Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for IDAI-19
in Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
14 Mar 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone IDAI-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
    Exposed population 1.9 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 194 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 2.4 m (14 Mar 22:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability High (Mozambique)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 185 km/h 2.4 m n.a. 2.5
    Overall 194 km/h 2.4 m n.a. 2.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      185 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 2.6 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Orange 1 09 Mar 2019 06:00 213 6.6 million 870 thousand Mozambique
        Orange 2 09 Mar 2019 12:00 213 5.6 million 550 thousand Mozambique
        Orange 3 09 Mar 2019 18:00 204 2.9 million 250 thousand Mozambique
        Orange 4 10 Mar 2019 00:00 204 4.3 million 340 thousand Mozambique
        Orange 5 10 Mar 2019 06:00 213 4.1 million 1.3 million Mozambique
        Orange 6 10 Mar 2019 12:00 213 4.7 million 1.1 million Mozambique
        Orange 7 10 Mar 2019 18:00 222 5.2 million 440 thousand Mozambique
        Orange 8 11 Mar 2019 00:00 213 3 million 660 thousand Mozambique
        Red 9 11 Mar 2019 06:00 213 8.1 million 580 thousand Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mozambique
        Red 10 11 Mar 2019 12:00 194 5.3 million 1.1 million Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mozambique
        Red 11 11 Mar 2019 18:00 194 5.9 million 960 thousand Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mozambique, Zimbabwe
        Red 12 12 Mar 2019 00:00 213 6.9 million 1.9 million Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mozambique, Zimbabwe
        Red 13 12 Mar 2019 06:00 185 6 million 1.3 million Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mozambique
        Red 14 12 Mar 2019 12:00 194 5.8 million 1.1 million Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mozambique, Zimbabwe
        Red 15 12 Mar 2019 18:00 222 6 million 2 million Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mozambique, Zimbabwe
        Red 16 13 Mar 2019 00:00 185 5.9 million 2 million Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mozambique, Zimbabwe
        Red 17 13 Mar 2019 06:00 185 5.1 million 1.5 million Mozambique, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
        Red 18 13 Mar 2019 12:00 120 6.3 million 1.9 million Mozambique, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Zimbabwe
        Orange 19 13 Mar 2019 18:00 157 9.7 million 910 thousand Mozambique, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
        Red 20 14 Mar 2019 00:00 194 11.1 million 1.5 million Mozambique, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
        Red 21 14 Mar 2019 06:00 185 6.9 million 1.8 million Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
        Red 22 14 Mar 2019 12:00 185 11.4 million 2.6 million Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 09 Mar 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 110000 people -17, 40.2 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 2 09 Mar 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -17, 41.3 Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
          GREEN
          		 3 09 Mar 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 1200 people -16.9, 42 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 4 10 Mar 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 100000 people -17.2, 42.4 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 5 10 Mar 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 69000 people -17.4, 42.6 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 6 10 Mar 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 220000 people -17.2, 43 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 7 10 Mar 2019 18:00 Category 1 130 no people 310000 people -17.2, 43.2 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 8 11 Mar 2019 00:00 Category 2 167 no people 200000 people -17.3, 43.2 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 9 11 Mar 2019 06:00 Category 3 185 no people 180000 people -17.3, 43 Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
          GREEN
          		 10 11 Mar 2019 12:00 Category 3 194 no people 100000 people -17.6, 42.6 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 11 11 Mar 2019 18:00 Category 3 194 no people 120000 people -17.7, 42.5 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 12 12 Mar 2019 00:00 Category 3 185 no people 49000 people -18, 42.2 Madagascar
          GREEN
          		 13 12 Mar 2019 06:00 Category 2 167 no people no people -18.3, 41.9 Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
          GREEN
          		 14 12 Mar 2019 12:00 Category 2 167 no people no people -18.7, 41.3
          GREEN
          		 15 12 Mar 2019 18:00 Category 3 185 no people no people -19.1, 40.7
          GREEN
          		 16 13 Mar 2019 00:00 Category 2 176 no people no people -19.3, 40.2
          GREEN
          		 17 13 Mar 2019 06:00 Category 2 176 no people no people -19.4, 39.5
          GREEN
          		 18 13 Mar 2019 12:00 Category 2 167 no people 210000 people -19.5, 39 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 19 13 Mar 2019 18:00 Category 2 167 no people 1.1 million people -19.5, 38.5 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 20 14 Mar 2019 00:00 Category 3 194 no people 2.4 million people -19.7, 37.9 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 21 14 Mar 2019 06:00 Category 3 194 8200 people 2.8 million people -19.8, 37.2 Mozambique
          RED
          		 22 14 Mar 2019 12:00 Category 3 185 850000 people 4.6 million people -19.9, 36.3 Mozambique
          RED
          		 22 15 Mar 2019 00:00 Category 2 157 1.9 million people 5.8 million people -19.7, 34.7 Mozambique
          RED
          		 22 15 Mar 2019 12:00 Category 1 120 1 million people 6.1 million people -19.3, 33 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 22 16 Mar 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 5.2 million people -18.8, 31.6 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 22 16 Mar 2019 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -18.3, 30.4 Zimbabwe
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Mozambique
          Zimbabwe
          Juan De Nova I.

