Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for GONI-20
in Philippines
29 Oct 2020 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone GONI-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Philippines
    Exposed population 24.4 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 315 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (01 Nov 21:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Philippines)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 213 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 2.5
    Overall 315 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 2.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      213 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 6.1 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Orange 1 28 Oct 2020 00:00 167 53.6 million 24 million Philippines
        Red 2 28 Oct 2020 06:00 194 50.1 million 25.8 million Philippines
        Orange 3 28 Oct 2020 12:00 148 50.4 million 2.3 million Philippines
        Red 4 28 Oct 2020 18:00 194 51.2 million 2.2 million Philippines
        Red 5 29 Oct 2020 00:00 222 49.7 million 6.5 million Philippines
        Red 6 29 Oct 2020 06:00 231 53.2 million 6.5 million Philippines
        Red 7 29 Oct 2020 12:00 213 48.2 million 6.1 million Philippines

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 28 Oct 2020 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 16.6, 140.1
          GREEN
          		 2 28 Oct 2020 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 16.6, 139.5
          GREEN
          		 3 28 Oct 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 16.6, 138.7
          GREEN
          		 4 28 Oct 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 16.6, 137.5
          GREEN
          		 5 29 Oct 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 16.5, 136.6
          GREEN
          		 6 29 Oct 2020 06:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 16.8, 135.8
          GREEN
          		 7 29 Oct 2020 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 16.7, 134.6
          GREEN
          		 7 30 Oct 2020 00:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 16.6, 132.7
          GREEN
          		 7 30 Oct 2020 12:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 16.4, 131
          GREEN
          		 7 31 Oct 2020 00:00 Category 4 231 no people no people 15.7, 129.5
          GREEN
          		 7 31 Oct 2020 12:00 Category 4 241 no people 3.4 million people 15.3, 127.6
          RED
          		 7 01 Nov 2020 12:00 Category 4 213 6.1 million people 48.1 million people 15.3, 123.3
          GREEN
          		 7 02 Nov 2020 12:00 Category 1 148 no people 4 million people 16.3, 118.7
          GREEN
          		 7 03 Nov 2020 12:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 16.4, 114.6
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Philippines

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Cagayan Valley Philippines
          Southern Tagalog Philippines
          Cordillera Administrative Region Philippines
          Central Luzon Philippines
          Ilocos Philippines

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Cabanatuan Central Luzon Philippines City 220000 people
          Tarlac Central Luzon Philippines City 180000 people
          Dagupan Ilocos Philippines City 140000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Baler BQA 9 Civ. Paved No 3900
          Fort Magsaysay 57 Mil. Paved No 6300
          Luzon Is Cubi Pt NCP unknown 0
          Lingayen 2 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Baler Philippines
          Dagupan City Philippines
          Lingayen PHLIN Philippines
          Bolinao Philippines
          Baluante Philippines

