Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for GABRIELLE-23
in Norfolk Island, New Caledonia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GABRIELLE-23 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Norfolk Island, New Caledonia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 167 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (11 Feb 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (New Caledonia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 139 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 167 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

139 km/h Current Max.

Up to 2400 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 08 Feb 2023 00:00 139 1.7 million 2 thousand Norfolk Island
Green 2 08 Feb 2023 06:00 139 2.7 million 2 thousand Norfolk Island
Green 3 08 Feb 2023 12:00 139 200 thousand No people Norfolk Island, New Zealand
Green 4 08 Feb 2023 18:00 139 560 thousand 2 thousand Norfolk Island

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 08 Feb 2023 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -15.4, 153.4
GREEN
2 08 Feb 2023 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -16, 152.8
GREEN
3 08 Feb 2023 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -16.8, 152.6
GREEN
4 08 Feb 2023 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -17, 152.8
GREEN
4 09 Feb 2023 06:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people -18.8, 153.8
GREEN
4 09 Feb 2023 18:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -21.1, 156.1
GREEN
4 10 Feb 2023 06:00 Category 1 139 no people no people -23.6, 159.5
GREEN
4 10 Feb 2023 18:00 Category 1 130 2400 people 3800 people -26, 162.8
GREEN
4 11 Feb 2023 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 560000 people -29, 168.6
GREEN
4 12 Feb 2023 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -31.7, 174
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Norfolk I. 2400 people

Provinces

Region Province Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Norfolk I. Norfolk Island 2400 people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Kingston Norfolk Island Capital <1000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Norfolk Island International NLK 113 Civ. Paved Yes 6500

