Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for ETA-20
in Nicaragua, United States, Honduras

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ETA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Nicaragua, United States, Honduras
Exposed population 200 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 241 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.5 m (03 Nov 07:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Nicaragua)
Landfall between
02 Nov 2020 18:00 - 03 Nov 2020 06:00

in Nicaragua

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 176 km/h 1.5 m n.a. 1.5
Overall 241 km/h 1.5 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

176 km/h Current Max.

Up to 170000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Orange 1 31 Oct 2020 21:00 139 7.1 million 290 thousand Nicaragua
Orange 2 01 Nov 2020 03:00 130 6.3 million 200 thousand Nicaragua, Honduras
Green 3 01 Nov 2020 09:00 148 3.4 million 100 thousand Nicaragua
Orange 4 01 Nov 2020 15:00 130 7.5 million 130 thousand Nicaragua
Orange 5 01 Nov 2020 21:00 176 15.1 million 170 thousand Nicaragua

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 31 Oct 2020 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 15, -73.2
GREEN
2 01 Nov 2020 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 15, -74.2
GREEN
3 01 Nov 2020 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 15.2, -75.7
GREEN
4 01 Nov 2020 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 14.8, -77.2
GREEN
5 01 Nov 2020 21:00 Tropical storm 102 no people <1000 people 14.9, -78.9
GREEN
5 02 Nov 2020 06:00 Category 1 120 no people 190000 people 15, -80.5
GREEN
5 02 Nov 2020 18:00 Category 1 148 84000 people 530000 people 14.7, -82.1
ORANGE
5 03 Nov 2020 06:00 Category 2 176 110000 people 1.5 million people 14.2, -83.1 Nicaragua
GREEN
5 03 Nov 2020 18:00 Category 1 139 80000 people 4.1 million people 14, -83.8 Nicaragua
GREEN
5 04 Nov 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 7.8 million people 14, -84.7 Nicaragua
ORANGE
5 04 Nov 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 14.6 million people 14.1, -85.7 Honduras, Nicaragua
GREEN
5 05 Nov 2020 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 14.7, -88 Honduras
GREEN
5 06 Nov 2020 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 15.5, -88.5 Guatemala, Honduras
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Nicaragua

Provinces

Region Province Country
Zelaya Nicaragua
Jinotega Nicaragua

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Puerto Cabezas Atlántico Norte Nicaragua City 34000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Puerto Cabezas PUZ 16 Civ. Paved No 8200
Rosita RFS 63 0
Bonanza San Pedro BZA unknown 0
Bonanza 182 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Cayos Miskitos Nicaragua
Tuapi Nicaragua
Puerto Cabezas NIPUZ Nicaragua

