Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for GONI-20
in Philippines
28 Oct 2020 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone GONI-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Philippines
    Exposed population 24.4 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 315 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (01 Nov 07:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Philippines)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 148 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 1.5
    Overall 315 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 1.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      148 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 2.3 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Orange 1 28 Oct 2020 00:00 167 53.6 million 24 million Philippines
        Red 2 28 Oct 2020 06:00 194 50.1 million 25.8 million Philippines
        Orange 3 28 Oct 2020 12:00 148 50.4 million 2.3 million Philippines

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 28 Oct 2020 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 16.6, 140.1
          GREEN
          		 2 28 Oct 2020 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 16.6, 139.5
          GREEN
          		 3 28 Oct 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 16.6, 138.7
          GREEN
          		 3 29 Oct 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 16.5, 136.6
          GREEN
          		 3 29 Oct 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 16.3, 134.5
          GREEN
          		 3 30 Oct 2020 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 15.8, 132.5
          GREEN
          		 3 30 Oct 2020 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 15.3, 130.7
          GREEN
          		 3 31 Oct 2020 12:00 Category 3 194 3600 people 32.3 million people 14.1, 127
          ORANGE
          		 3 01 Nov 2020 12:00 Category 1 148 2.3 million people 48.5 million people 14.7, 122.6
          GREEN
          		 3 02 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 16.1, 117.8
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Philippines

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Southern Tagalog Philippines
          Central Luzon Philippines

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          San Miguel Central Luzon Philippines City 66000 people
          Angeles Central Luzon Philippines City 290000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Clark AB CRK 146 Civ. Paved Yes 10400
          Iba 3 Civ. Paved No 3200

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Masinloc PHMSC Philippines
          Iba Philippines
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.3 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Union, Philippines. This height is estimated for 01 Nov 2020 07:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (49 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 3 of 28 Oct 2020 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          01 Nov 2020 07:00 Union Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 07:00 Tinambac Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 07:00 Tagontong Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 07:00 Mambongalon Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 07:00 Magtang Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 07:00 Lamon Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 03:00 Bikal Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 03:00 Bagas Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 07:00 Miguel Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 11:00 Alayao Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 06:00 San Vicente Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 10:00 Banacboc Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 05:00 Balaton Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 04:00 Panganiban Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 12:00 Jomalig Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 04:00 Bitaogan Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 06:00 Tandoc Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 03:00 Calolbon Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 12:00 Calaguikhik Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 04:00 Pandan Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 03:00 Garchitorena Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 11:00 Capalonga Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 03:00 Mapid Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 11:00 Pangas Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 11:00 Binauangan Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 05:00 Barceloneta Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 12:00 Patnanongan Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 03:00 Guijalo Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 03:00 Pandanan Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 03:00 Manambrag Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 03:00 Gitoma Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 04:00 Adiagnao Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 11:00 Mactang Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 11:00 Jose Panganiban Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 12:00 Calutcot Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 03:00 Colongcogong Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 03:00 Sialat Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 06:00 Barana Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 12:00 Lopez Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 03:00 Caramoan Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 03:00 Gongonan Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 11:00 Calauag Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 12:00 Polillo Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 08:00 Vinzons Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 06:00 Daet Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 06:00 Talaga Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 05:00 Mandao Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 11:00 Paracale Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 10:00 Talingting Philippines  0.1