Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BLAKE-20
in Australia
08 Jan 2020 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone BLAKE-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Australia
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 1.1 m (06 Jan 13:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (Australia)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 65 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 93 km/h 1.1 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      65 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 24000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 05 Jan 2020 18:00 83 50 thousand No people Australia
        Green 2 06 Jan 2020 00:00 83 30 thousand No people Australia
        Green 3 06 Jan 2020 06:00 102 40 thousand No people Australia
        Green 4 06 Jan 2020 12:00 93 30 thousand No people Australia
        Green 5 06 Jan 2020 18:00 93 30 thousand No people Australia
        Green 6 07 Jan 2020 00:00 74 30 thousand No people Australia
        Green 7 07 Jan 2020 06:00 65 30 thousand No people Australia
        Green 8 07 Jan 2020 12:00 65 20 thousand No people Australia
        Green 9 07 Jan 2020 18:00 65 20 thousand No people Australia
        Green 10 08 Jan 2020 00:00 65 20 thousand No people Australia

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 05 Jan 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 2900 people -16, 121.3 Australia
          GREEN
          		 2 06 Jan 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 15000 people -15.9, 121.9 Australia
          GREEN
          		 3 06 Jan 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 21000 people -16.5, 122.2 Australia
          GREEN
          		 4 06 Jan 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 22000 people -17.4, 122 Australia
          GREEN
          		 5 06 Jan 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 22000 people -17.9, 121.8 Australia
          GREEN
          		 6 07 Jan 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 15000 people -18.5, 121.6 Australia
          GREEN
          		 7 07 Jan 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 14000 people -18.7, 121.2 Australia
          GREEN
          		 8 07 Jan 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 1200 people -19.5, 121 Australia
          GREEN
          		 9 07 Jan 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 1200 people -19.8, 120.6 Australia
          GREEN
          		 10 08 Jan 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 1500 people -20.7, 119.7 Australia
          GREEN
          		 10 08 Jan 2020 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -21.9, 119.4 Australia
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Australia

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Western Australia Australia

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Mount Goldsworthy Western Australia Australia City -
          Broome Western Australia Australia City 13000 people
          Derby Western Australia Australia City -

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Muccan MUQ unknown 0
          Shay Gap SGP unknown 0
          Marble Bar MBB unknown 0
          Pardoo PRD unknown 0
          Mt. Goldsworthy GLY unknown 0
          Shaw River SWB unknown 0
          Wallal WLA unknown 0
          Mandora MQA unknown 0
          Broome BME 17 Civ. Paved Yes 7800
          Carroll 91 Civ. Paved Yes 10000
          Derby DRB 7 Civ. Paved Yes 5600

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Lagrange Coral Sea Islands
          Broome AUBME Coral Sea Islands
          Beagle Bay Coral Sea Islands
          Derby AUDRB Coral Sea Islands
          Cape Leveque Coral Sea Islands
          Yampi Sound Coral Sea Islands
          Yampi AUYAM Coral Sea Islands
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          1.1 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  1.1m in Derby, Australia. This height is estimated for 06 Jan 2020 13:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (17 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 8 of 07 Jan 2020 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          06 Jan 2020 13:00 Derby Australia  1.1
          06 Jan 2020 10:00 Pender Australia  0.8
          07 Jan 2020 00:00 Thangoo Australia  0.7
          06 Jan 2020 23:00 Broome Australia  0.5
          06 Jan 2020 09:00 Kollan I Australia  0.5
          06 Jan 2020 22:00 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.5
          06 Jan 2020 23:00 Waterbank Australia  0.4
          06 Jan 2020 05:00 Nightcliff Australia  0.4
          06 Jan 2020 05:00 Larrakeyah Australia  0.4
          06 Jan 2020 05:00 Fannie Bay Australia  0.4
          06 Jan 2020 05:00 Parap Australia  0.4
          06 Jan 2020 05:00 Darwin Australia  0.4
          06 Jan 2020 05:00 Ludmilla Australia  0.4
          06 Jan 2020 05:00 Bagot Australia  0.4
          06 Jan 2020 04:00 Leanyer Australia  0.4
          05 Jan 2020 22:00 Minjilang Australia  0.1
          08 Jan 2020 06:00 Condon Australia  0.1