Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for ETA-20
in Nicaragua, United States, Honduras
04 Nov 2020 03 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone ETA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Nicaragua, United States, Honduras
    Exposed population 200 thousand in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 241 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 1.4 m (03 Nov 21:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Nicaragua)
    Landfall between
    03 Nov 2020 21:00 - 04 Nov 2020 03:00
    in Nicaragua

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 167 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 1.5
    Overall 241 km/h 1.4 m n.a. 2.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      167 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 200000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Orange 1 31 Oct 2020 21:00 139 7.1 million 290 thousand Nicaragua
        Orange 2 01 Nov 2020 03:00 130 6.3 million 200 thousand Nicaragua, Honduras
        Green 3 01 Nov 2020 09:00 148 3.4 million 100 thousand Nicaragua
        Orange 4 01 Nov 2020 15:00 130 7.5 million 130 thousand Nicaragua
        Orange 5 01 Nov 2020 21:00 176 15.1 million 170 thousand Nicaragua
        Red 6 02 Nov 2020 03:00 185 9.4 million 130 thousand Nicaragua
        Orange 7 02 Nov 2020 09:00 176 1.5 million 150 thousand Nicaragua
        Orange 8 02 Nov 2020 15:00 222 1.3 million 130 thousand Nicaragua
        Orange 9 02 Nov 2020 21:00 241 1.8 million 140 thousand Nicaragua
        Red 10 03 Nov 2020 03:00 259 4.8 million 200 thousand Nicaragua
        Red 11 03 Nov 2020 09:00 204 1.4 million 120 thousand Nicaragua
        Red 12 03 Nov 2020 15:00 185 2.2 million 110 thousand Nicaragua
        Red 13 03 Nov 2020 21:00 222 3.3 million 230 thousand Nicaragua, Honduras
        Orange 14 04 Nov 2020 03:00 167 12 million 200 thousand Nicaragua

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 31 Oct 2020 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 15, -73.2
          GREEN
          		 2 01 Nov 2020 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 15, -74.2
          GREEN
          		 3 01 Nov 2020 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 15.2, -75.7
          GREEN
          		 4 01 Nov 2020 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 14.8, -77.2
          GREEN
          		 5 01 Nov 2020 21:00 Tropical storm 102 no people <1000 people 14.9, -78.9
          GREEN
          		 6 02 Nov 2020 03:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 25000 people 14.9, -80
          GREEN
          		 7 02 Nov 2020 09:00 Category 1 120 no people 210000 people 14.8, -80.9
          GREEN
          		 8 02 Nov 2020 15:00 Category 2 176 no people 210000 people 14.8, -81.5
          ORANGE
          		 9 02 Nov 2020 21:00 Category 4 213 69000 people 460000 people 14.5, -82.3
          ORANGE
          		 10 03 Nov 2020 03:00 Category 4 241 69000 people 660000 people 14.1, -82.7
          ORANGE
          		 11 03 Nov 2020 09:00 Category 4 241 81000 people 940000 people 13.8, -83.1
          ORANGE
          		 12 03 Nov 2020 15:00 Category 4 231 26000 people 920000 people 13.6, -83.2
          RED
          		 13 03 Nov 2020 21:00 Category 4 222 130000 people 900000 people 13.8, -83.5 Nicaragua
          ORANGE
          		 14 04 Nov 2020 03:00 Category 2 167 130000 people 2.1 million people 13.8, -84 Nicaragua
          GREEN
          		 14 04 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 3.6 million people 13.9, -84.8 Nicaragua
          GREEN
          		 14 05 Nov 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 5.9 million people 14.4, -86.4 Honduras
          GREEN
          		 14 05 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 15.3, -88.1 Honduras
          GREEN
          		 14 06 Nov 2020 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 16, -89.2 Belize, Guatemala
          GREEN
          		 14 06 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 13000 people 16.9, -88.4 Belize
          GREEN
          		 14 07 Nov 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 85000 people 17.9, -86.7
          GREEN
          		 14 08 Nov 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 4.2 million people 21.1, -82.5
          GREEN
          		 14 09 Nov 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 24.3, -80.5
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Nicaragua

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Zelaya Nicaragua
          Jinotega Nicaragua