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

1.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.5m in Ninayeri, Nicaragua. This height is estimated for 03 Nov 2020 07:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (231 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 5 of 01 Nov 2020 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Nov 2020 07:00 Ninayeri Nicaragua  1.5
03 Nov 2020 07:00 Ledakura Nicaragua  1.5
03 Nov 2020 07:00 Graytown Nicaragua  1.5
03 Nov 2020 08:00 Awastara Nicaragua  1.3
03 Nov 2020 11:00 Crucira Nicaragua  1.1
03 Nov 2020 12:00 Tuapi Nicaragua  1.1
03 Nov 2020 05:00 Raya Honduras  0.8
03 Nov 2020 05:00 Clubki Honduras  0.8
03 Nov 2020 03:00 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.8
03 Nov 2020 12:00 Puerto Cabezas Nicaragua  0.7
03 Nov 2020 02:00 Kanko Honduras  0.7
03 Nov 2020 00:00 Irlaya Honduras  0.6
03 Nov 2020 01:00 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.6
03 Nov 2020 20:00 Lama Laya Nicaragua  0.6
04 Nov 2020 00:00 Uhi Honduras  0.6
03 Nov 2020 22:00 Patlaya Honduras  0.5
04 Nov 2020 18:00 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.4
04 Nov 2020 18:00 Venecia Nicaragua  0.4
04 Nov 2020 18:00 Jiquilillo Nicaragua  0.4
04 Nov 2020 18:00 Cedeno Honduras  0.4
04 Nov 2020 18:00 Santo Tomas Nicaragua  0.4
04 Nov 2020 18:00 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.4
04 Nov 2020 18:00 Petacaltepe Nicaragua  0.4
05 Nov 2020 00:00 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.4
03 Nov 2020 19:00 Karata Nicaragua  0.4
03 Nov 2020 19:00 Huahua Nicaragua  0.4
03 Nov 2020 03:00 Canco Honduras  0.4
03 Nov 2020 03:00 Barra Kruta Honduras  0.4
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Barrancones Honduras  0.4
03 Nov 2020 02:00 Tay Lirila Honduras  0.3
03 Nov 2020 02:00 Cauauira Honduras  0.3
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Boca Chica Panama  0.3
03 Nov 2020 02:00 Dapat Honduras  0.3
03 Nov 2020 03:00 Barra de Caratasca Honduras  0.3
03 Nov 2020 03:00 Yahurabila Honduras  0.3
04 Nov 2020 21:00 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.3
04 Nov 2020 21:00 Paso Real Mexico  0.3
03 Nov 2020 02:00 Kaski Honduras  0.3
03 Nov 2020 04:00 Pusuaya Honduras  0.3
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Isla Torta Panama  0.3
03 Nov 2020 21:00 Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.3
04 Nov 2020 18:00 Machacal Guatemala  0.3
04 Nov 2020 18:00 Livingston Guatemala  0.2
04 Nov 2020 18:00 Mullins Belize  0.2
04 Nov 2020 18:00 Macho Creek Guatemala  0.2
04 Nov 2020 18:00 Puerto Barrios Guatemala  0.2
04 Nov 2020 18:00 Corozo Guatemala  0.2
04 Nov 2020 18:00 Barra del Motagua Guatemala  0.2
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Fuerte Kobbe Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Vera Cruz Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 18:00 La Graciosa Guatemala  0.2
04 Nov 2020 18:00 San Juan Guatemala  0.2
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Cocoli Guatemala  0.2
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Vaca Monte Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 18:00 Stann Creek Town Belize  0.2
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Juan Dias Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Monkey River Belize  0.2
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Cambalache Guatemala  0.2
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Baranca Belize  0.2
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Chiman Panama  0.2
03 Nov 2020 03:00 Claura Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2020 20:00 Condega Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2020 18:00 Puerto Real Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Boca de Torin Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Chinina Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Boca de Pacora Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Rio Chico Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Chepillo Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Sabaneta Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Palo Grande Panama  0.2
03 Nov 2020 22:00 Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.2
05 Nov 2020 04:00 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.2
04 Nov 2020 18:00 Finca Bella Vista Panama  0.2
05 Nov 2020 04:00 Gualora Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2020 18:00 Camibar Costa Rica  0.2
04 Nov 2020 21:00 Aguas Claras Cuba  0.2
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Saboga Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 El Sitio Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Ciudad Radial Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Punta Manabique Guatemala  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 San Francisco del Mar Guatemala  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Cattle Landing Belize  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Buena Vista Guatemala  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 El Porvenir Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 La Ceiba Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Rousseau Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Lacona Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Albrook Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Taboga Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Ciudad de Panama Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Freetown Area Belize  0.1
04 Nov 2020 22:00 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Piedrecitas Colombia  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Leticia Colombia  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Caserio El Cobado Colombia  0.1
04 Nov 2020 21:00 Guasimal Cuba  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Brujas Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Guera Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Pava Grande Panama  0.1
03 Nov 2020 23:00 Rio Platano Honduras  0.1
03 Nov 2020 23:00 Huarta Honduras  0.1
03 Nov 2020 23:00 Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 18:00 Boca del Toro Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Claridad Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Punta Chame Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Otoque Occidente Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 21:00 Almacen Cuba  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Rio Ostion Adentro Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Medina del Este Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 00:00 Hualpasika Nicaragua  0.1
04 Nov 2020 00:00 Baltimore Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 18:00 El Naranjo Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Pena Blanca Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 La Mitra Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Playa Leona Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Coco Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Cruces Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Majagul Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 San Jose Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Isleta Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Arraijan Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Puerto Caimito Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Vista Alegre Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 San Vicente de Bique Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Cerrillos Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Pueblito de San Juan Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Santa Cruz Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Santa Rita Venezuela  0.1
04 Nov 2020 00:00 Tasbarraya Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Puerto Castilla Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Empalme Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 21:00 Punta de Fisga Cuba  0.1
04 Nov 2020 20:00 El Farallon del Chiru Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 20:00 Juan Hombron Panama  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 El Bebedero Venezuela  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Punta Igauna Venezuela  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Palmarejo Venezuela  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Pedro de Cocal Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Don Bernardo Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Casaya Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Floral Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 La Legua Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Martin Perez Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Palenque Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Rio Sucio Adentro Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Guinea Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 La Ensenada Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 La Puntita Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Playa Lagarto Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 18:00 Boca Vieja Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 18:00 Piedra Pintada Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 18:00 Agua Dulce Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Otoque Oriente Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 El Tigre Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 La Boca de Chame Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 La Playa Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Boca Toro Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 La Albina Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 20:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
04 Nov 2020 21:00 Guanimar Cuba  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 El Guere Venezuela  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Cabimas Venezuela  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 El Mene Venezuela  0.1
01 Nov 2020 19:00 Las Mucuras Venezuela  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Buena Vista Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 18:00 Santa Rosa Aguan Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 18:00 Cuero Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Hacienda Puerto Alto Costa Rica  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Pitahaya Costa Rica  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Boca Barranca Costa Rica  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Barranca Costa Rica  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Corralillo Costa Rica  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 El Morro Negro Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Quebrada Piedra Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 El Peru Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Tabasara Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Pajaron Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 El Torno Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Rincon Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Espala Abajo Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 La Estancia Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 La Vaca Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Rosario Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Rosarito Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Puerto Somoza Nicaragua  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 San Jose Nicaragua  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 El Grillo Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Esmeralda Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Concholon Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 00:00 Wounta Nicaragua  0.1
04 Nov 2020 00:00 Mocobila Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Los Cayitos Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Utila Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 New Haven Belize  0.1
04 Nov 2020 20:00 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Charco Azul Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Hato Corrales Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Horconcitos Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Las Huacas Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Boca del Monte Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Canafistulo Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 21:00 El Cajio Cuba  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Punta Alegre Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Sebolleta Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Mogocenega Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Perrecenega Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Bajo Grande Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 El Encanto Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 La Palma Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Bavo Grande Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Josefa Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 La Cantina Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Rio Congo Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 17:00 Balfate Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 18:00 Limera Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 18:00 Quebrada Grande Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Barranco Blanco Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Barra de Chapagua Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Bella Vista Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 18:00 El Ostional Nicaragua  0.1
04 Nov 2020 18:00 El Jobo Costa Rica  0.1
04 Nov 2020 18:00 Hacienda Murcielago Costa Rica  0.1
04 Nov 2020 18:00 Cuatro Caminos Nicaragua  0.1
04 Nov 2020 18:00 Murcielago Costa Rica  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Colorado Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Pixvae Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 La Mona Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 La Bejucosa Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Los Calabazos Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 19:00 Puntarenas Costa Rica  0.1
04 Nov 2020 18:00 Orilla del Rio Panama  0.1