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Sofala Mozambique
          Manica Mozambique
          Manicaland Zimbabwe
          Mashonaland East Zimbabwe
          Midlands Zimbabwe
          Juan De Nova I. Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Beira Sofala Mozambique Major city 520000 people
          Chimoio Manica Mozambique City 260000 people
          Mutare Manicaland Zimbabwe City 180000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Beira BEW 10 Civ. Paved Yes 7800
          Chimoio VPY 686 Civ. Paved No 7800
          Mutare UTA 1041 Priv. Paved No 3100
          Mutare Grand Reef 1019 Mil. Paved No 4100
          Dorowa 892 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Beira MZBEW Mozambique

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Revue Chicamba Real Revue 1959
          Odzani Lake Odzani Odzani 1966
          Smallbridge Odzani 1985
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          2.4 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  2.4m in Damiao, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 14 Mar 2019 22:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (148 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 22 of 14 Mar 2019 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          14 Mar 2019 22:00 Damiao Mozambique  2.4
          14 Mar 2019 22:00 Nhangau Mozambique  2.4
          14 Mar 2019 22:00 Chamba Mozambique  2.4
          14 Mar 2019 22:00 Beira Mozambique  2.4
          14 Mar 2019 23:00 Manica Mozambique  2.2
          14 Mar 2019 21:00 Chofandicho Mozambique  2.1
          14 Mar 2019 21:00 Panaca Mozambique  2.0
          14 Mar 2019 22:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  1.9
          14 Mar 2019 23:00 Chiloane Mozambique  1.2
          14 Mar 2019 18:00 Tama Mozambique  0.9
          14 Mar 2019 17:00 Jonja Mozambique  0.8
          14 Mar 2019 06:00 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.6
          14 Mar 2019 06:00 Amado Mozambique  0.6
          14 Mar 2019 09:00 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.5
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Baly Madagascar  0.5
          14 Mar 2019 21:00 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.5
          14 Mar 2019 16:00 Bingue Mozambique  0.4
          14 Mar 2019 21:00 Jo Mozambique  0.4
          14 Mar 2019 09:00 Machesse Mozambique  0.4
          11 Mar 2019 07:00 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.4
          11 Mar 2019 07:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.4
          11 Mar 2019 07:00 Antsafy Madagascar  0.4
          14 Mar 2019 21:00 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.4
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Boanamary Madagascar  0.4
          11 Mar 2019 00:00 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.3
          14 Mar 2019 22:00 Laisse Mozambique  0.3
          11 Mar 2019 00:00 Manampea Madagascar  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Katsepy Madagascar  0.3
          11 Mar 2019 07:00 Onara Madagascar  0.3
          11 Mar 2019 07:00 Marovazha Madagascar  0.3
          11 Mar 2019 07:00 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.3
          11 Mar 2019 07:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.3
          14 Mar 2019 09:00 Rupia Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Majunga Madagascar  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.3
          10 Mar 2019 00:00 Amboaboaka Madagascar  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 12:00 Mulia Mozambique  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Barra Mozambique  0.3
          11 Mar 2019 08:00 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 07:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Metapa Mozambique  0.3
          10 Mar 2019 00:00 Matahibory Madagascar  0.3
          10 Mar 2019 00:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 09:00 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.3
          12 Mar 2019 03:00 Andemba Madagascar  0.3
          12 Mar 2019 03:00 Reharaka Madagascar  0.3
          14 Mar 2019 23:00 Natalia Mozambique  0.3
          12 Mar 2019 01:00 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.3
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Mutiba Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 19:00 Raraga Mozambique  0.2
          12 Mar 2019 01:00 Manomba Madagascar  0.2
          12 Mar 2019 01:00 Belailay Madagascar  0.2
          12 Mar 2019 07:00 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.2
          12 Mar 2019 07:00 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 00:00 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 22:00 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Antonibe Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Ocone Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Tomodo Mozambique  0.2
          12 Mar 2019 02:00 Maintirano Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 22:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 22:00 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 22:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 22:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 22:00 Anjabe Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 22:00 Andranomena Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 00:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 22:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 17:00 Manehoko Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Mendozo Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 19:00 Caliua Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 18:00 Morrua Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Pebane Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 17:00 Chululu Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 19:00 Caramaca Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Andriana Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 19:00 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 19:00 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.2
          15 Mar 2019 01:00 Inhassoro Mozambique  0.2
          10 Mar 2019 00:00 Ampasitsilavitra Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Murrumuana Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Moebase Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Bevatry Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 01:00 Marofototra Madagascar  0.2
          11 Mar 2019 01:00 Voalavo Madagascar  0.2
          10 Mar 2019 01:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.2
          10 Mar 2019 00:00 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Analalava Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Carramali Mozambique  0.2
          14 Mar 2019 21:00 Caulino Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Mutadua Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Napito Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Namorre Mozambique  0.2
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Natiquinde Mozambique  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Antaribao Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Fadrina Madagascar  0.1
          14 Mar 2019 22:00 Afonso Mozambique  0.1
          14 Mar 2019 22:00 Catine Mozambique  0.1
          14 Mar 2019 22:00 Asneira Mozambique  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Larde Mozambique  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Mocareja Mozambique  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.1
          14 Mar 2019 23:00 Castigo Mozambique  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 10:00 Coropoa Mozambique  0.1
          14 Mar 2019 22:00 Vilanculos Mozambique  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 08:00 Bajone Mozambique  0.1
          11 Mar 2019 00:00 Manampatra Madagascar  0.1
          14 Mar 2019 22:00 Mariano Mozambique  0.1
          10 Mar 2019 00:00 Tsianinkiro Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Andranira Madagascar  0.1
          11 Mar 2019 03:00 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ambanisanjo Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ankazomalemy Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ambatobe Madagascar  0.1
          12 Mar 2019 19:00 Manometimay Madagascar  0.1
          12 Mar 2019 19:00 Antsamaka Madagascar  0.1
          12 Mar 2019 19:00 Morondava Madagascar  0.1
          12 Mar 2019 19:00 Antserananbondro Madagascar  0.1
          12 Mar 2019 19:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
          12 Mar 2019 19:00 Kivalo Est Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 21:00 Marovato Madagascar  0.1
          09 Mar 2019 20:00 Anjajavy Madagascar  0.1