Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for GONI-20
in Philippines

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GONI-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Philippines
Exposed population 24.4 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 315 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (01 Nov 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Philippines)
Landfall between
31 Oct 2020 18:00 - 01 Nov 2020 18:00

in Philippines

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 231 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 2.5
Overall 315 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

231 km/h Current Max.

Up to 6.1 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Orange 1 28 Oct 2020 00:00 167 53.6 million 24 million Philippines
Red 2 28 Oct 2020 06:00 194 50.1 million 25.8 million Philippines
Orange 3 28 Oct 2020 12:00 148 50.4 million 2.3 million Philippines
Red 4 28 Oct 2020 18:00 194 51.2 million 2.2 million Philippines
Red 5 29 Oct 2020 00:00 222 49.7 million 6.5 million Philippines
Red 6 29 Oct 2020 06:00 231 53.2 million 6.5 million Philippines
Red 7 29 Oct 2020 12:00 213 48.2 million 6.1 million Philippines
Red 8 29 Oct 2020 18:00 231 51.4 million 6.1 million Philippines

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 28 Oct 2020 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 16.6, 140.1
GREEN
2 28 Oct 2020 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 16.6, 139.5
GREEN
3 28 Oct 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 16.6, 138.7
GREEN
4 28 Oct 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 16.6, 137.5
GREEN
5 29 Oct 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 16.5, 136.6
GREEN
6 29 Oct 2020 06:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 16.8, 135.8
GREEN
7 29 Oct 2020 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 16.7, 134.6
GREEN
8 29 Oct 2020 18:00 Category 4 222 no people no people 16.3, 133.4
GREEN
8 30 Oct 2020 06:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 16, 131.6
GREEN
8 30 Oct 2020 18:00 Category 5 259 no people no people 15.6, 130
GREEN
8 31 Oct 2020 06:00 Category 4 250 no people 450000 people 14.9, 128
RED
8 31 Oct 2020 18:00 Category 4 231 5.7 million people 51.3 million people 14.4, 125.7
ORANGE
8 01 Nov 2020 18:00 Category 2 176 3.8 million people 44.6 million people 15.3, 120.6 Philippines
GREEN
8 02 Nov 2020 18:00 Category 1 148 no people 2500 people 16.1, 115.9
GREEN
8 03 Nov 2020 18:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 16, 112.7
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Philippines

Provinces

Region Province Country
Southern Tagalog Philippines
Central Luzon Philippines
Ilocos Philippines

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Cabanatuan Central Luzon Philippines City 220000 people
San Miguel Central Luzon Philippines City 66000 people
Baliuag Central Luzon Philippines City 130000 people
San Fernando Central Luzon Philippines City 250000 people
Tarlac Central Luzon Philippines City 180000 people
Guagua Central Luzon Philippines City 9300 people
Angeles Central Luzon Philippines City 290000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Fort Magsaysay 57 Mil. Paved No 6300
Clark AB CRK 146 Civ. Paved Yes 10400
Basa AB 46 Mil. Paved No 8300
Iba 3 Civ. Paved No 3200

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Polillo Island Philippines
Masinloc PHMSC Philippines
Iba Philippines

