Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for KATIA-17
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KATIA-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population 520 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (09 Sep 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 167 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 1.5
Overall 176 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

167 km/h Current Max.

Up to 250000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 05 Sep 2017 21:00 102 3 million No people Mexico
Green 2 06 Sep 2017 03:00 111 6.5 million No people Mexico
Green 3 06 Sep 2017 09:00 111 20.4 million No people Mexico
Green 4 06 Sep 2017 15:00 120 2.1 million No people Mexico
Orange 5 06 Sep 2017 21:00 148 4.1 million 840 thousand Mexico
Orange 6 07 Sep 2017 03:00 176 8.2 million 1.6 million Mexico
Orange 7 07 Sep 2017 09:00 167 14.9 million 1.3 million Mexico
Orange 8 07 Sep 2017 15:00 167 4 million 540 thousand Mexico
Orange 9 07 Sep 2017 21:00 167 4.4 million 730 thousand Mexico
Orange 10 08 Sep 2017 03:00 167 9.5 million 250 thousand Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 05 Sep 2017 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 22.4, -96.7
GREEN
2 06 Sep 2017 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 22.2, -96.4
GREEN
3 06 Sep 2017 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 22.1, -96.3
GREEN
4 06 Sep 2017 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 21.7, -95.9
GREEN
5 06 Sep 2017 21:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 21.7, -95.1
GREEN
6 07 Sep 2017 03:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 21.7, -94.8
GREEN
7 07 Sep 2017 09:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 21.5, -94.5
GREEN
8 07 Sep 2017 15:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 21.6, -94.6
GREEN
9 07 Sep 2017 21:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 21.6, -94.6
GREEN
10 08 Sep 2017 03:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 21.5, -95.1
GREEN
10 08 Sep 2017 12:00 Category 2 157 no people 500000 people 21.3, -95.5 Mexico
ORANGE
10 09 Sep 2017 00:00 Category 2 167 250000 people 6.1 million people 20.8, -96.4 Mexico
GREEN
10 09 Sep 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 9.2 million people 19.9, -97.5 Mexico
GREEN
10 10 Sep 2017 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 19.3, -98.3 Mexico
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mexico

Provinces

Region Province Country
Veracruz Mexico
Puebla Mexico

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
La Soledad Apulco 1962

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Tecolutla, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Sep 2017 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (18 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 10 of 08 Sep 2017 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Sep 2017 06:00 Tecolutla Mexico  0.7
09 Sep 2017 06:00 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.6
09 Sep 2017 06:00 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.5
09 Sep 2017 06:00 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.5
09 Sep 2017 06:00 Tamiahua Mexico  0.4
09 Sep 2017 06:00 Laja Mexico  0.3
09 Sep 2017 05:00 Vega de Alatorre Mexico  0.3
09 Sep 2017 08:00 Nautla Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2017 05:00 El Naranjal Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2017 05:00 El Tular Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2017 04:00 La Mata Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 06:00 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 06:00 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 14:00 Los Ebanos Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 14:00 El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2017 14:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2017 08:00 El Laurel Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2017 16:00 La Presita Mexico  0.1