Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for DINEO-17
in Mozambique
16 Feb 2017 00 UTC
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  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone DINEO-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Mozambique
    Exposed population 510 thousand in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.9 m (15 Feb 17:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability High (Mozambique)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 111 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 139 km/h 0.9 m n.a. 1.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      111 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 4.6 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 13 Feb 2017 12:00 120 1.6 million No people Mozambique, Zimbabwe, South Africa
        Orange 2 14 Feb 2017 00:00 120 1.4 million 380 thousand Mozambique
        Orange 3 14 Feb 2017 12:00 139 3 million 250 thousand Mozambique
        Orange 4 15 Feb 2017 00:00 130 1.4 million 240 thousand Mozambique
        Orange 5 15 Feb 2017 12:00 130 2.6 million 510 thousand Mozambique
        Green 6 16 Feb 2017 00:00 111 4.6 million 520 thousand Mozambique

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 13 Feb 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -21.5, 39.8
          GREEN
          		 2 14 Feb 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -21.9, 39
          GREEN
          		 3 14 Feb 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -22.3, 38.8
          GREEN
          		 4 15 Feb 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 920000 people -22.7, 37.8 Mozambique
          ORANGE
          		 5 15 Feb 2017 12:00 Category 1 130 510000 people 2.5 million people -23.5, 36.2 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 6 16 Feb 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 3 million people -23.4, 34.1 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 6 16 Feb 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 2 million people -22.9, 32.1 Mozambique
          GREEN
          		 6 17 Feb 2017 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people -22.5, 29.8 Botswana
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
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          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Mozambique
          South Africa
          Zimbabwe
          Botswana

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Inhambane Mozambique
          Gaza Mozambique
          Maputo Mozambique
          Manica Mozambique
          Northern South Africa
          Mpumalanga South Africa
          Masvingo Zimbabwe
          Matabeleland South Zimbabwe
          Central Botswana

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Maxixe Mozambique City 120000 people
          Xai-Xai Gaza Mozambique City 130000 people
          Louis Trichardt Limpopo South Africa City 86000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Inhambane INH 9 Civ. Paved Yes 4900
          Xai Xai VJB unknown 0
          Vilanculos VNX 14 Civ. Paved Yes 4800
          Chokwe TGS unknown 0
          Hendrik Van Eck PHW 435 Priv. Paved Yes 4500
          Punda Milia 436 0
          Matshakatini 381 0
          Giyani GIY 480 Priv. Paved Yes 5500
          P R Mphephu 615 Civ. Paved No 5900
          Tshipise TSD unknown 0
          Louis Trichardt LCD 922 Civ. Paved No 3900
          Messina MEZ 573 0
          Louis Trichardt Southwest 945 0
          Venetia 706 Priv. Paved No 5000
          Alldays ADY 792 0
          Tuli Lodge TLD unknown 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Inhambane MZINH Mozambique
          Vilanculas Mozambique
          Bazaruto Island Mozambique