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Angat Angat 1968

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Libjo, Philippines. This height is estimated for 01 Nov 2020 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (173 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 8 of 29 Oct 2020 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01 Nov 2020 12:00 Libjo Philippines  0.6
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Pamarauan Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 12:00 Ngalan Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Abucay Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Samal Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Hermosa Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Orani Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 22:00 Palauig Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 17:00 Manila Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Meycauayan Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Tanza Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Tinajeros Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 17:00 Caloocan Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 12:00 Panukulan Philippines  0.4
01 Nov 2020 02:00 Magtang Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 02:00 Lamon Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 02:00 Union Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 02:00 Tinambac Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 12:00 Magdalo Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Balanga Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 14:00 Cabog Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Imus Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 11:00 Calutcot Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 14:00 Kinasakitan Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 12:00 Cabungalunan Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 21:00 Masinloc Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 00:00 Bikal Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 17:00 Cavite Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 21:00 Iba Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 00:00 Bagas Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 21:00 Mariveles Philippines  0.3
01 Nov 2020 02:00 Miguel Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 11:00 Polillo Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 13:00 Abucay Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Tanza Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Binakayan Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 21:00 Botolan Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 01:00 Balaton Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 12:00 Binibitinan Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Tehero Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Pilar Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 15:00 Dingalan Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Amaya Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 02:00 San Vicente Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Orion Philippines  0.2
31 Oct 2020 21:00 Wright Philippines  0.2
31 Oct 2020 20:00 Pequit Philippines  0.2
31 Oct 2020 20:00 Pabanong Philippines  0.2
31 Oct 2020 20:00 Hinabangan Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 01:00 Bitaogan Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 00:00 Calolbon Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 18:00 General Trias Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 01:00 Mapid Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 00:00 Panganiban Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 21:00 Oyong Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 10:00 Binauangan Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 01:00 Guijalo Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 02:00 Tandoc Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 00:00 Garchitorena Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 12:00 Infanta Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 01:00 Barceloneta Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Lingayen Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Labangan Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Limay Philippines  0.2
31 Oct 2020 21:00 Bangon Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Capantolan Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Mangas Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 01:00 Pandanan Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 01:00 Gitoma Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 01:00 Pandan Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 12:00 Patnanongan Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Damaloguen Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 21:00 Cabangan Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 23:00 Ul Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 23:00 Dasol Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 01:00 Colongcogong Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 01:00 Sialat Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 01:00 Manambrag Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 21:00 Maloma Philippines  0.2
31 Oct 2020 21:00 Mualbual Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Alayao Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 22:00 Dolaoan Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 22:00 Pilar Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 01:00 Gongonan Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 01:00 Adiagnao Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 13:00 Baler Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Naic Philippines  0.2
01 Nov 2020 01:00 Caramoan Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 07:00 Banacboc Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Maniboc Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Binmale Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 22:00 Infanta Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 23:00 Tupa Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 04:00 Labigan Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 04:00 Guiom Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 04:00 Cavayan Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 04:00 Malbug Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 06:00 Borongan Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Panasgasan Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 21:00 Tondol Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 21:00 Lucap Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 21:00 Santiago Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 21:00 Pamaoran Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 01:00 Mandao Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 12:00 Real Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 12:00 Bisliang Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 17:00 Bugallon Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 17:00 Canaoalan Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 17:00 Carael Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 17:00 Dagupan Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 17:00 Bateng Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 17:00 Alacan Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Cabcaben Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 21:00 Lauis Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 21:00 San Felipe Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 22:00 Lacapon Philippines  0.1
31 Oct 2020 21:00 Catbalogan Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 09:00 Calumpang Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 07:00 Calaguikhik Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 12:00 Bangad Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Alaminos Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 02:00 Vinzons Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 02:00 Barana Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 San Narciso Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 San Antonio Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 23:00 Baluarte Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 23:00 Rena Pt Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 23:00 Agno Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 12:00 Manolib Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 05:00 Calauag Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 15:00 Pagbilao Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 02:00 Talaga Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 02:00 Tagontong Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 02:00 Mambongalon Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 18:00 Maragondon Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 02:00 Amalbalan Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 02:00 Egnia Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 23:00 Olanen Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 23:00 Zaragoza Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 03:00 Talingting Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 14:00 Buenavista Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Nabaul Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Lucero Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 18:00 Qinglan China  0.1
01 Nov 2020 05:00 Pangas Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 11:00 Barcelona Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 11:00 Valencia Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 11:00 Pulupandan Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 11:00 Sum-ag Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 11:00 Bacolod Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 00:00 Daet Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 10:00 Jomalig Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 11:00 Alobijod Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 11:00 Panobolon Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 11:00 Calaya Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 11:00 Hinigaran Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 11:00 Pontevedra Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 17:00 Baloboc Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 21:00 Looc Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Pundaquit Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 03:00 Tambobong Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 03:00 Betogoc Philippines  0.1
02 Nov 2020 03:00 Baruan Philippines  0.1
31 Oct 2020 21:00 Rizal Philippines  0.1
31 Oct 2020 21:00 Daram Philippines  0.1
31 Oct 2020 20:00 Macalonud Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 04:00 Jose Panganiban Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 14:00 Hiwasayan Philippines  0.1
31 Oct 2020 20:00 San Andres Philippines  0.1
31 Oct 2020 20:00 Bagacay Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 10:00 Liboro Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 11:00 Catabanga Philippines  0.1
01 Nov 2020 14:00 Cabag Philippines  0.1