov 2020 12:00 Corozo Guatemala  0.2
          04 Nov 2020 12:00 Barra del Motagua Guatemala  0.2
          04 Nov 2020 15:00 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.2
          04 Nov 2020 15:00 Paso Real Mexico  0.2
          02 Nov 2020 08:00 Canco Honduras  0.2
          02 Nov 2020 10:00 Barra Kruta Honduras  0.2
          04 Nov 2020 07:00 Barra de Caratasca Honduras  0.2
          02 Nov 2020 10:00 Cauauira Honduras  0.2
          02 Nov 2020 10:00 Dapat Honduras  0.2
          04 Nov 2020 06:00 Wounta Nicaragua  0.2
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Fuerte Kobbe Panama  0.2
          04 Nov 2020 12:00 La Graciosa Guatemala  0.2
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Vaca Monte Panama  0.2
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Vera Cruz Panama  0.2
          04 Nov 2020 07:00 Kaski Honduras  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Juan Dias Panama  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 09:00 Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Chiman Panama  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 08:00 Claura Honduras  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 El Sitio Panama  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Cocoli Guatemala  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 12:00 Mullins Belize  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Saboga Panama  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Boca de Pacora Panama  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Chepillo Panama  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Palo Grande Panama  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 09:00 Hualpasika Nicaragua  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Ciudad Radial Panama  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 10:00 Rio Platano Honduras  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 09:00 Huarta Honduras  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 09:00 Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Cambalache Guatemala  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 San Juan Guatemala  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 20:00 Piedrecitas Colombia  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 20:00 Leticia Colombia  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 20:00 Santa Rita Venezuela  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 20:00 El Bebedero Venezuela  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 20:00 Punta Igauna Venezuela  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 20:00 Palmarejo Venezuela  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Boca de Torin Panama  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Chinina Panama  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Brujas Panama  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Guera Panama  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Pava Grande Panama  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Rio Chico Panama  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Sabaneta Panama  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Casaya Panama  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Otoque Oriente Panama  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Rousseau Panama  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Lacona Panama  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Albrook Panama  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Taboga Panama  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Ciudad de Panama Panama  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Stann Creek Town Belize  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 19:00 El Guere Venezuela  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 19:00 Cabimas Venezuela  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 19:00 El Mene Venezuela  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 19:00 Las Mucuras Venezuela  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 12:00 Julieta Costa Rica  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 12:00 Pueblo Nuevo Costa Rica  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 12:00 Parrita Costa Rica  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Claridad Panama  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Punta Chame Panama  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Otoque Occidente Panama  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 10:00 Tasbarraya Honduras  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 12:00 Puerto Real Panama  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Floral Panama  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Rio Ostion Adentro Panama  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Medina del Este Panama  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 11:00 Mocobila Honduras  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 10:00 Baltimore Honduras  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Cattle Landing Belize  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Buena Vista Guatemala  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Punta Manabique Guatemala  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 San Francisco del Mar Guatemala  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Freetown Area Belize  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 12:00 Damas Costa Rica  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 12:00 Rios Costa Rica  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 12:00 El Porvenir Honduras  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 12:00 La Ceiba Honduras  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 12:00 Loma Costa Rica  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Baranca Belize  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 13:00 Playa Leona Panama  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 12:00 Paquita Costa Rica  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 12:00 Manuel Antonio Finca Costa Rica  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 12:00 Puerto Quepos Costa Rica  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 12:00 Finca Managua Costa Rica  0.1