Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for JUDY-23
in Vanuatu
01 Mar 2023 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone JUDY-23 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Glide number: TC-2023-000030-VUT
    Exposed countries Vanuatu
    Exposed population 160 thousand in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 204 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (01 Mar 07:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Vanuatu)
    Landfall between
    01 Mar 2023 00:00 - 01 Mar 2023 06:00
    in Vanuatu

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 194 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 2.5
    Overall 204 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 2.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      194 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 160000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Orange 1 27 Feb 2023 00:00 148 280 thousand 150 thousand Vanuatu
        Green 2 27 Feb 2023 06:00 148 480 thousand 10 thousand Vanuatu
        Orange 3 27 Feb 2023 12:00 120 500 thousand 80 thousand Vanuatu
        Orange 4 27 Feb 2023 18:00 167 280 thousand 130 thousand Vanuatu
        Orange 5 28 Feb 2023 00:00 148 280 thousand 40 thousand Vanuatu
        Orange 6 28 Feb 2023 06:00 157 470 thousand 100 thousand Vanuatu
        Green 7 28 Feb 2023 12:00 157 480 thousand 20 thousand Vanuatu
        Red 8 28 Feb 2023 18:00 194 280 thousand 160 thousand Vanuatu
        Orange 9 01 Mar 2023 00:00 176 270 thousand 160 thousand Vanuatu
        Red 10 01 Mar 2023 06:00 194 280 thousand 160 thousand Vanuatu

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 27 Feb 2023 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 7100 people -12.6, 171.1
          GREEN
          		 2 27 Feb 2023 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 50000 people -12.8, 169.8
          GREEN
          		 3 27 Feb 2023 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 150000 people -13.5, 169.6
          GREEN
          		 4 27 Feb 2023 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 230000 people -13.6, 169.2
          GREEN
          		 5 28 Feb 2023 00:00 Tropical storm 102 11000 people 230000 people -14, 168.6
          ORANGE
          		 6 28 Feb 2023 06:00 Category 1 120 33000 people 260000 people -14.6, 168.3
          GREEN
          		 7 28 Feb 2023 12:00 Category 1 139 14000 people 270000 people -15.5, 168.3 Vanuatu
          ORANGE
          		 8 28 Feb 2023 18:00 Category 2 157 120000 people 260000 people -17, 168.1
          ORANGE
          		 9 01 Mar 2023 00:00 Category 2 176 35000 people 260000 people -18.2, 168.6
          RED
          		 10 01 Mar 2023 06:00 Category 3 194 32000 people 150000 people -19.4, 169.3 Vanuatu
          GREEN
          		 10 01 Mar 2023 18:00 Category 3 204 <1000 people 40000 people -21.8, 171.2
          GREEN
          		 10 02 Mar 2023 06:00 Category 2 176 no people <1000 people -23.7, 172.7
          GREEN
          		 10 02 Mar 2023 18:00 Category 1 148 no people <1000 people -25.4, 174.5
          GREEN
          		 10 03 Mar 2023 06:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -27.1, 177.3
          GREEN
          		 10 04 Mar 2023 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -29.5, -174.3
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
          Vanuatu 130000 people

          Provinces

          Region Province Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
          Vanuatu Vanuatu 130000 people

