Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NISARGA-20
in India
click on to select bulletin time
GDACS
Impact Single TC
Impact all weather systems in the area
.

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NISARGA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (JTWC)
Exposed countries India
Exposed population 13.5 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.2 m (03 Jun 07:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 120 km/h 1.2 m n.a. 2.5
GDACS Overall 139 km/h 1.2 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

120 km/h Current

Up to 13.4 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Orange 1 02 Jun 2020 18:00 83 48.5 million No people India
Orange 2 03 Jun 2020 00:00 102 55.2 million No people India
Red 3 03 Jun 2020 06:00 139 74.3 million 10.6 million India
Red 4 03 Jun 2020 12:00 120 86.3 million 13.5 million India

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
ORANGE
1 02 Jun 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 74 34 million people no people 17, 71.7 India
ORANGE
2 03 Jun 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 102 38.5 million people no people 17.2, 72.1 India
RED
3 03 Jun 2020 06:00 Category 1 139 61.9 million people 10.6 million people 17.9, 72.9 India
RED
4 03 Jun 2020 12:00 Category 1 120 70.5 million people 8.5 million people 19.1, 73.7 India
ORANGE
4 04 Jun 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 83 21.5 million people no people 21, 75.8 India
GREEN
4 04 Jun 2020 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 22.7, 78.2 India
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
India

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Maharashtra India 83.4 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Badlapur Maharashtra India City 100000 people
Pimpri Maharashtra India City 1.2 million people
Kopargaon Maharashtra India City 64000 people
Manmad Maharashtra India City 72000 people
Jalgaon Maharashtra India City 370000 people
Bhusawal Maharashtra India City 170000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Jalgaon 244 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Alibag India
Murud India
Srivardhan India
Bankot India

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Dimbhe Ghod -99
Wadaj Meena 1983
Manikdoh Kukadi 1984
Thakurwadi Indrayani 1922
Pimpalgaon Joga Pushpavati -99
Yedgaon Kukadi 1977
Bhandardari Paravara 1926
Mulshi Lake Mula 1927
Vir Baji Pasalkar Mosi -99
Girna Girna 1969
Hatnur Tapi 1982

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

1.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.2m in Bankot, India. This height is estimated for 03 Jun 2020 07:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (96 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 4 of 03 Jun 2020 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Jun 2020 07:00 Bankot India  1.2
03 Jun 2020 07:00 Kelshi India  1.2
03 Jun 2020 08:00 Srivardhan India  0.9
03 Jun 2020 07:00 Anjanwel India  0.8
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Guhagar India  0.8
03 Jun 2020 08:00 Agar Panchaitan India  0.8
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Boria India  0.7
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Jaigarh India  0.6
03 Jun 2020 08:00 Murud India  0.5
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Mirya India  0.5
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Ratnagiri India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 11:00 Mandve India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Purnagad India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 05:00 Purangad India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Uran India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 05:00 Adiura India  0.3
02 Jun 2020 21:00 Kumta India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 09:00 Revadanda India  0.3
02 Jun 2020 21:00 Ankola India  0.3
02 Jun 2020 21:00 Gokarn India  0.3
02 Jun 2020 21:00 Bhatkal India  0.3
02 Jun 2020 21:00 Bainduru India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 05:00 Vijayadurg India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 09:00 Alibag India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 21:00 Belekeri India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 21:00 Honavar India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 21:00 Manki India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 21:00 Mavalli India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 21:00 Shirali India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 21:00 Chittadi India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 21:00 Kundapura India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 04:00 Devgarh India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Vengurla India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 21:00 Karwar India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 04:00 Pural India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Terekhol India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Madgaon India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 02:00 Asarsa India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 02:00 Tankari India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Asumumbay India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Chopdem India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Marmagao India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 21:00 Advota India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 21:00 Chaudi India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 21:00 Majali India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Mumbai India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Anjuna India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 02:00 Muler India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 04:00 Achra India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Malvan India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Agacaim India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 21:00 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Udipi India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 02:00 Harinagar India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Panaji India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Malad India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Mulki India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 19:00 Ghogha India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 04:00 Kambhat India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 04:00 Kavi India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 04:00 Sarod India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 03:00 Wadgam India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 02:00 Bhagva India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 02:00 Olpad India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Mangaluru India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Edakkad India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 02:00 Dahej India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Madayipara India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Madayi India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Kannapuram India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Chirakkal India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Tellicherry India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Mahe India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Quilandi India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Talakkolattur India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Dongri India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Vasai India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 01:00 Damka India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 01:00 Surat India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Trombay India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 21:00 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Valapattanam India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Azhikkal India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Badagara India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Payyoli India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Kozhikode India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Beypore India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 21:00 Kumbla India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 21:00 Kasaragod India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Bekal India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Chervattur India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Trikkaripur India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Cannanore India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Dharmadam India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 20:00 Chaliyam India  0.1