Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NARDA-19
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NARDA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (JTWC)
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge n.a.
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 56 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 83 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

56 km/h Current

Up to 15.6 million people in Tropical storm (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 28 Sep 2019 12:00 74 2.1 million No people Mexico
Green 2 28 Sep 2019 18:00 74 10.2 million No people Mexico
Green 3 29 Sep 2019 00:00 74 4.8 million No people Mexico
Green 4 29 Sep 2019 06:00 83 6.1 million No people Mexico
Green 5 29 Sep 2019 12:00 74 8.2 million No people Mexico
Green 6 29 Sep 2019 18:00 65 15.9 million No people Mexico
Green 7 30 Sep 2019 00:00 65 18 million No people Mexico
Green 8 30 Sep 2019 06:00 65 15.4 million No people Mexico
Green 9 30 Sep 2019 12:00 74 17.1 million No people Mexico
Green 10 30 Sep 2019 21:00 83 9.5 million No people Mexico
Green 11 01 Oct 2019 00:00 83 17.3 million No people Mexico
Green 12 01 Oct 2019 06:00 65 16.4 million No people Mexico
Green 13 01 Oct 2019 12:00 56 15.7 million No people Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 28 Sep 2019 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 14.5, -100
GREEN
2 28 Sep 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 65 1.5 million people no people 14.6, -99.7 Mexico
GREEN
3 29 Sep 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 65 1.9 million people no people 15.1, -100.3 Mexico
GREEN
4 29 Sep 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 74 1.7 million people no people 15.7, -100.7 Mexico
GREEN
5 29 Sep 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 74 5.4 million people no people 17.4, -101.5 Mexico
GREEN
6 29 Sep 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 65 11.3 million people no people 18.7, -103 Mexico
GREEN
7 30 Sep 2019 00:00 Tropical depression 56 8.5 million people no people 19.9, -104.5 Mexico
GREEN
8 30 Sep 2019 06:00 Tropical depression 56 370000 people no people 20.9, -105.9 Mexico
GREEN
9 30 Sep 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 65 1.7 million people no people 22, -106 Mexico
GREEN
11 01 Oct 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 83 2.9 million people no people 25, -108.4 Mexico
GREEN
12 01 Oct 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 65 1.1 million people no people 26.2, -109.4 Mexico
GREEN
13 01 Oct 2019 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 27, -110.1 Mexico
GREEN
13 02 Oct 2019 00:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 29.1, -111.1 Mexico
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
Mexico

