Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DAMIEN-20
in Australia
07 Feb 2020 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone DAMIEN-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Australia
    Exposed population 30 thousand in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 1 m (06 Feb 09:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (Australia)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 176 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 176 km/h 1.0 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      176 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 25000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 06 Feb 2020 00:00 130 50 thousand Few people Australia
        Green 2 06 Feb 2020 06:00 176 50 thousand 9 thousand Australia
        Green 3 06 Feb 2020 12:00 185 50 thousand 20 thousand Australia
        Green 4 06 Feb 2020 18:00 185 30 thousand 10 thousand Australia
        Green 5 07 Feb 2020 00:00 176 40 thousand 20 thousand Australia

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 06 Feb 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -17, 120.6
          GREEN
          		 2 06 Feb 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -17.1, 119.5
          GREEN
          		 3 06 Feb 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -17.5, 118.6
          GREEN
          		 4 06 Feb 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -17.7, 117.4
          GREEN
          		 5 07 Feb 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 3800 people -17.9, 117.4 Australia
          GREEN
          		 5 07 Feb 2020 12:00 Category 1 139 no people 30000 people -18.7, 116.7 Australia
          GREEN
          		 5 08 Feb 2020 00:00 Category 2 176 24000 people 34000 people -19.9, 116.7 Australia
          GREEN
          		 5 08 Feb 2020 12:00 Category 1 139 22000 people 31000 people -21.1, 116.9 Australia
          GREEN
          		 5 09 Feb 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 7300 people -22.1, 117.2 Australia
          GREEN
          		 5 10 Feb 2020 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -24.2, 117.2 Australia
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Australia

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Western Australia Australia

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Dampier Western Australia Australia City -
          Karratha Western Australia Australia City 11000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Karratha KTA 9 Civ. Paved Yes 6000
          Roebourne RBU unknown 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Cossack Pioneer AUCOP Coral Sea Islands
          Wandoo Marine Terminal Coral Sea Islands
          Point Samson AUPSM Coral Sea Islands
          Roebourne AURBU Coral Sea Islands
          Withnell Bay Coral Sea Islands
          Port Walcott AUPWL Coral Sea Islands
          Dampier AUDAM Coral Sea Islands

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Poongkaliyarra Harding Harding 1985
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          1 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  1.0m in Derby, Australia. This height is estimated for 06 Feb 2020 09:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (22 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 06 Feb 2020 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          06 Feb 2020 09:00 Derby Australia  1.0
          08 Feb 2020 01:00 Wickham Australia  0.7
          08 Feb 2020 01:00 Point Samson Australia  0.7
          08 Feb 2020 01:00 Cossack Australia  0.7
          06 Feb 2020 04:00 Pender Australia  0.5
          06 Feb 2020 06:00 Kollan I Australia  0.5
          07 Feb 2020 17:00 Condon Australia  0.4
          06 Feb 2020 19:00 Thangoo Australia  0.3
          06 Feb 2020 19:00 Broome Australia  0.3
          07 Feb 2020 19:00 Ah Chong I Australia  0.3
          07 Feb 2020 16:00 East Lewis I Australia  0.3
          06 Feb 2020 19:00 Waterbank Australia  0.3
          06 Feb 2020 19:00 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.3
          06 Feb 2020 10:00 Nightcliff Australia  0.3
          06 Feb 2020 10:00 Larrakeyah Australia  0.3
          06 Feb 2020 10:00 Fannie Bay Australia  0.3
          06 Feb 2020 10:00 Parap Australia  0.3
          06 Feb 2020 10:00 Darwin Australia  0.3
          06 Feb 2020 10:00 Ludmilla Australia  0.3
          06 Feb 2020 10:00 Bagot Australia  0.3
          06 Feb 2020 10:00 Leanyer Australia  0.2
          07 Feb 2020 17:00 Mardie Australia  0.1