Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FERDINAND-20
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FERDINAND-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (JTWC)
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (24 Feb 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 65 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 176 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

65 km/h Current

Up to no people in Tropical storm (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 23 Feb 2020 18:00 130 No people No people
Green 2 24 Feb 2020 00:00 139 No people No people
Green 3 24 Feb 2020 06:00 148 No people No people
Green 4 24 Feb 2020 12:00 167 No people No people
Green 5 24 Feb 2020 18:00 167 No people No people
Green 6 25 Feb 2020 00:00 167 No people No people
Green 7 25 Feb 2020 06:00 176 No people No people
Green 8 25 Feb 2020 12:00 176 No people No people
Green 9 25 Feb 2020 18:00 185 No people No people
Green 10 26 Feb 2020 00:00 176 No people No people
Green 11 26 Feb 2020 06:00 176 No people No people
Green 12 26 Feb 2020 12:00 176 No people No people
Green 13 26 Feb 2020 18:00 167 No people No people
Green 14 27 Feb 2020 00:00 148 No people No people
Green 15 27 Feb 2020 06:00 120 No people No people
Green 16 27 Feb 2020 12:00 102 No people No people
Green 17 27 Feb 2020 18:00 102 No people No people
Green 18 28 Feb 2020 00:00 93 No people No people
Green 19 28 Feb 2020 06:00 83 No people No people
Green 20 28 Feb 2020 12:00 83 No people No people
Green 21 28 Feb 2020 18:00 83 No people No people
Green 22 29 Feb 2020 00:00 83 No people No people
Green 23 29 Feb 2020 06:00 65 No people No people

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 23 Feb 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -13.4, 118.7
GREEN
2 24 Feb 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -14, 118.1
GREEN
3 24 Feb 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -14.4, 117.9
GREEN
4 24 Feb 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -14.9, 117.5
GREEN
5 24 Feb 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -15.1, 117.2
GREEN
6 25 Feb 2020 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -15.3, 117.1
GREEN
7 25 Feb 2020 06:00 Category 2 157 no people no people -15.5, 116.8
GREEN
8 25 Feb 2020 12:00 Category 2 167 no people no people -15.8, 116.5
GREEN
9 25 Feb 2020 18:00 Category 2 176 no people no people -15.9, 116
GREEN
10 26 Feb 2020 00:00 Category 2 176 no people no people -15.8, 115.5
GREEN
11 26 Feb 2020 06:00 Category 2 176 no people no people -16.1, 115.2
GREEN
12 26 Feb 2020 12:00 Category 2 176 no people no people -16.3, 114.8
GREEN
13 26 Feb 2020 18:00 Category 2 167 no people no people -16.5, 114.6
GREEN
14 27 Feb 2020 00:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -16.5, 114.4
GREEN
15 27 Feb 2020 06:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -16.6, 114.3
GREEN
16 27 Feb 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -16.9, 114
GREEN
17 27 Feb 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -16.8, 113.6
GREEN
18 28 Feb 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -16.5, 113.3
GREEN
19 28 Feb 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -16.5, 112.9
GREEN
20 28 Feb 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -16.4, 112.5
GREEN
21 28 Feb 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -15.9, 112.2
GREEN
22 29 Feb 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -15.4, 111.4
GREEN
23 29 Feb 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -15.6, 111.3
GREEN
23 29 Feb 2020 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -15.2, 110.9
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Derby, Australia. This height is estimated for 24 Feb 2020 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (71 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 23 of 29 Feb 2020 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Feb 2020 06:00 Derby Australia  0.5
24 Feb 2020 00:00 Pagatan Indonesia  0.4
23 Feb 2020 21:00 Pagetan Indonesia  0.3
23 Feb 2020 21:00 Kualalupak Indonesia  0.3
23 Feb 2020 21:00 Aluhaluh Indonesia  0.3
23 Feb 2020 21:00 Tambakkarangan Indonesia  0.3
23 Feb 2020 21:00 Tabanio Indonesia  0.3
23 Feb 2020 21:00 Bawahalajung Indonesia  0.3
24 Feb 2020 00:00 Kandangan Indonesia  0.3
24 Feb 2020 02:00 Kollan I Australia  0.3
24 Feb 2020 00:00 Setiroek Indonesia  0.3
23 Feb 2020 21:00 Batakam Indonesia  0.3
29 Feb 2020 10:00 East Lewis I Australia  0.3
24 Feb 2020 02:00 Pender Australia  0.3
23 Feb 2020 23:00 Mutua Indonesia  0.3
23 Feb 2020 23:00 Tandjoengselaka Indonesia  0.3
23 Feb 2020 23:00 Bapuju Indonesia  0.2
23 Feb 2020 23:00 Bahaur Indonesia  0.2
29 Feb 2020 10:00 Wickham Australia  0.2
29 Feb 2020 10:00 Point Samson Australia  0.2
29 Feb 2020 10:00 Cossack Australia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 02:00 Semisir Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 12:00 Broome Australia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 12:00 Thangoo Australia  0.2
29 Feb 2020 11:00 Mardie Australia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 02:00 Tapianbalai Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 12:00 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 12:00 Waterbank Australia  0.2
23 Feb 2020 22:00 Tandjungkiras Indonesia  0.2
29 Feb 2020 11:00 Ah Chong I Australia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 01:00 Pagatan Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 01:00 Salinau Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 02:00 Semaras Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 02:00 Okaoka Indonesia  0.2
23 Feb 2020 23:00 Tandjungklumpang Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 14:00 Condon Australia  0.2
23 Feb 2020 23:00 Makasar Indonesia  0.2
23 Feb 2020 22:00 Tangjungrusa Indonesia  0.2
23 Feb 2020 22:00 Dendang Indonesia  0.2
23 Feb 2020 22:00 Simnangpesa Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 01:00 Sanrabone Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 01:00 Tamalaba Indonesia  0.2
23 Feb 2020 23:00 Manda Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 01:00 Bisali Indonesia  0.2
24 Feb 2020 01:00 Gailesong Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 01:00 Karamak Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 01:00 Tjadia Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 01:00 Kanaoengan Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 01:00 Bontobonto Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 13:00 Learmonth Australia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 09:00 Boenati Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 01:00 Glenroy Australia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 01:00 Tiempae Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 01:00 Mandalle Indonesia  0.1
23 Feb 2020 22:00 Djepuh Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 07:00 Teloekkapalpetjah Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 10:00 Soengaibali Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 01:00 Padaelo Indonesia  0.1
23 Feb 2020 23:00 Tandjungbatuaajer Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 00:00 Segintong Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 10:00 Berangas Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 10:00 Tungkaranasam Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 10:00 Sekapoeng Indonesia  0.1
24 Feb 2020 00:00 Sampungbinangu Indonesia  0.1
23 Feb 2020 22:00 Pangkal Dudat Indonesia  0.1
23 Feb 2020 22:00 Membalong Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 17:00 Tambajangan Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 15:00 Exmouth Australia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 17:00 Ardjasa Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 17:00 Songai Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 17:00 Banraas Indonesia  0.1