Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JERRY-19
in Bermuda,Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Anguilla
22 Sep 2019 15 UTC
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  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone JERRY-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Bermuda,Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Anguilla
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 167 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (21 Sep 09:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (Bermuda)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 111 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 167 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      111 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 71000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 17 Sep 2019 15:00 148 4 thousand No people Anguilla
        Green 2 17 Sep 2019 21:00 148 No people No people
        Green 3 18 Sep 2019 03:00 139 No people No people
        Green 4 18 Sep 2019 09:00 120 No people No people
        Green 5 18 Sep 2019 15:00 120 2 thousand No people Anguilla
        Green 6 18 Sep 2019 21:00 130 5 thousand No people Antigua and Barbuda, Anguilla
        Green 7 19 Sep 2019 03:00 139 6 thousand No people Anguilla
        Green 8 19 Sep 2019 09:00 130 2 thousand No people Anguilla
        Green 9 19 Sep 2019 15:00 139 No people No people
        Green 10 19 Sep 2019 21:00 157 70 thousand No people Bermuda
        Green 11 20 Sep 2019 03:00 167 70 thousand 70 thousand Bermuda
        Green 12 20 Sep 2019 09:00 167 70 thousand 70 thousand Bermuda
        Green 13 20 Sep 2019 15:00 139 70 thousand No people Bermuda
        Green 14 20 Sep 2019 21:00 130 70 thousand 70 thousand Bermuda
        Green 15 21 Sep 2019 03:00 130 70 thousand 70 thousand Bermuda
        Green 16 21 Sep 2019 09:00 130 70 thousand No people Bermuda
        Green 17 21 Sep 2019 15:00 120 70 thousand No people Bermuda
        Green 18 21 Sep 2019 21:00 111 70 thousand No people Bermuda
        Green 19 22 Sep 2019 03:00 111 70 thousand No people Bermuda
        Green 20 22 Sep 2019 09:00 111 70 thousand No people Bermuda
        Green 21 22 Sep 2019 15:00 111 70 thousand No people Bermuda

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 17 Sep 2019 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 12.9, -44.9
          GREEN
          		 2 17 Sep 2019 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.4, -45.6
          GREEN
          		 3 18 Sep 2019 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.7, -46.7
          GREEN
          		 4 18 Sep 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 14.1, -47.7
          GREEN
          		 5 18 Sep 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 14.6, -49.2
          GREEN
          		 6 18 Sep 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 15, -50.5
          GREEN
          		 7 19 Sep 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 15.4, -51.8
          GREEN
          		 8 19 Sep 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 16, -53.2
          GREEN
          		 9 19 Sep 2019 15:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 16.8, -54.4
          GREEN
          		 10 19 Sep 2019 21:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 17.5, -55.8
          GREEN
          		 11 20 Sep 2019 03:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 18, -57.2
          GREEN
          		 12 20 Sep 2019 09:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 18.4, -58.7
          GREEN
          		 13 20 Sep 2019 15:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 18.8, -60.3
          GREEN
          		 14 20 Sep 2019 21:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 19.6, -62
          GREEN
          		 15 21 Sep 2019 03:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 20.5, -62.8
          GREEN
          		 16 21 Sep 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 21.4, -64
          GREEN
          		 17 21 Sep 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 22, -65
          GREEN
          		 18 21 Sep 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 23, -65.8
          GREEN
          		 19 22 Sep 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 24.1, -66.3
          GREEN
          		 20 22 Sep 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 25, -66.9
          GREEN
          		 21 22 Sep 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 25.7, -66.6
          GREEN
          		 21 23 Sep 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 26.9, -67.3
          GREEN
          		 21 23 Sep 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 28.2, -67.7
          GREEN
          		 21 24 Sep 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 29.5, -67.9
          GREEN
          		 21 24 Sep 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 71000 people 31, -68 Bermuda
          GREEN
          		 21 25 Sep 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 71000 people 35, -63.5 Bermuda
          GREEN
          		 21 26 Sep 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 40, -54.5
          GREEN
          		 21 27 Sep 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 45, -45
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Bermuda

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Bermuda Bermuda

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Hamilton Bermuda Capital <1000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Bermuda International BDA 4 Mil. Paved Yes 9700

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Bermuda Bermuda
          Somerset Bermuda
          Hamilton BMBDA Bermuda
          Saint George BMSGE Bermuda
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.1 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in The Settlement, British Virgin Islands. This height is estimated for 21 Sep 2019 09:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (1 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 8 of 19 Sep 2019 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          21 Sep 2019 09:00 The Settlement British Virgin Islands  0.1