Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JERRY-19
in Bermuda, , Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Anguilla

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JERRY-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (NOAA)
Exposed countries Bermuda, , Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Anguilla
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 167 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (21 Sep 09:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Bermuda)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 56 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 167 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

56 km/h Current

Up to 70000 people in Tropical storm (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 17 Sep 2019 15:00 148 4 thousand No people Anguilla
Green 2 17 Sep 2019 21:00 148 No people No people
Green 3 18 Sep 2019 03:00 139 No people No people
Green 4 18 Sep 2019 09:00 120 No people No people
Green 5 18 Sep 2019 15:00 120 2 thousand No people Anguilla
Green 6 18 Sep 2019 21:00 130 5 thousand No people Antigua and Barbuda, Anguilla
Green 7 19 Sep 2019 03:00 139 6 thousand No people Anguilla
Green 8 19 Sep 2019 09:00 130 2 thousand No people Anguilla
Green 9 19 Sep 2019 15:00 139 No people No people
Green 10 19 Sep 2019 21:00 157 70 thousand No people Bermuda
Green 11 20 Sep 2019 03:00 167 70 thousand 70 thousand Bermuda
Green 12 20 Sep 2019 09:00 167 70 thousand 70 thousand Bermuda
Green 13 20 Sep 2019 15:00 139 70 thousand No people Bermuda
Green 14 20 Sep 2019 21:00 130 70 thousand 70 thousand Bermuda
Green 15 21 Sep 2019 03:00 130 70 thousand 70 thousand Bermuda
Green 16 21 Sep 2019 09:00 130 70 thousand No people Bermuda
Green 17 21 Sep 2019 15:00 120 70 thousand No people Bermuda
Green 18 21 Sep 2019 21:00 111 70 thousand No people Bermuda
Green 19 22 Sep 2019 03:00 111 70 thousand No people Bermuda
Green 20 22 Sep 2019 09:00 111 70 thousand No people Bermuda
Green 21 22 Sep 2019 15:00 111 70 thousand No people Bermuda
Green 22 22 Sep 2019 21:00 102 70 thousand No people Bermuda
Green 23 23 Sep 2019 03:00 102 70 thousand No people Bermuda
Green 24 23 Sep 2019 09:00 102 70 thousand No people Bermuda
Green 25 23 Sep 2019 15:00 102 70 thousand No people Bermuda
Green 26 23 Sep 2019 21:00 102 70 thousand No people Bermuda
Green 27 24 Sep 2019 03:00 102 70 thousand No people Bermuda
Green 28 24 Sep 2019 09:00 93 70 thousand No people Bermuda
Green 29 24 Sep 2019 15:00 93 70 thousand No people Bermuda
Green 30 24 Sep 2019 21:00 83 70 thousand No people Bermuda
Green 31 25 Sep 2019 03:00 74 70 thousand No people Bermuda
Green 32 25 Sep 2019 09:00 74 70 thousand No people Bermuda
Green 33 25 Sep 2019 15:00 65 70 thousand No people Bermuda
Green 34 25 Sep 2019 21:00 56 70 thousand No people Bermuda

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 17 Sep 2019 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 12.9, -44.9
GREEN
2 17 Sep 2019 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.4, -45.6
GREEN
3 18 Sep 2019 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.7, -46.7
GREEN
4 18 Sep 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 14.1, -47.7
GREEN
5 18 Sep 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 14.6, -49.2
GREEN
6 18 Sep 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 15, -50.5
GREEN
7 19 Sep 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 15.4, -51.8
GREEN
8 19 Sep 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 16, -53.2
GREEN
9 19 Sep 2019 15:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 16.8, -54.4
GREEN
10 19 Sep 2019 21:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 17.5, -55.8
GREEN
11 20 Sep 2019 03:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 18, -57.2
GREEN
12 20 Sep 2019 09:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 18.4, -58.7
GREEN
13 20 Sep 2019 15:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 18.8, -60.3
GREEN
14 20 Sep 2019 21:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 19.6, -62
GREEN
15 21 Sep 2019 03:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 20.5, -62.8
GREEN
16 21 Sep 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 21.4, -64
GREEN
17 21 Sep 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 22, -65
GREEN
18 21 Sep 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 23, -65.8
GREEN
19 22 Sep 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 24.1, -66.3
GREEN
20 22 Sep 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 25, -66.9
GREEN
21 22 Sep 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 25.7, -66.6
GREEN
22 22 Sep 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 26.7, -66.9
GREEN
23 23 Sep 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 27.4, -67.2
GREEN
24 23 Sep 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 27.8, -67.7
GREEN
25 23 Sep 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 28.1, -68
GREEN
26 23 Sep 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 28.4, -68.3
GREEN
27 24 Sep 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 29.2, -68.3
GREEN
28 24 Sep 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 29.8, -68.4
GREEN
29 24 Sep 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 30.8, -69.3
GREEN
30 24 Sep 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 31.1, -69
GREEN
31 25 Sep 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 31.4, -68.7
GREEN
32 25 Sep 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 74 70000 people no people 31.8, -67.9 Bermuda
GREEN
33 25 Sep 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 65 70000 people no people 32, -66.8 Bermuda
GREEN
34 25 Sep 2019 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 32.2, -65.6 Bermuda
GREEN
34 26 Sep 2019 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 32.8, -63.8 Bermuda
GREEN
34 26 Sep 2019 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 33.7, -61.5
GREEN
34 27 Sep 2019 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 34.7, -59
GREEN
34 27 Sep 2019 18:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 35, -56.5
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
Bermuda

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Bermuda Bermuda 59000 people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population Distance
Hamilton Bermuda Capital <1000 people 76 km

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft) Distance
Bermuda International BDA 4 Mil. Paved Yes 9700 89 km

Ports

Name LOCODE Country Distance
Somerset Bermuda 70 km
Bermuda Bermuda 73 km
Hamilton BMBDA Bermuda 77 km
Saint George BMSGE Bermuda 89 km

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in The Settlement, British Virgin Islands. This height is estimated for 21 Sep 2019 09:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (1 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 8 of 19 Sep 2019 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
21 Sep 2019 09:00 The Settlement British Virgin Islands  0.1