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Kingston Norfolk Island

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Kingston, Norfolk Island. This height is estimated for 11 Feb 2023 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (129 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 12 of 10 Feb 2023 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 2 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
11 Feb 2023 06:00 Kingston Norfolk Island  0.5
09 Feb 2023 01:00 Te Kowai Australia  0.4
09 Feb 2023 01:00 Taffy Islet Australia  0.4
09 Feb 2023 03:00 Banana Pocket Australia  0.4
09 Feb 2023 03:00 Lethebrook Australia  0.4
09 Feb 2023 05:00 Etowri Australia  0.3
09 Feb 2023 05:00 Nindaroo Australia  0.3
09 Feb 2023 05:00 Bucasia Australia  0.3
09 Feb 2023 05:00 Eimeo Australia  0.3
09 Feb 2023 05:00 Andergrove Australia  0.3
09 Feb 2023 05:00 Blacks Beach Australia  0.3
09 Feb 2023 03:00 Midgeton Australia  0.3
09 Feb 2023 05:00 Slade Point Australia  0.3
09 Feb 2023 05:00 Amhurst Australia  0.3
09 Feb 2023 05:00 Glenella Australia  0.3
09 Feb 2023 05:00 Bakers Creek Australia  0.3
09 Feb 2023 05:00 North Mackay Australia  0.3
09 Feb 2023 05:00 Mackay Australia  0.3
09 Feb 2023 05:00 Cremorne Australia  0.3
09 Feb 2023 03:00 Carmila Australia  0.3
09 Feb 2023 03:00 Flaggy Rock Australia  0.3
09 Feb 2023 02:00 Farnborough Australia  0.3
09 Feb 2023 02:00 Yeppoon Australia  0.3
09 Feb 2023 02:00 Emu Park Australia  0.3
09 Feb 2023 05:00 Rosella Australia  0.3
09 Feb 2023 05:00 Chelona Australia  0.3
09 Feb 2023 06:00 Hay Point Australia  0.3
09 Feb 2023 03:00 Keppel Sands Australia  0.3
09 Feb 2023 05:00 Alligator Creek Australia  0.2
09 Feb 2023 06:00 Seaforth Australia  0.2
09 Feb 2023 04:00 Southend Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2023 08:00 Pantava Papua New Guinea  0.2
09 Feb 2023 07:00 Carstairs Australia  0.2
09 Feb 2023 07:00 Jarvisfield Australia  0.2
09 Feb 2023 07:00 Rita Island Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2023 15:00 Elalie Australia  0.2
09 Feb 2023 07:00 Inveroona Australia  0.2
09 Feb 2023 07:00 Queens Beach Australia  0.2
09 Feb 2023 08:00 Alva Australia  0.2
09 Feb 2023 07:00 Merinda Australia  0.2
09 Feb 2023 07:00 Delta Australia  0.2
09 Feb 2023 07:00 Bootooloo Australia  0.2
11 Feb 2023 02:00 Gadji New Caledonia  0.2
08 Feb 2023 08:00 Rewe Papua New Guinea  0.2
08 Feb 2023 08:00 Lahimoina Papua New Guinea  0.2
08 Feb 2023 08:00 Leileiafa Papua New Guinea  0.2
09 Feb 2023 07:00 Yumbabullo Australia  0.2
09 Feb 2023 03:00 Targinie Australia  0.2
09 Feb 2023 03:00 Beecher Australia  0.2
09 Feb 2023 03:00 Gladstone Australia  0.2
09 Feb 2023 03:00 Toolooa Australia  0.2
09 Feb 2023 03:00 Parsons Point Australia  0.2
08 Feb 2023 15:00 Clairview Australia  0.2
09 Feb 2023 07:00 Bowen Australia  0.2
09 Feb 2023 07:00 Cannonvale Australia  0.2
09 Feb 2023 07:00 Airlie Australia  0.2
11 Feb 2023 03:00 Kuto New Caledonia  0.2
11 Feb 2023 03:00 Vao New Caledonia  0.2
08 Feb 2023 08:00 Madaua Papua New Guinea  0.2
08 Feb 2023 15:00 Kalarka Australia  0.2
11 Feb 2023 03:00 Tomo New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2023 10:00 Arama New Caledonia  0.2
10 Feb 2023 10:00 Pam New Caledonia  0.2
08 Feb 2023 07:00 Tagula Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2023 08:00 Kamaua Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2023 07:00 Sidabadu Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2023 06:00 Saibai Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2023 06:00 Hamlet of Togo Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2023 06:00 Mabaduan Papua New Guinea  0.1
11 Feb 2023 03:00 Ouara New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2023 03:00 Wapan New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2023 08:00 Mira Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2023 07:00 Gadaisu Papua New Guinea  0.1
11 Feb 2023 01:00 Fayaoue New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2023 01:00 Wadrilla New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2023 01:00 Ognahu New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2023 01:00 Lekia New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2023 08:00 Mirimairau Papua New Guinea  0.1
11 Feb 2023 02:00 Nde New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2023 03:00 Nouville New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2023 03:00 Noumea New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2023 03:00 Comm. du Mont-Dore New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2023 02:00 Saint-Louis New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2023 04:00 Prony New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2023 01:00 Paagoumene New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2023 02:00 Ouaco New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2023 02:00 Wegnec St-Joseph New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2023 09:00 Uramu I Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2023 09:00 Kaivu Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2023 09:00 Mairipepea Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2023 09:00 Moravamu Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2023 09:00 Apeawa Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2023 09:00 Babai Papua New Guinea  0.1
09 Feb 2023 03:00 Boyne Island Australia  0.1
08 Feb 2023 09:00 Tovai Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2023 14:00 Saint Lawrence Australia  0.1
11 Feb 2023 05:00 Bouloupari New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2023 08:00 Griffin Point Papua New Guinea  0.1
11 Feb 2023 03:00 Teouta New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2023 08:00 Avioua Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2023 09:00 Veraibari Papua New Guinea  0.1
09 Feb 2023 03:00 Benaraby Australia  0.1
11 Feb 2023 04:00 Paita New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2023 04:00 Dumbea New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2023 05:00 Plum New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2023 03:00 Yate-Village New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2023 07:00 Ture Ture Papua New Guinea  0.1
10 Feb 2023 10:00 Poum-Plage New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2023 01:00 Tiabet New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2023 02:00 Oundjo New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2023 03:00 Ognat New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2023 07:00 Hekampan Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2023 09:00 Goari Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2023 09:00 Maubi Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2023 09:00 Ubua Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2023 09:00 Dopima Papua New Guinea  0.1
09 Feb 2023 02:00 Bustard Head Australia  0.1
09 Feb 2023 02:00 Seventeen Seventy Australia  0.1
11 Feb 2023 01:00 Goro New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2023 04:00 Tadine New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2023 04:00 Wabao New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2023 04:00 Medu New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2023 04:00 Eni New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2023 04:00 Kurine New Caledonia  0.1
08 Feb 2023 08:00 Mariki Papua New Guinea  0.1
08 Feb 2023 07:00 Gogsiba Papua New Guinea  0.1
11 Feb 2023 01:00 Poum New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2023 02:00 Nessadiou New Caledonia  0.1
11 Feb 2023 02:00 Saint-Gabriel New Caledonia  0.1