Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for DINEO-17
in Mozambique
GDACS
Impact Single TC
HWRF
ECMWF
GFS
Impact all weather systems in the area
.

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DINEO-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (JTWC)
Exposed countries Mozambique
Exposed population 510 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.9 m (15 Feb 17:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Mozambique)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 111 km/h 0.9 m n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 139 km/h 0.9 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

111 km/h Current

Up to 520000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 13 Feb 2017 12:00 120 1.6 million No people Mozambique, Zimbabwe, South Africa
Orange 2 14 Feb 2017 00:00 120 1.4 million 380 thousand Mozambique
Orange 3 14 Feb 2017 12:00 139 3 million 250 thousand Mozambique
Orange 4 15 Feb 2017 00:00 130 1.4 million 240 thousand Mozambique
Orange 5 15 Feb 2017 12:00 130 2.6 million 510 thousand Mozambique
Green 6 16 Feb 2017 00:00 111 4.6 million 520 thousand Mozambique

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 13 Feb 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -21.5, 39.8
GREEN
2 14 Feb 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -21.9, 39
GREEN
3 14 Feb 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -22.3, 38.8
GREEN
4 15 Feb 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 111 920000 people no people -22.7, 37.8 Mozambique
ORANGE
5 15 Feb 2017 12:00 Category 1 130 2.4 million people 510000 people -23.5, 36.2 Mozambique
GREEN
6 16 Feb 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 111 3 million people no people -23.4, 34.1 Mozambique
GREEN
6 16 Feb 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 74 1.9 million people no people -22.9, 32.1 Mozambique
GREEN
6 17 Feb 2017 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people -22.5, 29.8 Botswana
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
Mozambique

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Inhambane Mozambique 1.3 million people
Gaza Mozambique 1.3 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population Distance
Maxixe Mozambique City 110000 people 137 km

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft) Distance
Inhambane INH 9 Civ. Paved Yes 4900 144 km

Ports

Name LOCODE Country Distance
Inhambane MZINH Mozambique 140 km

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.9m in Marivate, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 15 Feb 2017 17:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (62 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 6 of 16 Feb 2017 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

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