Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for EIGHTEEN-21
in Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone EIGHTEEN-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (04 Feb 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)
Landfall between
31 Jan 2021 12:00 - 01 Feb 2021 00:00

in Australia

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 93 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 65 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

93 km/h Current Max.

Up to <1000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 31 Jan 2021 12:00 93 Few people No people Australia

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 31 Jan 2021 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -21.4, 121.1
GREEN
1 01 Feb 2021 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -21.5, 119.2 Australia
GREEN
1 01 Feb 2021 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -21.7, 117.4 Australia
GREEN
1 02 Feb 2021 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -22.2, 115.6 Australia
GREEN
1 02 Feb 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people <1000 people -22.8, 114.2 Australia
GREEN
1 03 Feb 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -22.7, 112.3
GREEN
1 04 Feb 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people <1000 people -22.7, 111.1
GREEN
1 05 Feb 2021 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -23.8, 110.7
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Australia

Provinces

Region Province Country
Western Australia Australia

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Cape Cuvier Coral Sea Islands

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Mardie, Australia. This height is estimated for 04 Feb 2021 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (25 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 31 Jan 2021 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
04 Feb 2021 12:00 Mardie Australia  0.5
04 Feb 2021 12:00 Learmonth Australia  0.5
04 Feb 2021 12:00 Wickham Australia  0.4
04 Feb 2021 12:00 Point Samson Australia  0.4
04 Feb 2021 12:00 Cossack Australia  0.4
04 Feb 2021 12:00 Glenroy Australia  0.4
04 Feb 2021 12:00 Exmouth Australia  0.3
04 Feb 2021 12:00 East Lewis I Australia  0.3
02 Feb 2021 17:00 Ningaloo Australia  0.2
04 Feb 2021 12:00 Condon Australia  0.2
04 Feb 2021 12:00 Derby Australia  0.2
04 Feb 2021 12:00 Useless Loop Australia  0.2
04 Feb 2021 12:00 Denham Australia  0.2
04 Feb 2021 12:00 Dirk Hartog Australia  0.1
02 Feb 2021 20:00 Bundera Bundera Australia  0.1
04 Feb 2021 12:00 Thangoo Australia  0.1
04 Feb 2021 12:00 Gnaraloo Australia  0.1
04 Feb 2021 12:00 Ah Chong I Australia  0.1
04 Feb 2021 12:00 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.1
04 Feb 2021 12:00 Broome Australia  0.1
04 Feb 2021 12:00 Nanga Australia  0.1
04 Feb 2021 12:00 Quobba Australia  0.1
04 Feb 2021 12:00 Cape Cuvier Australia  0.1
04 Feb 2021 12:00 Waterbank Australia  0.1
04 Feb 2021 12:00 Cardabia Australia  0.1