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Massinger Barragen Massingir Elefantes 1976
          Nsami Nsama n/a
          Nandoni Levuvuhu 1998
          Middle Letaba Middle Letaba 1943
          Modjadji Molototosi n/a
          Cross Nwanedzi 1979
          Vondo Mutshindudi n/a
          Luphephe Luphephe 1979
          Nwanedzi Nwanedzi 1979
          Jachtpad Koedoes n/a
          Heuningsplaas Middel Letaba n/a
          Mutshedzi Mutshedzi n/a
          Dangadzivha Njelele n/a
          Lorna Dawn Middle Letaba 1971
          Albasini Luvuvhu 1975
          Nzhelele Nzhelele 1979
          Beitbridge Limpopo 1984
          Tongwe Tongwe n/a
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.9 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.9m in Marivate, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 15 Feb 2017 17:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (62 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 6 of 16 Feb 2017 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          15 Feb 2017 17:00 Marivate Mozambique  0.9
          15 Feb 2017 18:00 Morrumbene Mozambique  0.9
          15 Feb 2017 18:00 Maxixe Mozambique  0.8
          15 Feb 2017 18:00 Inhambane Mozambique  0.8
          15 Feb 2017 16:00 Mabsil Mozambique  0.6
          15 Feb 2017 16:00 Beula Mozambique  0.6
          15 Feb 2017 19:00 Chicoque Mozambique  0.6
          15 Feb 2017 19:00 Banga Mozambique  0.6
          15 Feb 2017 16:00 Guiducua Mozambique  0.5
          15 Feb 2017 18:00 Praia do Tofo Mozambique  0.4
          15 Feb 2017 18:00 Miramar Mozambique  0.4
          15 Feb 2017 22:00 Mahoa Mozambique  0.3
          15 Feb 2017 22:00 Fabiao Mozambique  0.3
          15 Feb 2017 22:00 Uetela Mozambique  0.3
          15 Feb 2017 15:00 Ingale Mozambique  0.3
          15 Feb 2017 23:00 China Mozambique  0.2
          15 Feb 2017 19:00 Macashale Mozambique  0.2
          15 Feb 2017 19:00 Macanzele Mozambique  0.2
          15 Feb 2017 16:00 Guinjala Mozambique  0.2
          15 Feb 2017 22:00 Afonso Mozambique  0.2
          15 Feb 2017 22:00 Caulino Mozambique  0.2
          15 Feb 2017 20:00 Guilande Mozambique  0.2
          16 Feb 2017 00:00 Xetoquica Mozambique  0.2
          14 Feb 2017 12:00 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.2
          14 Feb 2017 12:00 Amado Mozambique  0.2
          15 Feb 2017 16:00 Siane Mozambique  0.2
          16 Feb 2017 00:00 Inhampsi Mozambique  0.2
          16 Feb 2017 00:00 Jacob Mozambique  0.2
          15 Feb 2017 22:00 Asneira Mozambique  0.2
          15 Feb 2017 20:00 Bambe Mozambique  0.2
          16 Feb 2017 00:00 Vilanculos Mozambique  0.2
          15 Feb 2017 17:00 Induna Mozambique  0.2
          15 Feb 2017 16:00 Camo Mozambique  0.2
          15 Feb 2017 23:00 Mariano Mozambique  0.1
          15 Feb 2017 19:00 Nangalete Mozambique  0.1
          14 Feb 2017 14:00 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.1
          15 Feb 2017 23:00 Inhassoro Mozambique  0.1
          15 Feb 2017 23:00 Catine Mozambique  0.1
          15 Feb 2017 21:00 Maguemba Mozambique  0.1
          15 Feb 2017 19:00 Gafaria Mozambique  0.1
          15 Feb 2017 17:00 Mahupe Mozambique  0.1
          14 Feb 2017 13:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
          14 Feb 2017 12:00 Manometimay Madagascar  0.1
          14 Feb 2017 12:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
          14 Feb 2017 12:00 Kivalo Est Madagascar  0.1
          16 Feb 2017 01:00 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.1
          16 Feb 2017 01:00 Natalia Mozambique  0.1
          16 Feb 2017 00:00 Linchica Mozambique  0.1
          14 Feb 2017 13:00 Morondava Madagascar  0.1
          14 Feb 2017 13:00 Antserananbondro Madagascar  0.1
          16 Feb 2017 02:00 Castigo Mozambique  0.1
          14 Feb 2017 12:00 Belo-sur-Mer Madagascar  0.1
          16 Feb 2017 00:00 D'lhelo Mozambique  0.1
          14 Feb 2017 13:00 Antsamaka Madagascar  0.1
          14 Feb 2017 16:00 Barra Mozambique  0.1
          14 Feb 2017 16:00 Ocone Mozambique  0.1
          15 Feb 2017 09:00 Afo Mozambique  0.1
          15 Feb 2017 22:00 Contra Costa Mozambique  0.1
          15 Feb 2017 23:00 Chavanine Mozambique  0.1
          14 Feb 2017 13:00 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.1
          14 Feb 2017 03:00 Jonja Mozambique  0.1
          15 Feb 2017 20:00 Gueima Mozambique  0.1