Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FLORENCE-18
in United States
10 Sep 2018 15 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
GDACS
Impact Single TC
Impact all weather systems in the area
.

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FLORENCE-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (NOAA)
Exposed countries United States
Exposed population 1.5 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 241 km/h
Maximum storm surge 2.2 m (14 Sep 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (United States)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 231 km/h 2.2 m n.a. 2.5
GDACS Overall 241 km/h 2.2 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

231 km/h Current Max.

Up to 2.1 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 30 Aug 2018 15:00 120 50 thousand No people Cape Verde
Green 2 30 Aug 2018 21:00 120 40 thousand No people Cape Verde
Green 3 31 Aug 2018 03:00 120 7 thousand No people
Green 4 31 Aug 2018 09:00 120 50 thousand No people Cape Verde
Green 5 31 Aug 2018 15:00 120 No people No people
Green 6 31 Aug 2018 21:00 111 No people No people
Green 7 01 Sep 2018 03:00 111 No people No people
Green 8 01 Sep 2018 09:00 111 No people No people
Green 9 01 Sep 2018 15:00 111 No people No people
Green 10 01 Sep 2018 21:00 102 No people No people
Green 11 02 Sep 2018 03:00 102 No people No people
Green 12 02 Sep 2018 09:00 102 No people No people
Green 13 02 Sep 2018 15:00 102 No people No people
Green 14 02 Sep 2018 21:00 102 No people No people
Green 15 03 Sep 2018 03:00 93 No people No people
Green 16 03 Sep 2018 09:00 102 No people No people
Green 17 03 Sep 2018 15:00 111 No people No people
Green 18 03 Sep 2018 21:00 111 No people No people
Green 19 04 Sep 2018 03:00 111 No people No people
Green 20 04 Sep 2018 09:00 120 No people No people
Green 21 04 Sep 2018 15:00 120 No people No people
Green 22 04 Sep 2018 21:00 148 No people No people
Green 23 05 Sep 2018 03:00 167 No people No people
Green 24 05 Sep 2018 09:00 167 No people No people
Green 25 05 Sep 2018 15:00 204 No people No people
Green 26 05 Sep 2018 21:00 213 No people No people
Green 27 06 Sep 2018 03:00 213 No people No people
Green 28 06 Sep 2018 09:00 204 No people No people
Green 29 06 Sep 2018 15:00 194 No people No people
Green 30 06 Sep 2018 21:00 194 No people No people
Green 31 07 Sep 2018 03:00 204 No people No people
Green 32 07 Sep 2018 09:00 204 No people No people
Green 33 07 Sep 2018 15:00 213 No people No people
Green 34 07 Sep 2018 21:00 213 No people No people
Green 35 08 Sep 2018 03:00 213 No people No people
Green 36 08 Sep 2018 09:00 231 No people No people
Green 37 08 Sep 2018 15:00 231 No people No people
Green 38 08 Sep 2018 21:00 231 410 thousand No people United States
Orange 39 09 Sep 2018 03:00 231 2.7 million 160 thousand United States
Orange 40 09 Sep 2018 09:00 222 4.3 million 340 thousand United States
Orange 41 09 Sep 2018 15:00 222 6.5 million 600 thousand United States
Orange 42 09 Sep 2018 21:00 222 5.9 million 990 thousand United States
Orange 43 10 Sep 2018 03:00 241 5.7 million 990 thousand United States
Orange 44 10 Sep 2018 09:00 231 7.4 million 1.3 million United States
Red 45 10 Sep 2018 15:00 231 8 million 2.1 million United States

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 30 Aug 2018 15:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 12.9, -18.4
GREEN
2 30 Aug 2018 21:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 12.9, -19.4
GREEN
3 31 Aug 2018 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.2, -20.9
GREEN
4 31 Aug 2018 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.6, -21.4
GREEN
5 31 Aug 2018 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.7, -22.7
GREEN
6 31 Aug 2018 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.8, -24.7
GREEN
7 01 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 14.2, -25.5
GREEN
8 01 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 14.5, -26.7
GREEN
9 01 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 14.8, -27.8
GREEN
10 01 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 15.6, -29
GREEN
11 02 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 16, -30.2
GREEN
12 02 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 16.5, -31.4
GREEN
13 02 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 17, -33.2
GREEN
14 02 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 17.4, -34.6
GREEN
15 03 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 17.9, -35.9
GREEN
16 03 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 18, -37.5
GREEN
17 03 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 18.3, -38.7
GREEN
18 03 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 18.6, -39.8
GREEN
19 04 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 18.9, -41
GREEN
20 04 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 19.3, -42
GREEN
21 04 Sep 2018 15:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 19.7, -42.5
GREEN
22 04 Sep 2018 21:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 20.3, -43.2
GREEN
23 05 Sep 2018 03:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 20.7, -43.9
GREEN
24 05 Sep 2018 09:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 21.4, -44.8
GREEN
25 05 Sep 2018 15:00 Category 3 204 no people no people 22, -45.7
GREEN
26 05 Sep 2018 21:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 22.7, -46.6
GREEN
27 06 Sep 2018 03:00 Category 3 204 no people no people 23.4, -47.2
GREEN
28 06 Sep 2018 09:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 24.1, -47.9
GREEN
29 06 Sep 2018 15:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 24.6, -48.6
GREEN
30 06 Sep 2018 21:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 25, -49.6
GREEN
31 07 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 25.1, -49.8
GREEN
32 07 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 25.1, -50.7
GREEN
33 07 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 25, -51.8
GREEN
34 07 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 24.8, -52.5
GREEN
35 08 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 24.8, -53.2
GREEN
36 08 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 24.5, -54.2
GREEN
37 08 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 24.5, -54.3
GREEN
38 08 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 24.6, -54.7
GREEN
39 09 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 24.6, -55.2
GREEN
40 09 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 24.5, -55.8
GREEN
41 09 Sep 2018 15:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 24.4, -56.3
GREEN
42 09 Sep 2018 21:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 24.4, -57
GREEN
43 10 Sep 2018 03:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 24.6, -57.7
GREEN
44 10 Sep 2018 09:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 24.9, -58.9
GREEN
45 10 Sep 2018 15:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 25, -60
GREEN
45 11 Sep 2018 00:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 25.5, -61.9
GREEN
45 11 Sep 2018 12:00 Category 4 231 no people no people 26.4, -64.7
GREEN
45 12 Sep 2018 00:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 27.8, -67.9
GREEN
45 12 Sep 2018 12:00 Category 4 241 1.1 million people no people 29.5, -71 United States
RED
45 13 Sep 2018 12:00 Category 4 231 7.5 million people 1.2 million people 33, -76.3 United States
GREEN
45 14 Sep 2018 12:00 Category 1 139 7.5 million people 1.5 million people 35, -79 United States
GREEN
45 15 Sep 2018 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 36, -80 United States
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population

