Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for TEDDY-20 in Canada, Bermuda, from 12 Sep 2020 21:00 UTC to 16 Sep 2020 09:00 UTC

16 Sep 2020 09 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TEDDY-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Canada, Bermuda,
Exposed population	780 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	222 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (15 Sep 03:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Canada)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	213 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	222 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

213 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	12 Sep 2020 21:00	148	No people	No people
2	13 Sep 2020 03:00	167	No people	No people
3	13 Sep 2020 09:00	167	No people	No people
4	13 Sep 2020 15:00	176	No people	No people
5	13 Sep 2020 21:00	185	No people	No people
6	14 Sep 2020 03:00	185	No people	No people
7	14 Sep 2020 09:00	185	No people	No people
8	14 Sep 2020 15:00	185	No people	No people
9	14 Sep 2020 21:00	194	No people	No people
10	15 Sep 2020 03:00	194	No people	No people
11	15 Sep 2020 09:00	204	No people	No people
12	15 Sep 2020 15:00	204	No people	No people
13	15 Sep 2020 21:00	194	No people	No people
14	16 Sep 2020 03:00	185	No people	No people
15	16 Sep 2020 07:00	194	No people	No people
16	16 Sep 2020 09:00	213	70 thousand	No people	Bermuda

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	12 Sep 2020 21:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	11.4, -33.5
2	13 Sep 2020 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	11.9, -34.6
3	13 Sep 2020 09:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	12.2, -35.5
4	13 Sep 2020 15:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	12.3, -36.4
5	13 Sep 2020 21:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	12.7, -37.6
6	14 Sep 2020 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	13, -39
7	14 Sep 2020 09:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	13.4, -40.4
8	14 Sep 2020 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	12.8, -42.8
9	14 Sep 2020 21:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	13, -44
10	15 Sep 2020 03:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	13.2, -45
11	15 Sep 2020 09:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	13.7, -46
12	15 Sep 2020 15:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	14, -47
13	15 Sep 2020 21:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	14.6, -47.9
14	16 Sep 2020 03:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	15, -48.3
15	16 Sep 2020 07:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	15.5, -48.7
16	16 Sep 2020 09:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	15.8, -49
16	16 Sep 2020 18:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	16.8, -50
16	17 Sep 2020 06:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	18.3, -51.5
16	17 Sep 2020 18:00	Category 4	213	no people	no people	19.7, -52.9
16	18 Sep 2020 06:00	Category 4	213	no people	no people	21.3, -54.6
16	18 Sep 2020 18:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	22.7, -56.1
16	19 Sep 2020 06:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	24.2, -57.8
16	20 Sep 2020 06:00	Category 3	185	no people	71000 people	27.5, -62
16	21 Sep 2020 06:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	31, -64

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Burnside, Suriname. This height is estimated for 15 Sep 2020 03:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (6 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 16 of 16 Sep 2020 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	15 Sep 2020 03:00	Burnside	Suriname	0.2
	15 Sep 2020 03:00	Totness	Suriname	0.2
	15 Sep 2020 05:00	Nieuw Amsterdam	Suriname	0.2
	15 Sep 2020 03:00	Nieuw Nickerie	Suriname	0.1
	15 Sep 2020 05:00	Organabo	French Guiana	0.1
	15 Sep 2020 05:00	Hamilton	Suriname	0.1