Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for GUAMBE-21
in Mozambique
17 Feb 2021 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone GUAMBE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Mozambique
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 157 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (20 Feb 01:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability High (Mozambique)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 148 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 157 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      148 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 58000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 17 Feb 2021 18:00 148 2.2 million 60 thousand Mozambique

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 17 Feb 2021 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 93000 people -21.9, 37.5
          GREEN
          		 1 18 Feb 2021 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 1.1 million people -22.6, 37.4
          GREEN
          		 1 18 Feb 2021 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 1.5 million people -23.3, 36.9
          GREEN
          		 1 19 Feb 2021 06:00 Category 1 120 59000 people 2.2 million people -23.8, 36.4
          GREEN
          		 1 19 Feb 2021 18:00 Category 1 148 58000 people 2 million people -24.5, 35.7
          GREEN
          		 1 20 Feb 2021 18:00 Category 1 139 no people <1000 people -26.6, 35.6
          GREEN
          		 1 21 Feb 2021 18:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -28.6, 38
          GREEN
          		 1 22 Feb 2021 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -30.7, 43.3
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Mozambique

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Inhambane Mozambique

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.3 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Induna, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 20 Feb 2021 01:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (61 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 17 Feb 2021 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          20 Feb 2021 01:00 Induna Mozambique  0.3
          19 Feb 2021 18:00 Siane Mozambique  0.2
          19 Feb 2021 17:00 Camo Mozambique  0.2
          19 Feb 2021 15:00 Guilande Mozambique  0.2
          20 Feb 2021 01:00 Mahupe Mozambique  0.2
          19 Feb 2021 13:00 Banga Mozambique  0.2
          20 Feb 2021 01:00 Nangalete Mozambique  0.2
          20 Feb 2021 06:00 Gafaria Mozambique  0.2
          19 Feb 2021 12:00 Praia do Tofo Mozambique  0.2
          19 Feb 2021 14:00 Guinjala Mozambique  0.2
          20 Feb 2021 06:00 Gueima Mozambique  0.2
          19 Feb 2021 14:00 Ingale Mozambique  0.2
          19 Feb 2021 13:00 Maxixe Mozambique  0.2
          19 Feb 2021 13:00 Chicoque Mozambique  0.2
          19 Feb 2021 13:00 Inhambane Mozambique  0.2
          18 Feb 2021 21:00 Marivate Mozambique  0.2
          20 Feb 2021 06:00 Chavanine Mozambique  0.2
          18 Feb 2021 21:00 Beula Mozambique  0.1
          18 Feb 2021 21:00 Morrumbene Mozambique  0.1
          18 Feb 2021 04:00 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.1
          18 Feb 2021 04:00 Amado Mozambique  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 22:00 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 22:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 20:00 Linchica Mozambique  0.1
          19 Feb 2021 02:00 Guiducua Mozambique  0.1
          19 Feb 2021 11:00 Miramar Mozambique  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 23:00 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 23:00 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 23:00 Manometimay Madagascar  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 23:00 Morondava Madagascar  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 23:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 23:00 Kivalo Est Madagascar  0.1
          20 Feb 2021 05:00 Jacob Mozambique  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 20:00 D'lhelo Mozambique  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 22:00 Maintirano Madagascar  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 22:00 Manampea Madagascar  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 23:00 Antserananbondro Madagascar  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 22:00 Belo-sur-Mer Madagascar  0.1
          19 Feb 2021 01:00 Mabsil Mozambique  0.1
          18 Feb 2021 00:00 Reharaka Madagascar  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 22:00 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 23:00 Antsamaka Madagascar  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 22:00 Manomba Madagascar  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 22:00 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 22:00 Afo Mozambique  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 19:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 22:00 Ambozaka Madagascar  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 22:00 Macashale Mozambique  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 22:00 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 22:00 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 22:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 22:00 Andemba Madagascar  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 22:00 Belailay Madagascar  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 22:00 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 22:00 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 22:00 Antanambao Samaka Madagascar  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 22:00 Antohgo Madagascar  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 19:00 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 20:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
          17 Feb 2021 22:00 Ankiliabo Madagascar  0.1
          20 Feb 2021 05:00 Contra Costa Mozambique  0.1