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Port-Vila Vanuatu Capital 36000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Tanna Island Tanna TAH unknown 0
          White Grass 6 Civ. Paved Yes 5000
          Aniwa AWD unknown 0
          Ipota IPA unknown 0
          Dillons Bay DLY unknown 0
          Port Vila Bauerfield VLI 20 Civ. Paved Yes 8500
          Quine Hill UIQ unknown 0
          Lamap LPM unknown 0
          Emae EAE unknown 0
          Sangafa 2 Civ. Unpaved No 3200
          Epi EPI unknown 0
          Valesdir VLS unknown 0
          Lamen Bay LNB unknown 0
          Ulei ULB unknown 0
          Sara SSR unknown 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Tana Island Vanuatu
          Aneityum Island Vanuatu
          Forari Bay Vanuatu
          Port Vila VUVLI Vanuatu
          Port Sandwich VUPSA Vanuatu
          Ambryn Island Vanuatu
          Matthew Island New Caledonia
          Pentecost Island Vanuatu
          Hunter Island New Caledonia
          Maewo Island Vanuatu
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.6 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in White Sands, Vanuatu. This height is estimated for 01 Mar 2023 07:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (126 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 17 of 03 Mar 2023 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          01 Mar 2023 07:00 White Sands Vanuatu  0.6
          01 Mar 2023 07:00 Ireupuow Vanuatu  0.6
          28 Feb 2023 22:00 Eratap Vanuatu  0.5
          01 Mar 2023 04:00 Happy Land Vanuatu  0.5
          01 Mar 2023 04:00 Ipota Vanuatu  0.5
          01 Mar 2023 03:00 Navolou Vanuatu  0.5
          01 Mar 2023 03:00 Unpongkor Vanuatu  0.5
          01 Mar 2023 07:00 Ombous Vanuatu  0.5
          01 Mar 2023 07:00 Yokopenan Vanuatu  0.5
          01 Mar 2023 07:00 Waisisi Vanuatu  0.5
          01 Mar 2023 07:00 Isaka Vanuatu  0.5
          01 Mar 2023 07:00 Imareukak Vanuatu  0.5
          01 Mar 2023 04:00 Umpon Mompu Vanuatu  0.4
          28 Feb 2023 22:00 Montmartre Vanuatu  0.4
          28 Feb 2023 16:00 Vaoleli Vanuatu  0.4
          28 Feb 2023 16:00 Tafouale Vanuatu  0.4
          28 Feb 2023 16:00 Liro Vanuatu  0.4
          28 Feb 2023 17:00 Burumba Vanuatu  0.4
          28 Feb 2023 17:00 Valesdir Vanuatu  0.4
          01 Mar 2023 06:00 Lownepina Vanuatu  0.4
          01 Mar 2023 06:00 Laounalang Vanuatu  0.4
          01 Mar 2023 06:00 Lowkahmal Vanuatu  0.4
          01 Mar 2023 06:00 Imwareupo Vanuatu  0.4
          28 Feb 2023 20:00 Utanlangi Vanuatu  0.4
          28 Feb 2023 20:00 Sounai Vanuatu  0.4
          28 Feb 2023 16:00 Lamarou Vanuatu  0.4
          28 Feb 2023 16:00 Ignal Vanuatu  0.4
          28 Feb 2023 16:00 Lulep Nesa Vanuatu  0.4
          28 Feb 2023 17:00 Manpay Vanuatu  0.4
          28 Feb 2023 20:00 Nekapa Vanuatu  0.4
          28 Feb 2023 20:00 Emua Vanuatu  0.4
          28 Feb 2023 21:00 Laonomoa Vanuatu  0.4
          28 Feb 2023 21:00 Onesoua Vanuatu  0.4
          28 Feb 2023 22:00 Epuen Vanuatu  0.4
          28 Feb 2023 16:00 Paia Vanuatu  0.4
          01 Mar 2023 06:00 Loounemeloupang Vanuatu  0.4
          01 Mar 2023 06:00 Loounimhapeun Vanuatu  0.4
          28 Feb 2023 21:00 Marow Vanuatu  0.3
          28 Feb 2023 22:00 Epantgouei Vanuatu  0.3
          28 Feb 2023 22:00 Erakor Vanuatu  0.3
          28 Feb 2023 22:00 Port-Vila Vanuatu  0.3
          28 Feb 2023 22:00 Nanguile Vanuatu  0.3
          28 Feb 2023 17:00 Ponkovia Vanuatu  0.3
          28 Feb 2023 16:00 Lamen Vanuatu  0.3
          28 Feb 2023 15:00 Fonwor Vanuatu  0.3
          28 Feb 2023 14:00 Lonbilingdoun Vanuatu  0.3
          28 Feb 2023 15:00 Pawe Vanuatu  0.3
          28 Feb 2023 17:00 Votlo Vanuatu  0.3
          28 Feb 2023 21:00 Mele Vanuatu  0.3
