Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for FREDDY-23
in Mozambique, Madagascar
07 Feb 2023 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone FREDDY-23 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Glide number: TC-2023-000023-MDG
    Exposed countries Mozambique, Madagascar
    Exposed population 2.9 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 250 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (06 Feb 10:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 204 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 250 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      204 km/h Current Max.

      Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 06 Feb 2023 06:00 185 No people No people
        Green 2 06 Feb 2023 12:00 185 No people No people
        Green 3 06 Feb 2023 18:00 194 No people No people
        Green 4 07 Feb 2023 00:00 194 No people No people
        Green 5 07 Feb 2023 06:00 204 No people No people
        Green 6 07 Feb 2023 12:00 204 No people No people

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 06 Feb 2023 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -12.2, 118.6
          GREEN
          		 2 06 Feb 2023 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -12.6, 118.5
          GREEN
          		 3 06 Feb 2023 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -13, 118.5
          GREEN
          		 4 07 Feb 2023 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -13.9, 117.8
          GREEN
          		 5 07 Feb 2023 06:00 Category 1 139 no people no people -14.4, 117
          GREEN
          		 6 07 Feb 2023 12:00 Category 2 167 no people no people -14.6, 116.1
          GREEN
          		 6 08 Feb 2023 00:00 Category 3 194 no people no people -15.2, 114.6
          GREEN
          		 6 08 Feb 2023 12:00 Category 3 204 no people no people -15.5, 113.2
          GREEN
          		 6 09 Feb 2023 00:00 Category 3 185 no people no people -15.7, 111.7
          GREEN
          		 6 09 Feb 2023 12:00 Category 2 167 no people no people -15.7, 110.3
          GREEN
          		 6 10 Feb 2023 12:00 Category 3 185 no people no people -15.8, 107.3
          GREEN
          		 6 11 Feb 2023 12:00 Category 2 176 no people no people -16.3, 103.9
          GREEN
          		 6 12 Feb 2023 12:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -16.9, 100.1
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.5 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Sabui, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 06 Feb 2023 10:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (65 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 4 of 07 Feb 2023 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          06 Feb 2023 10:00 Sabui Indonesia  0.5
          06 Feb 2023 12:00 Pagatan Indonesia  0.4
          06 Feb 2023 09:00 Pagarantimun Indonesia  0.3
          06 Feb 2023 09:00 Pagetan Indonesia  0.3
          06 Feb 2023 10:00 Koealasapo Indonesia  0.3
          06 Feb 2023 10:00 Sungaitapah Indonesia  0.3
          06 Feb 2023 09:00 Kualalupak Indonesia  0.3
          06 Feb 2023 09:00 Aluhaluh Indonesia  0.3
          06 Feb 2023 09:00 Tambakkarangan Indonesia  0.3
          06 Feb 2023 09:00 Tabanio Indonesia  0.3
          06 Feb 2023 09:00 Bawahalajung Indonesia  0.3
          06 Feb 2023 11:00 Mutua Indonesia  0.3
          06 Feb 2023 11:00 Tandjoengselaka Indonesia  0.3
          06 Feb 2023 10:00 Loentji Indonesia  0.3
          06 Feb 2023 09:00 Kandangan Indonesia  0.3
          06 Feb 2023 09:00 Batakam Indonesia  0.3
          06 Feb 2023 09:00 Pulaukutjing Indonesia  0.3
          06 Feb 2023 11:00 Bapuju Indonesia  0.3
          06 Feb 2023 11:00 Bahaur Indonesia  0.3
          06 Feb 2023 12:00 Setiroek Indonesia  0.3
          06 Feb 2023 18:00 Derby Australia  0.2
          06 Feb 2023 08:00 Semisir Indonesia  0.2
          06 Feb 2023 15:00 Kollan I Australia  0.2
          06 Feb 2023 08:00 Makasar Indonesia  0.2
          06 Feb 2023 08:00 Tandjungniur Indonesia  0.2
          06 Feb 2023 08:00 Tempilang Indonesia  0.2
          06 Feb 2023 08:00 Keludin Indonesia  0.2
          06 Feb 2023 15:00 Pender Australia  0.2
          06 Feb 2023 13:00 Pagatan Indonesia  0.2
          06 Feb 2023 13:00 Salinau Indonesia  0.2
          06 Feb 2023 13:00 Semaras Indonesia  0.2
          06 Feb 2023 13:00 Okaoka Indonesia  0.2
          06 Feb 2023 08:00 Manda Indonesia  0.2
          08 Feb 2023 03:00 Wickham Australia  0.2
          08 Feb 2023 03:00 Point Samson Australia  0.2
          08 Feb 2023 03:00 Cossack Australia  0.2
          06 Feb 2023 13:00 Tapianbalai Indonesia  0.2
          06 Feb 2023 10:00 Sanrabone Indonesia  0.1
          06 Feb 2023 10:00 Tamalaba Indonesia  0.1
          06 Feb 2023 08:00 Tjadia Indonesia  0.1
          06 Feb 2023 10:00 Bisali Indonesia  0.1
          06 Feb 2023 08:00 Kanaoengan Indonesia  0.1
          06 Feb 2023 08:00 Anjai Indonesia  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 05:00 East Lewis I Australia  0.1
          06 Feb 2023 10:00 Radjik Indonesia  0.1
          06 Feb 2023 08:00 Bontobonto Indonesia  0.1
          06 Feb 2023 16:00 Broome Australia  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 10:00 Ah Chong I Australia  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 12:00 Mardie Australia  0.1
          06 Feb 2023 08:00 Tandjungklumpang Indonesia  0.1
          06 Feb 2023 08:00 Karamak Indonesia  0.1
          06 Feb 2023 14:00 Boenati Indonesia  0.1
          06 Feb 2023 12:00 Segintong Indonesia  0.1
          06 Feb 2023 16:00 Thangoo Australia  0.1
          06 Feb 2023 10:00 Gailesong Indonesia  0.1
          06 Feb 2023 16:00 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.1
          06 Feb 2023 16:00 Waterbank Australia  0.1
          06 Feb 2023 10:00 Lait Indonesia  0.1
          06 Feb 2023 08:00 Tandjungkiras Indonesia  0.1
          06 Feb 2023 10:00 Tiempae Indonesia  0.1
          06 Feb 2023 10:00 Mandalle Indonesia  0.1
          06 Feb 2023 10:00 Padaelo Indonesia  0.1
          06 Feb 2023 10:00 Sampungbinangu Indonesia  0.1
          06 Feb 2023 17:00 Condon Australia  0.1
          06 Feb 2023 14:00 Sekapoeng Indonesia  0.1