Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for GONI-20
in Philippines
30 Oct 2020 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone GONI-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Philippines
    Exposed population 24.4 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 315 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (01 Nov 17:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Philippines)
    Landfall between
    01 Nov 2020 00:00 - 01 Nov 2020 12:00
    in Philippines

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 231 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 2.5
    Overall 315 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 2.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      231 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 6.8 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Orange 1 28 Oct 2020 00:00 167 53.6 million 24 million Philippines
        Red 2 28 Oct 2020 06:00 194 50.1 million 25.8 million Philippines
        Orange 3 28 Oct 2020 12:00 148 50.4 million 2.3 million Philippines
        Red 4 28 Oct 2020 18:00 194 51.2 million 2.2 million Philippines
        Red 5 29 Oct 2020 00:00 222 49.7 million 6.5 million Philippines
        Red 6 29 Oct 2020 06:00 231 53.2 million 6.5 million Philippines
        Red 7 29 Oct 2020 12:00 213 48.2 million 6.1 million Philippines
        Red 8 29 Oct 2020 18:00 231 51.4 million 6.1 million Philippines
        Red 9 30 Oct 2020 00:00 231 51 million 6.2 million Philippines
        Red 10 30 Oct 2020 06:00 222 54 million 3.5 million Philippines
        Red 11 30 Oct 2020 12:00 231 55.7 million 6.8 million Philippines

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 28 Oct 2020 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 16.6, 140.1
          GREEN
          		 2 28 Oct 2020 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 16.6, 139.5
          GREEN
          		 3 28 Oct 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 16.6, 138.7
          GREEN
          		 4 28 Oct 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 16.6, 137.5
          GREEN
          		 5 29 Oct 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 16.5, 136.6
          GREEN
          		 6 29 Oct 2020 06:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 16.8, 135.8
          GREEN
          		 7 29 Oct 2020 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 16.7, 134.6
          GREEN
          		 8 29 Oct 2020 18:00 Category 4 222 no people no people 16.3, 133.4
          GREEN
          		 9 30 Oct 2020 00:00 Category 4 231 no people no people 16.3, 132.7
          GREEN
          		 10 30 Oct 2020 06:00 Category 5 278 no people no people 16.3, 131.6
          GREEN
          		 11 30 Oct 2020 12:00 Category 5 287 no people no people 16.1, 130.9
          GREEN
          		 11 31 Oct 2020 00:00 Category 5 278 no people no people 15.7, 129.2
          GREEN
          		 11 31 Oct 2020 12:00 Category 5 259 no people 5.4 million people 15, 127
          RED
          		 11 01 Nov 2020 00:00 Category 4 231 230000 people 48.6 million people 14.6, 124.2
          RED
          		 11 01 Nov 2020 12:00 Category 3 194 6.6 million people 44.6 million people 14.9, 121.3 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 11 02 Nov 2020 12:00 Category 1 120 no people 2500 people 15.5, 116.7
          GREEN
          		 11 03 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 6 million people 15.7, 112.7
          GREEN
          		 11 04 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 15.6, 108.7 Viet Nam
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Philippines

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Southern Tagalog Philippines
          Central Luzon Philippines
          National Capital Region Philippines

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Baliuag Central Luzon Philippines City 130000 people
          Pulilan Central Luzon Philippines City 76000 people
          Malolos Central Luzon Philippines City 200000 people
          San Fernando Central Luzon Philippines City 250000 people
          Hagonoy Central Luzon Philippines City 120000 people
          Guagua Central Luzon Philippines City 9300 people
          Angeles Central Luzon Philippines City 290000 people
          Olongapo Central Luzon Philippines City 220000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Clark AB CRK 146 Civ. Paved Yes 10400
          Basa AB 46 Mil. Paved No 8300
          Subic Bay International Airpt SFS 17 Civ. Paved Yes 9000
          Iba 3 Civ. Paved No 3200

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Polillo Island Philippines
          Subic Bay PHSFS Philippines
          Iba Philippines

