Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for ETA-20
in Nicaragua, United States, Honduras

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ETA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Nicaragua, United States, Honduras
Exposed population 200 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 241 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.4 m (03 Nov 11:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Nicaragua)
Landfall between
02 Nov 2020 21:00 - 03 Nov 2020 06:00

in Nicaragua

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 241 km/h 1.4 m n.a. 1.5
Overall 241 km/h 1.4 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

241 km/h Current Max.

Up to 140000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Orange 1 31 Oct 2020 21:00 139 7.1 million 290 thousand Nicaragua
Orange 2 01 Nov 2020 03:00 130 6.3 million 200 thousand Nicaragua, Honduras
Green 3 01 Nov 2020 09:00 148 3.4 million 100 thousand Nicaragua
Orange 4 01 Nov 2020 15:00 130 7.5 million 130 thousand Nicaragua
Orange 5 01 Nov 2020 21:00 176 15.1 million 170 thousand Nicaragua
Red 6 02 Nov 2020 03:00 185 9.4 million 130 thousand Nicaragua
Orange 7 02 Nov 2020 09:00 176 1.5 million 150 thousand Nicaragua
Orange 8 02 Nov 2020 15:00 222 1.3 million 130 thousand Nicaragua
Orange 9 02 Nov 2020 21:00 241 1.8 million 140 thousand Nicaragua

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 31 Oct 2020 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 15, -73.2
GREEN
2 01 Nov 2020 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 15, -74.2
GREEN
3 01 Nov 2020 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 15.2, -75.7
GREEN
4 01 Nov 2020 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 14.8, -77.2
GREEN
5 01 Nov 2020 21:00 Tropical storm 102 no people <1000 people 14.9, -78.9
GREEN
6 02 Nov 2020 03:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 25000 people 14.9, -80
GREEN
7 02 Nov 2020 09:00 Category 1 120 no people 210000 people 14.8, -80.9
GREEN
8 02 Nov 2020 15:00 Category 2 176 no people 210000 people 14.8, -81.5
ORANGE
9 02 Nov 2020 21:00 Category 4 213 69000 people 460000 people 14.5, -82.3
ORANGE
9 03 Nov 2020 06:00 Category 4 241 95000 people 800000 people 14.1, -83.1 Nicaragua
ORANGE
9 03 Nov 2020 18:00 Category 2 167 120000 people 1.2 million people 14, -83.7 Nicaragua
GREEN
9 04 Nov 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 1.7 million people 14, -84.5 Nicaragua
GREEN
9 04 Nov 2020 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 14.2, -85.5 Honduras, Nicaragua
GREEN
9 05 Nov 2020 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 14.7, -86.9 Honduras
GREEN
9 05 Nov 2020 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 15.5, -88.3 Honduras, Guatemala
GREEN
9 06 Nov 2020 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 16.7, -88.1
GREEN
9 07 Nov 2020 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 18, -86
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Nicaragua

Provinces

Region Province Country
Zelaya Nicaragua

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Puerto Cabezas Atlántico Norte Nicaragua City 34000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Puerto Cabezas PUZ 16 Civ. Paved No 8200
Rosita RFS 63 0
Bonanza San Pedro BZA unknown 0
Bonanza 182 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Cayos Miskitos Nicaragua
Tuapi Nicaragua
Puerto Cabezas NIPUZ Nicaragua