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Sonora Mexico 1.9 million people
Sinaloa Mexico 2.3 million people
Nayarit Mexico 890000 people
Jalisco Mexico 5.7 million people
Colima Mexico 460000 people
Michoacan Mexico 3.8 million people
Guerrero Mexico 2.8 million people
Mexico Mexico 10.6 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Yaqui Sonora Mexico City 14000 people
Huatabampo Sonora Mexico City 30000 people
Ahome Sonora Mexico City 10000 people
Los Mochis Sinaloa Mexico City 210000 people
Guasave Sinaloa Mexico City 67000 people
Guamúchil Sinaloa Mexico City 56000 people
Culiacán Sinaloa Mexico Major city 540000 people
El Dorado Sinaloa Mexico City -
Mazatlan Sinaloa Mexico Major city 330000 people
Villa Unión Sinaloa Mexico City 13000 people
Escuinapa Sinaloa Mexico City 28000 people
Tecuala Nayarit Mexico City 14000 people
Tuxpan Nayarit Mexico City 22000 people
Compostela Nayarit Mexico City 15000 people
Punta Mita Nayarit Mexico City -
Puerto Vallarta Jalisco Mexico City 180000 people
Ahuacatlán Nayarit Mexico City 6200 people
Ixtlán del Río Nayarit Mexico City 21000 people
Talpa de Allende Jalisco Mexico City -
Etzatlán Jalisco Mexico City 12000 people
Ahulalulco de Mercado Jalisco Mexico City -
Amatitán Jalisco Mexico City 9400 people
Ameca Jalisco Mexico City 35000 people
Cocula Jalisco Mexico City 14000 people
Guadalajara Jalisco Mexico Major city 1.6 million people
Autlán Jalisco Mexico City 39000 people
Zacoalco de Torres Jalisco Mexico City -
Chapala Jalisco Mexico City 20000 people
Atoyac Jalisco Mexico City 5300 people
Sayula Jalisco Mexico City 24000 people
Ocotlán Jalisco Mexico City 77000 people
Ciudad Guzmán Jalisco Mexico City -
Manzanillo Colima Mexico City 100000 people
Tamazula de Gordiano Jalisco Mexico City -
La Barca Jalisco Mexico City 34000 people
Sauhayo Michoacan de Ocampo Mexico City -
Colima Colima Mexico Major city 120000 people
Jiquilpan Michoacán de Ocampo Mexico City 25000 people
Tecalitlán Jalisco Mexico City 12000 people
Armería Colima Mexico City 15000 people
Cotija Michoacán de Ocampo Mexico City 13000 people
Tecomán Colima Mexico City 75000 people
Zamora Michoacán de Ocampo Mexico City 120000 people
Coalcomán Michoacán de Ocampo Mexico City 10000 people
Uruapan Michoacán de Ocampo Mexico City 230000 people
Apatzingan Michoacán de Ocampo Mexico City 94000 people
Pátzcuaro Michoacán de Ocampo Mexico City 47000 people
Ario de Rosales Michoacán de Ocampo Mexico City -
Tacambaro Michoacán de Ocampo Mexico City 20000 people
Huetamo Michoacán de Ocampo Mexico City 21000 people
Coyuca de Catalán Guerrero Mexico City -
Petatlán Guerrero Mexico City 20000 people
Tecpan Guerrero Mexico City 14000 people
Atoyac Guerrero Mexico City 20000 people
Acapulco Guerrero Mexico Major city 640000 people
San Marcos Guerrero Mexico City 12000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Villa Juarez South 46 0
Los Cerritos Northeast 17 0
Los Mochis LMM 4 Civ. Paved Yes 6500
Campo Cuatro Milpas 28 0
Bacubirito 300 0
Guamuchil 24 0
Fedl de Bachigualato CUL 33 Civ. Paved Yes 7500
Campo Gobierno 13 0
General Rafael Buelna International MZT 10 Civ. Paved Yes 8800
Rancho los Cabras 3 0
Teacapan 6 0
Isla Maria Madre 5 0
El Llano 12 0
Lic Gustavo Diaz Ordaz International PVR 6 Civ. Paved Yes 10100
La Gloria 34 0
Zapopan ZAP 1625 0
Autlan 884 0
Miguel Hidal GDL 1528 Civ. Paved Yes 13100
Playa de Oro International ZLO 8 Civ. Paved Yes 7200
Ocotlan 1525 0
Ciudad Guzman 1520 0
Tuxpan 1225 Mil. Paved No 6700
Venustiano Carranza 1554 0
Colima CLQ 723 Civ. Paved Yes 7500
Zamora ZMM 1567 Civ. Paved No 4900
Coahuayana 61 0
Jaujilla 1950 0
Uruapan UPN 1593 Civ. Paved Yes 7800
Pablo L Sidar AZG 315 0
El Infiernillo 511 0
Lazaro Cardenas LZC 12 Civ. Paved No 4900
Huetamo 300 0
Santa Barbara 299 0
Ixtapa Zihuatanejo International ZIH 6 Civ. Paved Yes 8200
Pie de la Cuesta 6 0
Alvarez International ACA 5 Civ. Paved Yes 10800

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Yavaros Mexico
Topolobampo MXTPB Mexico
Altata Mexico
Mazatlan MXMZT Mexico
Puerto Vallarta MXPVR Mexico
Ipala Mexico
El Tabaco Mexico
Chamela Mexico
Manzanillo MXZLO Mexico
Lazaro Cardenas MXLZC Mexico
Acapulco MXACA Mexico
Puerto Marques Mexico

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Presidente Gustavo Diaz Ordaz Sinaloa 1982
Eustaquio Mocorito 1972
Presidente Adolfo Lopez Mateos Humaya 1964
Sinaloa Tamazula 1948
Presa Juan Guerrero Juan Guerrero El Bledal 1994
El Salto Elota 1985
Corrinchis Mascota 1977
Cajon de Peda Tomatlan 1976
La Vega Teuchitlan 1956
Tacotan Amuquila 1958
Trigomil Ayuquila 1993
Basilio Vadillo Basilio Vadillo San Migue 1973
Trojes Coahuayana 1994
Chilatan Tepalcatepec 1986
Zicuiran Zicuiran 1957
Jose M. Morelos Balsas 1968
Inhernillo El Infiernillo Balsas 1963
El Gallo Cutzamala 1985
Vicente Guerrero Poliutla 1968
Andres Figueroa Ajuchitlan 1983
Carlos Ramirez Ulloa Balsas 1986

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

No locations affected by storm surge > 10 cm

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.