Countries

Country
United States

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
North Carolina United States 6.8 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Wilmington North Carolina United States City 75000 people
Fayetteville North Carolina United States City 120000 people
Greensboro North Carolina United States City 220000 people
High Point North Carolina United States City 85000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Whitewood Forest 9 0
Camp Davis Mcolf 18 0
Topsail Airpark 20 0
Pilots Ridge 11 0
Brunswick Media Center 8 0
Sky Manor 18 0
Brunswick County 7 Civ. Paved Yes 4000
New Hanover County ILM 10 Civ. Paved Yes 8000
Stag Air Park 7 0
Brickhouse Fld 9 0
Winnabow 10 0
The Brunswick Hospital 8 0
Sandy Run Acres 18 0
Pettigrew Moore Aerodrome 9 0
Ocean Isle 10 0
Bear Pen 19 0
Henderson Field 12 Civ. Paved Yes 3900
Safe Field 15 0
Murphy Farms 24 0
Duplin General Hospital 38 0
Yonder 11 0
Mitchell Field 7 0
Garland 'brinks' 38 0
Columbus County Municipal 27 Civ. Paved Yes 5500
Sampson Memorial Hospital 48 0
Elizabethtown 40 0
Sampson County CTZ 45 Civ. Paved Yes 4200
Twin Oak 38 0
Bladen County Hospital 37 0
Dublin Field 38 0
Bladenboro 35 0
Rainbow 18 0
Mynatt Field 27 0
Grays Creek 60 0
Mc Kee 34 0
Eastover Air Ranch 49 0
Tailwinds 50 0
Bill Johnsons 29 0
Betsy Johnson Memorial Hospital 63 0
Lumberton Municipal LBT 38 Civ. Paved Yes 4900
Fayetteville Municipal FAY 58 Civ. Paved Yes 7200
Southern Comforts Aerodrome 53 0
Windemere 30 0
Sprint / Carolina Telephone 44 0
Fayetteville Vamc 58 0
Flyers Airpark 35 0
Cape Fear Valley Medical Center 65 0
Harnett County 60 Civ. Paved Yes 3700
Beard 64 0
E T Field 57 0
Adams 44 0
Simmons AAF FBG 74 Mil. Paved Yes 4600
Allen's 122 0
Pope AFB POB 66 Mil. Paved Yes 7400
Raeford Municipal 93 0
William Irving Lewis 94 0
Laurinburg Maxton MXE 67 Civ. Paved Yes 6400
Viking 90 0
Craven Field 125 0
Scotland Memorial 65 0
Sanford Lee Co Brick Field 131 0
Sanford-Lee County Regional 75 Civ. Paved Yes 6500
Dean Wings Past 146 0
Mackall AAF HFF 115 Mil. Paved Yes 4900
Moore County SOP 141 Civ. Paved Yes 5500
Moretz Riverside Landing 99 0
Moore Regional Hospital 140 0
Eagles Landing 131 0
Gilliam - McConnell Airfield 136 0
Seven Lakes 177 0
Dead Dog 160 0
Brooks Field 189 0
Blair Municipal 187 0
Flying Dove Field 198 0
Montgomery County 191 0
Hinshaw (Greenacres) 229 0
Smith Air Strip 171 0
Yorks Field 174 0
N. C. Zoo 198 0
Causey 221 0
Southeast Greensboro 225 0
Asheboro Municipal 205 Civ. Paved Yes 5000
May 237 0
Delk's 140 0
Johnson Field 223 0
Quiet Acres 226 0
Darr Field 266 0
Piedmont Triad International GSO 282 Civ. Paved Yes 10000
Hiatt 261 0
Blevin's Private 297 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Cape Fear USCFN Wake Island
Wrightsville USXOG Wake Island
Southport Wake Island
Wilmington (n.cal) USILM Wake Island

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Lake Auman Lake Auman Dam Jackson 1997
High Point Municipal Dam Deep River 1928
Oak Hollow Lake Dam West Fork of Deep River 1971

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

2.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  2.0m in Stacy, United States. This height is estimated for 14 Sep 2018 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (557 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 59 of 14 Sep 2018 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

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