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

1.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.4m in Crucira, Nicaragua. This height is estimated for 03 Nov 2020 11:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (271 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 9 of 02 Nov 2020 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Nov 2020 11:00 Crucira Nicaragua  1.4
03 Nov 2020 11:00 Ninayeri Nicaragua  1.3
03 Nov 2020 11:00 Ledakura Nicaragua  1.3
03 Nov 2020 11:00 Graytown Nicaragua  1.3
03 Nov 2020 11:00 Tuapi Nicaragua  1.3
03 Nov 2020 12:00 Puerto Cabezas Nicaragua  1.2
03 Nov 2020 09:00 Awastara Nicaragua  1.1
03 Nov 2020 13:00 Lama Laya Nicaragua  0.8
04 Nov 2020 02:00 Uhi Honduras  0.6
03 Nov 2020 16:00 Karata Nicaragua  0.5
03 Nov 2020 16:00 Huahua Nicaragua  0.5
03 Nov 2020 03:00 Raya Honduras  0.5
03 Nov 2020 03:00 Clubki Honduras  0.5
04 Nov 2020 02:00 Patlaya Honduras  0.5
03 Nov 2020 02:00 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.4
04 Nov 2020 05:00 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.4
04 Nov 2020 05:00 Venecia Nicaragua  0.4
04 Nov 2020 05:00 Jiquilillo Nicaragua  0.4
04 Nov 2020 05:00 Condega Honduras  0.4
04 Nov 2020 05:00 Cedeno Honduras  0.4
04 Nov 2020 05:00 Santo Tomas Nicaragua  0.4
04 Nov 2020 05:00 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.4
03 Nov 2020 12:00 Irlaya Honduras  0.4
04 Nov 2020 11:00 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.4
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Boca Chica Panama  0.3
03 Nov 2020 02:00 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.3
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Isla Torta Panama  0.3
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Machacal Guatemala  0.3
03 Nov 2020 01:00 Kanko Honduras  0.3
03 Nov 2020 22:00 Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.3
04 Nov 2020 09:00 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.3
04 Nov 2020 09:00 Paso Real Mexico  0.3
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Buena Vista Guatemala  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Livingston Guatemala  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Macho Creek Guatemala  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Puerto Barrios Guatemala  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Corozo Guatemala  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Barra del Motagua Guatemala  0.2
04 Nov 2020 00:00 Pusuaya Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2020 00:00 Yahurabila Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Fuerte Kobbe Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Vera Cruz Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 La Graciosa Guatemala  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Llano de Mariato Panama  0.2
03 Nov 2020 23:00 Barra de Caratasca Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Vaca Monte Panama  0.2
01 Nov 2020 22:00 Ararca Colombia  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Zurrones Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 El Sitio Panama  0.2
03 Nov 2020 21:00 Canco Honduras  0.2
03 Nov 2020 21:00 Barra Kruta Honduras  0.2
03 Nov 2020 23:00 Kaski Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 El Sitio Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Ciudad Radial Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Juan Dias Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Mullins Belize  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 El Gabriel Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Guacamaya Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Saboga Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Cocoli Guatemala  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Calabacito Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Barro Marado Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Boca de Pacora Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Chepillo Panama  0.2
03 Nov 2020 23:00 Dapat Honduras  0.2
02 Nov 2020 08:00 Tay Lirila Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 San Juan Guatemala  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Cambalache Guatemala  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Stann Creek Town Belize  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Uvero Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Limones Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Puerto Real Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Casaya Panama  0.2
02 Nov 2020 08:00 Cauauira Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Palo Grande Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 01:00 Claura Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2020 03:00 Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.2
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Boca de Torin Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Chinina Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Rio Chico Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Sabaneta Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Rousseau Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Lacona Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Albrook Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Taboga Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Ciudad de Panama Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 03:00 Rio Platano Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2020 03:00 Huarta Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2020 03:00 Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 San Francisco del Mar Guatemala  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Finca Bella Vista Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Camibar Costa Rica  0.2
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Los Algarrobos Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Rio Ostion Adentro Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 04:00 Baltimore Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Cattle Landing Belize  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Claridad Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Punta Chame Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 04:00 Tasbarraya Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Punta Manabique Guatemala  0.1
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Cerrillos Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Pueblito de San Juan Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Santa Cruz Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Freetown Area Belize  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Santa Rita Venezuela  0.1
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Baranca Belize  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Farfan Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Lagartero Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Hicaco Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 El Bebedero Venezuela  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Punta Igauna Venezuela  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Palmarejo Venezuela  0.1
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Leoncillo Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Estero el Bongon Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Diafara Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 06:00 El Jagua Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 06:00 El Coco Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Rio Viejo Numero 2 Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 06:00 El Coquito Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Los Sabalos Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Puerto Mariato Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Floral Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 La Legua Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Palenque Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Rio Sucio Adentro Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Guinea Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 La Ensenada Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 La Puntita Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Playa Lagarto Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Punta Alegre Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Buena Vista Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Sebolleta Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Mogocenega Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Perrecenega Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Bajo Grande Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 El Encanto Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 La Palma Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Bavo Grande Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 03:00 Wounta Nicaragua  0.1
