Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTOBAL-20
in United States, Mexico, Canada, Belize, Guatemala

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTOBAL-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries United States, Mexico, Canada, Belize, Guatemala
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (06 Jun 03:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Guatemala)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 93 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 93 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

93 km/h Current Max.

Up to 2.6 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 01 Jun 2020 21:00 93 2.1 million No people Mexico
Green 2 02 Jun 2020 03:00 93 2.6 million No people Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 01 Jun 2020 21:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 19.6, -91.2
GREEN
2 02 Jun 2020 03:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 19.6, -91.9 Mexico
GREEN
2 02 Jun 2020 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 11000 people 19.6, -92.6 Mexico
GREEN
2 03 Jun 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 1.4 million people 19.2, -92.8 Mexico
GREEN
2 03 Jun 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 2.2 million people 18.8, -93 Mexico
GREEN
2 04 Jun 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 2.4 million people 18.6, -93.1 Mexico
GREEN
2 04 Jun 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 2.4 million people 18.5, -93.2 Mexico
GREEN
2 05 Jun 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 2.5 million people 18.5, -93 Mexico
GREEN
2 06 Jun 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 48000 people 19.5, -92.5 Mexico
GREEN
2 07 Jun 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 22, -91.5
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mexico

Provinces

Region Province Country
Campeche Mexico
Tabasco Mexico
Chiapas Mexico
Veracruz Mexico

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Ciudad del Carmen Campeche Mexico City -
Frontera Tabasco Mexico City 23000 people
Jalpa Tabasco Mexico City 15000 people
Villahermosa Tabasco Mexico City 360000 people
Cunduacán Tabasco Mexico City 17000 people
Cárdenas Tabasco Mexico City 81000 people
Teapa Tabasco Mexico City 26000 people
Huimanguillo Tabasco Mexico City 26000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Ciudad del Carmen CME 2 Civ. Paved Yes 7200
Ciudad Pemex 6 0
Capitan Carlos Perez VSA 13 Civ. Paved Yes 7200

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Cayo Arcas Terminal MXCAT Mexico
Ciudad Del Carmen MXCME Mexico
Frontera MXFRN Mexico
Dos Bocas MXDBT Mexico
Concepcion Mexico

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Majahual, Mexico. This height is estimated for 06 Jun 2020 03:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (128 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 02 Jun 2020 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Majahual Mexico  0.4
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Calderas Mexico  0.3
05 Jun 2020 14:00 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.3
06 Jun 2020 03:00 San Pedro Mexico  0.3
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.3
06 Jun 2020 01:00 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.3
04 Jun 2020 17:00 Chiltepec Mexico  0.3
05 Jun 2020 00:00 Hidalgo Mexico  0.3
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Xcalak Mexico  0.3
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Santeneja Belize  0.3
04 Jun 2020 12:00 Tupilco Mexico  0.2
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2020 20:00 Sanchez Magallanes Mexico  0.2
06 Jun 2020 03:00 South Padre Island United States  0.2
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Boca Chica United States  0.2
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.2
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Chetumal Mexico  0.2
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Calderita Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2020 21:00 Tonala Mexico  0.2
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.2
06 Jun 2020 03:00 El Volcancillo Honduras  0.2
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Bacalar Chico Belize  0.2
03 Jun 2020 21:00 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.2
06 Jun 2020 03:00 El Tular Mexico  0.2
06 Jun 2020 03:00 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.2
06 Jun 2020 02:00 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
06 Jun 2020 02:00 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
06 Jun 2020 02:00 La Concepion Mexico  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 El Naranjal Mexico  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Holly Beach United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Laguna Vista United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Port Isabel United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Los Ebanos Mexico  0.1
04 Jun 2020 04:00 Laja Mexico  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Paso Real Mexico  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Palacios United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 22:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 La Mata Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 22:00 Arista Mexico  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Tamiahua Mexico  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Vigia Chico Mexico  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Guanimar Cuba  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 El Cajio Cuba  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Nadeau United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Texas City Junction United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Bayou Vista United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Texas City United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Virginia Point United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Fort Travis United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Flake United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Elmgrove United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Surfside United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Spanish Village United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Estes United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Barrancones Honduras  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Condega Honduras  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Cedeno Honduras  0.1
03 Jun 2020 23:00 Alvarado Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 23:00 Buen Pais Mexico  0.1
04 Jun 2020 08:00 La Union El Salvador  0.1
04 Jun 2020 08:00 Murucagua Honduras  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Majana Cuba  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Noham Mexico  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Champoton Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 22:00 El Roble Mexico  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Haltunchen Mexico  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Surgidero de Batabano Cuba  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Batabano Cuba  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Sea Isle United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Galveston United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Freeport United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Mims United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Port Morris United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Port Aransas United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Rockport United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Copano Village United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Fulton United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Gualora Honduras  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1
05 Jun 2020 23:00 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Rancho Nuevo Mexico  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Patton United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Caplen United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Gilchrist United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Yarborough United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Chinquapin United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Quintana United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Matagorda United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Gulf Park United States  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Puerto Madero Mexico  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:00 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
06 Jun 2020 01:00 Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Los Pericos Mexico  0.1