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Pantabangan Upper Papanga 1974
          Masiway Upper Papanga 1977
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.7 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Baler, Philippines. This height is estimated for 01 Nov 2020 21:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (94 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 7 of 29 Oct 2020 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          01 Nov 2020 21:00 Baler Philippines  0.7
          02 Nov 2020 04:00 Lingayen Philippines  0.7
          02 Nov 2020 04:00 Labangan Philippines  0.7
          02 Nov 2020 04:00 Damaloguen Philippines  0.7
          02 Nov 2020 04:00 Capantolan Philippines  0.6
          02 Nov 2020 04:00 Mangas Philippines  0.6
          02 Nov 2020 04:00 Baloboc Philippines  0.6
          02 Nov 2020 04:00 Maniboc Philippines  0.6
          02 Nov 2020 04:00 Binmale Philippines  0.5
          02 Nov 2020 04:00 Panasgasan Philippines  0.5
          02 Nov 2020 03:00 Canaoalan Philippines  0.5
          02 Nov 2020 03:00 Carael Philippines  0.5
          02 Nov 2020 05:00 Pamaoran Philippines  0.5
          02 Nov 2020 05:00 Alaminos Philippines  0.5
          02 Nov 2020 05:00 Lucap Philippines  0.5
          02 Nov 2020 05:00 Santiago Philippines  0.5
          02 Nov 2020 03:00 Dagupan Philippines  0.5
          01 Nov 2020 21:00 Buenavista Philippines  0.5
          02 Nov 2020 04:00 Bugallon Philippines  0.5
          02 Nov 2020 03:00 Bateng Philippines  0.5
          02 Nov 2020 05:00 Pilar Philippines  0.4
          02 Nov 2020 05:00 Dolaoan Philippines  0.4
          02 Nov 2020 06:00 Ul Philippines  0.4
          02 Nov 2020 06:00 Amalbalan Philippines  0.4
          02 Nov 2020 06:00 Dasol Philippines  0.4
          02 Nov 2020 06:00 Egnia Philippines  0.4
          02 Nov 2020 05:00 Tondol Philippines  0.4
          02 Nov 2020 04:00 Nabaul Philippines  0.4
          02 Nov 2020 06:00 Betogoc Philippines  0.4
          02 Nov 2020 07:00 Zaragoza Philippines  0.4
          02 Nov 2020 07:00 Tambobong Philippines  0.4
          02 Nov 2020 06:00 Infanta Philippines  0.4
          02 Nov 2020 07:00 Tupa Philippines  0.4
          02 Nov 2020 07:00 Rena Pt Philippines  0.4
          02 Nov 2020 07:00 Baruan Philippines  0.3
          02 Nov 2020 05:00 Lucero Philippines  0.3
          02 Nov 2020 07:00 Agno Philippines  0.3
          02 Nov 2020 04:00 Pamarauan Philippines  0.3
          02 Nov 2020 01:00 Manila Philippines  0.3
          02 Nov 2020 04:00 Samal Philippines  0.3
          02 Nov 2020 04:00 Hermosa Philippines  0.3
          02 Nov 2020 04:00 Orani Philippines  0.3
          02 Nov 2020 01:00 Meycauayan Philippines  0.3
          02 Nov 2020 01:00 Tanza Philippines  0.3
          02 Nov 2020 01:00 Tinajeros Philippines  0.3
          02 Nov 2020 01:00 Caloocan Philippines  0.3
          02 Nov 2020 05:00 Bolinao Philippines  0.3
          02 Nov 2020 07:00 Olanen Philippines  0.3
          02 Nov 2020 05:00 Lacapon Philippines  0.3
          02 Nov 2020 06:00 Abucay Philippines  0.2
          02 Nov 2020 06:00 Baluarte Philippines  0.2
          02 Nov 2020 02:00 Alacan Philippines  0.2
          02 Nov 2020 04:00 Imus Philippines  0.2
          02 Nov 2020 05:00 Lauis Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 21:00 Debutunan Philippines  0.2
          02 Nov 2020 04:00 Oyong Philippines  0.2
          02 Nov 2020 04:00 Masinloc Philippines  0.2
          02 Nov 2020 01:00 Cavite Philippines  0.2
          02 Nov 2020 06:00 Balanga Philippines  0.2
          02 Nov 2020 05:00 San Cornelio Philippines  0.2
          02 Nov 2020 05:00 Anda Philippines  0.2
          02 Nov 2020 02:00 Tanza Philippines  0.2
          02 Nov 2020 02:00 Binakayan Philippines  0.2
          02 Nov 2020 01:00 Amaya Philippines  0.2
          02 Nov 2020 01:00 Tehero Philippines  0.2
          02 Nov 2020 01:00 General Trias Philippines  0.1
          02 Nov 2020 07:00 Tupa Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 19:00 Libjo Philippines  0.1
          02 Nov 2020 05:00 Maragondon Philippines  0.1
          02 Nov 2020 05:00 Bauang Philippines  0.1
          02 Nov 2020 05:00 Baccuit Philippines  0.1
          02 Nov 2020 05:00 Palintocang Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Magdalo Philippines  0.1
          02 Nov 2020 06:00 Pilar Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Patnanongan Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 20:00 Kinasakitan Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 22:00 Debutunan Pt Philippines  0.1
          02 Nov 2020 04:00 Aringay Philippines  0.1
          02 Nov 2020 03:00 Agoo Philippines  0.1
          02 Nov 2020 05:00 Orion Philippines  0.1
          02 Nov 2020 05:00 San Fernando Philippines  0.1
          02 Nov 2020 05:00 Santiago Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 21:00 Dingalan Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 20:00 Panukulan Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 20:00 Ngalan Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 19:00 Casiguran Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 19:00 Dinipan Philippines  0.1
          02 Nov 2020 01:00 Naic Philippines  0.1
          02 Nov 2020 04:00 Cabcaben Philippines  0.1
          02 Nov 2020 04:00 Limay Philippines  0.1
          02 Nov 2020 04:00 Caba Philippines  0.1
          02 Nov 2020 06:00 Palauig Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Calutcot Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Polillo Philippines  0.1