04 Nov 2020 06:00 La Playa Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Boca Toro Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 06:00 La Albina Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 El Morro Negro Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Quebrada Piedra Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 06:00 El Peru Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Tabasara Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Pajaron Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 El Torno Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Rincon Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Espala Abajo Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 La Estancia Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 La Vaca Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Rosario Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Rosarito Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Pena Blanca Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 La Mitra Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Playa Leona Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Cruces Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Majagul Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 San Jose Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Isleta Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Arraijan Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Puerto Caimito Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Vista Alegre Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 San Vicente de Bique Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 08:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Piedrecitas Colombia  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Leticia Colombia  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 El Guere Venezuela  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 El Mene Venezuela  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Las Mucuras Venezuela  0.1
04 Nov 2020 05:00 Boca del Toro Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 05:00 El Porvenir Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 05:00 La Ceiba Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Torio Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 09:00 Punta de Fisga Cuba  0.1
04 Nov 2020 08:00 El Farallon del Chiru Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 08:00 Juan Hombron Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 08:00 Punto Miranda Venezuela  0.1
04 Nov 2020 08:00 El Aceituno Venezuela  0.1
04 Nov 2020 08:00 Altagracia Venezuela  0.1
04 Nov 2020 08:00 Las Playitas Venezuela  0.1
04 Nov 2020 06:00 La Pluma Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 06:00 Cana Brava Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Gonzalo Vasquez Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Josefa Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 La Cantina Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Rio Congo Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 El Grillo Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Esmeralda Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Concholon Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Pixvae Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 La Mona Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Limon Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 La Bejucosa Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 El Barranco Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 El Tigre Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 La Boca de Chame Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Coco Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Cabimas Venezuela  0.1
04 Nov 2020 05:00 El Naranjo Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 05:00 Boca Vieja Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 05:00 Balfate Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 04:00 Rio Esteban Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 05:00 Piedra Pintada Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 05:00 Agua Dulce Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Los Calabazos Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 09:00 Aguas Claras Cuba  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Chiman Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Brujas Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Guera Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Pava Grande Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Pedro de Cocal Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Don Bernardo Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Martin Perez Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Medina del Este Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Escondido Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Garachine Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Patino Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Cucunati Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Taimati Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Barro Colorado Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Quebrada Honda Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Sibarco Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 La Quebrada Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Lagarto Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Mogue Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Miraflores Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Paratilla Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Arrizal Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Aguadilla Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Jose Paganti Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Seteganti Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Gollito Diaz Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Chepigana Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Tutumito Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 El Tigre Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Campeon Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Canablancal Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 La Plaza Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Bijagual Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 05:00 Hualpasika Nicaragua  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Otoque Oriente Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 03:00 Mocobila Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Charco Azul Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Hato Corrales Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Horconcitos Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Las Huacas Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Boca del Monte Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Canafistulo Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 La Lajas de Tole Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Honduras Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Corotu Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Corocita Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Mamey Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 La Chichicosa Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Managua Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Otoque Occidente Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 La Concepcion Venezuela  0.1
04 Nov 2020 08:00 Set Net Nicaragua  0.1
04 Nov 2020 05:00 Limera Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 04:00 Limon Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 05:00 Cuero Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 05:00 Quebrada Grande Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 04:00 Santa Rosa Aguan Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 07:00 Las Narices Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 08:00 Haticos del Sur Venezuela  0.1
04 Nov 2020 08:00 El Cucharal Venezuela  0.1
04 Nov 2020 08:00 Jaguecito Venezuela  0.1
04 Nov 2020 08:00 El Canito Venezuela  0.1