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Angat Angat 1968
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.6 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Abucay, Philippines. This height is estimated for 01 Nov 2020 17:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (155 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 11 of 30 Oct 2020 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Abucay Philippines  0.7
          01 Nov 2020 09:00 Abucay Philippines  0.6
          01 Nov 2020 08:00 Patnanongan Philippines  0.6
          01 Nov 2020 10:00 Cabungalunan Philippines  0.5
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Pamarauan Philippines  0.5
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Hermosa Philippines  0.5
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Orani Philippines  0.5
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Samal Philippines  0.5
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Balanga Philippines  0.5
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Meycauayan Philippines  0.5
          01 Nov 2020 10:00 Binibitinan Philippines  0.5
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Tanza Philippines  0.5
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Tinajeros Philippines  0.5
          01 Nov 2020 10:00 Panukulan Philippines  0.5
          01 Nov 2020 09:00 Polillo Philippines  0.4
          01 Nov 2020 14:00 Manila Philippines  0.4
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Caloocan Philippines  0.4
          01 Nov 2020 08:00 Jomalig Philippines  0.4
          01 Nov 2020 08:00 Calutcot Philippines  0.4
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 San Narciso Philippines  0.4
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 San Antonio Philippines  0.4
          01 Nov 2020 10:00 Infanta Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Pilar Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 19:00 Maloma Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 19:00 San Felipe Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 10:00 Ngalan Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Imus Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 19:00 Cabangan Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Mariveles Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Orion Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Pundaquit Philippines  0.3
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Thanh Thuy Vietnam  0.3
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Jinhe China  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Wai-lo China  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Xianmai China  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 10:00 Bisliang Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 10:00 Libjo Philippines  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Dongli China  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Tung-li China  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Tanza Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Binakayan Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Cavite Philippines  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Longshe China  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Limay Philippines  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Taiping China  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Tehero Philippines  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Houhu China  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Huangwu China  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Shaoyao China  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Xingyou China  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Huangpo China  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Chiu-wu-ch'uan China  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Qianshan China  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Dongjian China  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Dongshan China  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Amaya Philippines  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Nayan China  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Doulongcun China  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Bengtang China  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Houhai China  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Baisha China  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Ma-hsieh China  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Badongxu China  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 11:00 Kinasakitan Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 General Trias Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 19:00 Botolan Philippines  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 11:00 Meilu China  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 11:00 Hai-lu China  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 11:00 Real Philippines  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Puqian China  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 An Cu Vietnam  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Da Nang Vietnam  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Xom Da Me Vietnam  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Mui Da Nang Vietnam  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 05:00 Banacboc Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 20:00 Iba Philippines  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Boao China  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Phu Xuan Ha Vietnam  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Cabcaben Philippines  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Phu Loc Vietnam  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Shuidong China  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Shalan China  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Naic Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 21:00 Palauig Philippines  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Phu Bai Vietnam  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 La Son Vietnam  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Ha Tru Vietnam  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Ch'i-ching China  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Danchang China  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Magang China  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Diancheng China  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Santouzui China  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Hsi-t'ou China  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Lengzilin China  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Baipu China  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Tuyet iem Vietnam  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Pinggang China  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Boshegang China  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Longtang China  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Haikou China  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 01:00 Panganiban Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 09:00 Magdalo Philippines  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Dianbai China  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Dalangwan China  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Thai Duong Thuong Vietnam  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Thon Thai Duong Ha Vietnam  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Thon Phu An Vietnam  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Mui Chon Dong Vietnam  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Chen Lan China  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Qinglan China  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Shangyang China  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 An Thuan Vietnam  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 03:00 Miguel Philippines  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Hele China  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Yandun China  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 01:00 Bagas Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 01:00 Bitaogan Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 01:00 Caramoan Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 01:00 Guijalo Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 01:00 Bikal Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 01:00 Pandanan Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 01:00 Colongcogong Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 01:00 Manambrag Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 01:00 Gitoma Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 20:00 Lauis Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 20:00 Oyong Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 20:00 Masinloc Philippines  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Shadi China  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Tonggu China  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Thon My Khanh Vietnam  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Phung Chinh Vietnam  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Hoi An Vietnam  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Luewei China  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Dayang China  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Guanghai China  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Tiantou China  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Chixi China  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Huiwen China  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Morong Philippines  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Ap Quan Nam Vietnam  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Chengcun China  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Thon My Thuy Vietnam  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Jiangcheng China  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 01:00 Sialat Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 01:00 Calolbon Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 01:00 Pandan Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 06:00 Jose Panganiban Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 11:00 Dingalan Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Maragondon Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Silanguin Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 19:00 Looc Philippines  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 An Thach Vietnam  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Rudong China  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 The Chi Tay Vietnam  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 01:00 Balaton Philippines  0.1