Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FLORENCE-18
in United States
10 Sep 2018 09 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
GDACS
Impact Single TC
Impact all weather systems in the area
.

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FLORENCE-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (NOAA)
Exposed countries United States
Exposed population 1.5 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 241 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability Low (United States)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 231 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 1.5
GDACS Overall 241 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

231 km/h Current

Up to 1.2 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 30 Aug 2018 15:00 120 50 thousand No people Cape Verde
Green 2 30 Aug 2018 21:00 120 40 thousand No people Cape Verde
Green 3 31 Aug 2018 03:00 120 7 thousand No people
Green 4 31 Aug 2018 09:00 120 50 thousand No people Cape Verde
Green 5 31 Aug 2018 15:00 120 No people No people
Green 6 31 Aug 2018 21:00 111 No people No people
Green 7 01 Sep 2018 03:00 111 No people No people
Green 8 01 Sep 2018 09:00 111 No people No people
Green 9 01 Sep 2018 15:00 111 No people No people
Green 10 01 Sep 2018 21:00 102 No people No people
Green 11 02 Sep 2018 03:00 102 No people No people
Green 12 02 Sep 2018 09:00 102 No people No people
Green 13 02 Sep 2018 15:00 102 No people No people
Green 14 02 Sep 2018 21:00 102 No people No people
Green 15 03 Sep 2018 03:00 93 No people No people
Green 16 03 Sep 2018 09:00 102 No people No people
Green 17 03 Sep 2018 15:00 111 No people No people
Green 18 03 Sep 2018 21:00 111 No people No people
Green 19 04 Sep 2018 03:00 111 No people No people
Green 20 04 Sep 2018 09:00 120 No people No people
Green 21 04 Sep 2018 15:00 120 No people No people
Green 22 04 Sep 2018 21:00 148 No people No people
Green 23 05 Sep 2018 03:00 167 No people No people
Green 24 05 Sep 2018 09:00 167 No people No people
Green 25 05 Sep 2018 15:00 204 No people No people
Green 26 05 Sep 2018 21:00 213 No people No people
Green 27 06 Sep 2018 03:00 213 No people No people
Green 28 06 Sep 2018 09:00 204 No people No people
Green 29 06 Sep 2018 15:00 194 No people No people
Green 30 06 Sep 2018 21:00 194 No people No people
Green 31 07 Sep 2018 03:00 204 No people No people
Green 32 07 Sep 2018 09:00 204 No people No people
Green 33 07 Sep 2018 15:00 213 No people No people
Green 34 07 Sep 2018 21:00 213 No people No people
Green 35 08 Sep 2018 03:00 213 No people No people
Green 36 08 Sep 2018 09:00 231 No people No people
Green 37 08 Sep 2018 15:00 231 No people No people
Green 38 08 Sep 2018 21:00 231 410 thousand No people United States
Orange 39 09 Sep 2018 03:00 231 2.7 million 160 thousand United States
Orange 40 09 Sep 2018 09:00 222 4.3 million 340 thousand United States
Orange 41 09 Sep 2018 15:00 222 6.5 million 600 thousand United States
Orange 42 09 Sep 2018 21:00 222 5.9 million 990 thousand United States
Orange 43 10 Sep 2018 03:00 241 5.7 million 990 thousand United States
Orange 44 10 Sep 2018 09:00 231 7.4 million 1.3 million United States