          28 Feb 2023 16:00 Nikaura Vanuatu  0.3
          01 Mar 2023 03:00 Potnarvin Vanuatu  0.3
          28 Feb 2023 19:00 Boloa Vanuatu  0.3
          28 Feb 2023 19:00 Mangita Vanuatu  0.3
          28 Feb 2023 21:00 Ebao Vanuatu  0.3
          01 Mar 2023 06:00 Loanatom Vanuatu  0.3
          28 Feb 2023 14:00 Linbul Vanuatu  0.3
          28 Feb 2023 17:00 Tavio Vanuatu  0.3
          28 Feb 2023 17:00 Mate Vanuatu  0.3
          28 Feb 2023 19:00 Malakof Vanuatu  0.3
          28 Feb 2023 21:00 Forari Vanuatu  0.3
          01 Mar 2023 06:00 Lenakel Vanuatu  0.3
          28 Feb 2023 10:00 Narovorovo Vanuatu  0.2
          28 Feb 2023 15:00 Toak Vanuatu  0.2
          28 Feb 2023 16:00 Halos Vanuatu  0.2
          28 Feb 2023 21:00 Matao Tiupeniu Vanuatu  0.2
          01 Mar 2023 04:00 Yawisaghuwi Vanuatu  0.2
          01 Mar 2023 11:00 Isino Vanuatu  0.2
          01 Mar 2023 11:00 Anelghowhat Vanuatu  0.2
          28 Feb 2023 15:00 Port-Vato Vanuatu  0.2
          28 Feb 2023 17:00 Leman Vanuatu  0.2
          01 Mar 2023 07:00 Isangel Vanuatu  0.2
          01 Mar 2023 07:00 Yerou Vanuatu  0.2
          28 Feb 2023 16:00 Peskarus Vanuatu  0.2
          28 Feb 2023 09:00 Jasmori Vanuatu  0.2
          28 Feb 2023 19:00 Leiwoma Vanuatu  0.2
          28 Feb 2023 17:00 Nul Vanuatu  0.2
          28 Feb 2023 17:00 Filakara Vanuatu  0.2
          28 Feb 2023 16:00 Lamap Vanuatu  0.2
          01 Mar 2023 07:00 Isavai Vanuatu  0.2
          01 Mar 2023 07:00 Loonelapeun Vanuatu  0.2
          01 Mar 2023 11:00 Umetch Vanuatu  0.2
          01 Mar 2023 10:00 Port Patrick Vanuatu  0.2
          28 Feb 2023 17:00 Faroun Vanuatu  0.2
          28 Feb 2023 16:00 Bourbar Vanuatu  0.2
          28 Feb 2023 18:00 Lambukuti Vanuatu  0.2
          28 Feb 2023 19:00 Moeriou Vanuatu  0.2
          28 Feb 2023 17:00 Kouroumanpe Vanuatu  0.2
          28 Feb 2023 16:00 Meriver Vanuatu  0.2
          28 Feb 2023 15:00 Yelowouwou Vanuatu  0.2
          28 Feb 2023 22:00 Port-Havannah Vanuatu  0.2
          28 Feb 2023 11:00 Lolowai Vanuatu  0.1
          28 Feb 2023 18:00 Mangarisu Vanuatu  0.1
          28 Feb 2023 13:00 Walurigi Vanuatu  0.1
          28 Feb 2023 13:00 Lolopuepue Vanuatu  0.1
          28 Feb 2023 15:00 Yaotilie Vanuatu  0.1
          01 Mar 2023 02:00 Rampunalvat Vanuatu  0.1
          28 Feb 2023 12:00 Abatabanga Vanuatu  0.1
          28 Feb 2023 17:00 Makatea Vanuatu  0.1
          28 Feb 2023 16:00 Lambulmbatuei Vanuatu  0.1
          28 Feb 2023 18:00 Wintua Vanuatu  0.1
          28 Feb 2023 17:00 Melip Vanuatu  0.1
          01 Mar 2023 04:00 Ifo Vanuatu  0.1
          28 Feb 2023 17:00 Malfakhal Vanuatu  0.1
          01 Mar 2023 08:00 Yeruareng Vanuatu  0.1
          01 Mar 2023 10:00 Mohoun'gha Vanuatu  0.1
          01 Mar 2023 10:00 Ipao Vanuatu  0.1
          28 Feb 2023 16:00 Brenwe Vanuatu  0.1
          28 Feb 2023 14:00 Olal Vanuatu  0.1
          28 Feb 2023 11:00 Longang Vanuatu  0.1
          28 Feb 2023 14:00 Walaha Vanuatu  0.1
          28 Feb 2023 16:00 Limap Vanuatu  0.1
          28 Feb 2023 16:00 Rerep Vanuatu  0.1
          28 Feb 2023 17:00 Tavendrua Vanuatu  0.1
          28 Feb 2023 15:00 Segond Vanuatu  0.1
          28 Feb 2023 15:00 Ranvetlam Vanuatu  0.1
          28 Feb 2023 16:00 Endu Pahakol Vanuatu  0.1
          28 Feb 2023 11:00 Lowitava Vanuatu  0.1
          28 Feb 2023 13:00 Duin Dui Vanuatu  0.1
          28 Feb 2023 13:00 Lolovele Vanuatu  0.1
          28 Feb 2023 16:00 Roghumbo Vanuatu  0.1
          28 Feb 2023 15:00 Fali Vanuatu  0.1
          28 Feb 2023 21:00 Natapao Vanuatu  0.1
          01 Mar 2023 16:00 Noumea New Caledonia  0.1
          01 Mar 2023 16:00 Dumbea New Caledonia  0.1
          01 Mar 2023 16:00 Comm. du Mont-Dore New Caledonia  0.1
          01 Mar 2023 16:00 Saint-Louis New Caledonia  0.1