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 30 Aug 2018 15:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 12.9, -18.4
GREEN
2 30 Aug 2018 21:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 12.9, -19.4
GREEN
3 31 Aug 2018 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.2, -20.9
GREEN
4 31 Aug 2018 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.6, -21.4
GREEN
5 31 Aug 2018 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.7, -22.7
GREEN
6 31 Aug 2018 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.8, -24.7
GREEN
7 01 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 14.2, -25.5
GREEN
8 01 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 14.5, -26.7
GREEN
9 01 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 14.8, -27.8
GREEN
10 01 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 15.6, -29
GREEN
11 02 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 16, -30.2
GREEN
12 02 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 16.5, -31.4
GREEN
13 02 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 17, -33.2
GREEN
14 02 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 17.4, -34.6
GREEN
15 03 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 17.9, -35.9
GREEN
16 03 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 18, -37.5
GREEN
17 03 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 18.3, -38.7
GREEN
18 03 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 18.6, -39.8
GREEN
19 04 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 18.9, -41
GREEN
20 04 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 19.3, -42
GREEN
21 04 Sep 2018 15:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 19.7, -42.5
GREEN
22 04 Sep 2018 21:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 20.3, -43.2
GREEN
23 05 Sep 2018 03:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 20.7, -43.9
GREEN
24 05 Sep 2018 09:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 21.4, -44.8
GREEN
25 05 Sep 2018 15:00 Category 3 204 no people no people 22, -45.7
GREEN
26 05 Sep 2018 21:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 22.7, -46.6
GREEN
27 06 Sep 2018 03:00 Category 3 204 no people no people 23.4, -47.2
GREEN
28 06 Sep 2018 09:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 24.1, -47.9
GREEN
29 06 Sep 2018 15:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 24.6, -48.6
GREEN
30 06 Sep 2018 21:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 25, -49.6
GREEN
31 07 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 25.1, -49.8
GREEN
32 07 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 25.1, -50.7
GREEN
33 07 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 25, -51.8
GREEN
34 07 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 24.8, -52.5
GREEN
35 08 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 24.8, -53.2
GREEN
36 08 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 24.5, -54.2
GREEN
37 08 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 24.5, -54.3
GREEN
38 08 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 24.6, -54.7
GREEN
39 09 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 24.6, -55.2
GREEN
40 09 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 24.5, -55.8
GREEN
41 09 Sep 2018 15:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 24.4, -56.3
GREEN
42 09 Sep 2018 21:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 24.4, -57
GREEN
43 10 Sep 2018 03:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 24.6, -57.7
GREEN
44 10 Sep 2018 09:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 24.9, -58.9
GREEN
44 10 Sep 2018 18:00 Category 3 204 no people no people 25.4, -60.5
GREEN
44 11 Sep 2018 06:00 Category 4 222 no people no people 26.1, -63.1
GREEN
44 11 Sep 2018 18:00 Category 4 231 no people no people 27.3, -66.2
GREEN
44 12 Sep 2018 06:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 28.8, -69.3
ORANGE
44 13 Sep 2018 06:00 Category 4 231 5.8 million people 480000 people 32.2, -74.8 United States
ORANGE
44 14 Sep 2018 06:00 Category 3 185 7.3 million people 1.2 million people 34.5, -78.1 United States
GREEN
44 15 Sep 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 35.8, -79.6 United States
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
United States

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
North Carolina United States 6.8 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Wilmington North Carolina United States City 75000 people
Fayetteville North Carolina United States City 120000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Whitewood Forest 9 0
Camp Davis Mcolf 18 0
New River Mcas 8 Mil. Paved Yes 5100
Topsail Airpark 20 0
Pilots Ridge 11 0
Sky Manor 18 0
Brunswick Media Center 8 0
Brunswick County 7 Civ. Paved Yes 4000
New Hanover County ILM 10 Civ. Paved Yes 8000
Albert J Ellis OAJ 29 Civ. Paved Yes 7100
Stag Air Park 7 0
Brickhouse Fld 9 0
Winnabow 10 0
The Brunswick Hospital 8 0
Sandy Run Acres 18 0
Pettigrew Moore Aerodrome 9 0
Henderson Field 12 Civ. Paved Yes 3900
Bear Pen 19 0
Murphy Farms 24 0
Safe Field 15 0
Duplin General Hospital 38 0
P B Raiford 41 Civ. Paved Yes 6000
Yonder 11 0
Mitchell Field 7 0
Garland 'brinks' 38 0
Sampson Memorial Hospital 48 0
Sampson County CTZ 45 Civ. Paved Yes 4200
Elizabethtown 40 0
Twin Oak 38 0
Bladen County Hospital 37 0
Dublin Field 38 0
Bladenboro 35 0
Rainbow 18 0
Grays Creek 60 0
Betsy Johnson Memorial Hospital 63 0
Eastover Air Ranch 49 0
Bill Johnsons 29 0
Tailwinds 50 0
Fayetteville Municipal FAY 58 Civ. Paved Yes 7200
Southern Comforts Aerodrome 53 0
Windemere 30 0
Sprint / Carolina Telephone 44 0
Flyers Airpark 35 0
Fayetteville Vamc 58 0
Harnett County 60 Civ. Paved Yes 3700
Cape Fear Valley Medical Center 65 0
Beard 64 0
E T Field 57 0
Simmons AAF FBG 74 Mil. Paved Yes 4600
Allen's 122 0
Pope AFB POB 66 Mil. Paved Yes 7400
Raeford Municipal 93 0
William Irving Lewis 94 0
Craven Field 125 0
Viking 90 0
Sanford Lee Co Brick Field 131 0
Sanford-Lee County Regional 75 Civ. Paved Yes 6500
Dean Wings Past 146 0
Moretz Riverside Landing 99 0
Moore County SOP 141 Civ. Paved Yes 5500
Eagles Landing 131 0
Gilliam - McConnell Airfield 136 0
Dead Dog 160 0
Brooks Field 189 0
Blair Municipal 187 0
Flying Dove Field 198 0
Hinshaw (Greenacres) 229 0
Smith Air Strip 171 0
Yorks Field 174 0
Causey 221 0
Southeast Greensboro 225 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Cape Fear USCFN Wake Island
Wrightsville USXOG Wake Island
Southport Wake Island
Wilmington (n.cal) USILM Wake Island

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
B. Everett Jordan Lake B. Everett Jordan Dam Haw River 1974

Nuclear plants

Name Country Reactors
BRUNSWICK UNITED STATES 2
SHEARON HARRIS UNITED STATES 1

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 44 of 10 Sep 2018 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)