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Puerto Cabezas Atlántico Norte Nicaragua City 34000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Rosita RFS 63 0
          Siuna SIU unknown 0
          Bonanza San Pedro BZA unknown 0
          Puerto Cabezas PUZ 16 Civ. Paved No 8200
          Bonanza 182 0
          Siuna 146 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Puerto Cabezas NIPUZ Nicaragua
          Cayos Miskitos Nicaragua
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          1.4 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  1.4m in Huahua, Nicaragua. This height is estimated for 03 Nov 2020 21:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (94 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 14 of 04 Nov 2020 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          03 Nov 2020 21:00 Huahua Nicaragua  1.4
          04 Nov 2020 00:00 Lama Laya Nicaragua  1.2
          03 Nov 2020 22:00 Puerto Cabezas Nicaragua  1.1
          03 Nov 2020 21:00 Karata Nicaragua  1.1
          03 Nov 2020 21:00 Tuapi Nicaragua  0.9
          03 Nov 2020 21:00 Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.9
          03 Nov 2020 21:00 Crucira Nicaragua  0.9
          03 Nov 2020 21:00 Ninayeri Nicaragua  0.7
          03 Nov 2020 21:00 Ledakura Nicaragua  0.7
          03 Nov 2020 21:00 Graytown Nicaragua  0.7
          08 Nov 2020 03:00 Santa Fe Cuba  0.6
          08 Nov 2020 03:00 Siguanea Cuba  0.5
          03 Nov 2020 20:00 Awastara Nicaragua  0.5
          08 Nov 2020 03:00 Jacksonville Cuba  0.4
          03 Nov 2020 02:00 Raya Honduras  0.4
          03 Nov 2020 02:00 Clubki Honduras  0.4
          04 Nov 2020 09:00 Uhi Honduras  0.4
          03 Nov 2020 02:00 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.3
          04 Nov 2020 08:00 Patlaya Honduras  0.3
          04 Nov 2020 05:00 Irlaya Honduras  0.3
          05 Nov 2020 00:00 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.3
          05 Nov 2020 00:00 Condega Honduras  0.3
          05 Nov 2020 00:00 Cedeno Honduras  0.3
          05 Nov 2020 00:00 Santo Tomas Nicaragua  0.3
          05 Nov 2020 00:00 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.3
          05 Nov 2020 00:00 Barrancones Honduras  0.3
          06 Nov 2020 13:00 Mullins Belize  0.3
          03 Nov 2020 01:00 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.2
          08 Nov 2020 03:00 Tunas de Zaza Cuba  0.2
          02 Nov 2020 09:00 Kanko Honduras  0.2
          04 Nov 2020 03:00 Wounta Nicaragua  0.2
          06 Nov 2020 12:00 Stann Creek Town Belize  0.2
          07 Nov 2020 20:00 Aguas Claras Cuba  0.2
          05 Nov 2020 02:00 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.2
          06 Nov 2020 12:00 Commerce Bight Village Belize  0.2
          06 Nov 2020 11:00 Freetown Area Belize  0.2
          08 Nov 2020 03:00 Tayabacoa Cuba  0.2
          04 Nov 2020 03:00 Hualpasika Nicaragua  0.2
          08 Nov 2020 03:00 El Toro Cuba  0.2
          07 Nov 2020 19:00 Almacen Cuba  0.2
          02 Nov 2020 08:00 Tay Lirila Honduras  0.2
          05 Nov 2020 20:00 San Juan Guatemala  0.2
          05 Nov 2020 20:00 Cocoli Guatemala  0.2
          06 Nov 2020 09:00 Maya Beach Belize  0.2
          07 Nov 2020 19:00 Punta de Fisga Cuba  0.2
          02 Nov 2020 08:00 Canco Honduras  0.2
          02 Nov 2020 08:00 Barra Kruta Honduras  0.2
          02 Nov 2020 08:00 Cauauira Honduras  0.2
          06 Nov 2020 04:00 New Haven Belize  0.2
          05 Nov 2020 20:00 Baranca Belize  0.2
          02 Nov 2020 08:00 Dapat Honduras  0.2
          05 Nov 2020 20:00 Cattle Landing Belize  0.2
          05 Nov 2020 19:00 Livingston Guatemala  0.2
          07 Nov 2020 22:00 Surgidero de Batabano Cuba  0.2
          08 Nov 2020 03:00 Jucaro Cuba  0.2
          07 Nov 2020 18:00 Coloma Cuba  0.2
          07 Nov 2020 19:00 Majana Cuba  0.2
          05 Nov 2020 19:00 Punta Manabique Guatemala  0.1
          05 Nov 2020 17:00 La Graciosa Guatemala  0.1
          05 Nov 2020 17:00 Machacal Guatemala  0.1
          07 Nov 2020 20:00 El Cajio Cuba  0.1
          07 Nov 2020 22:00 Batabano Cuba  0.1
          08 Nov 2020 03:00 Playa Santa Maria Cuba  0.1
          02 Nov 2020 08:00 Barra de Caratasca Honduras  0.1
          02 Nov 2020 08:00 Kaski Honduras  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 07:00 Pusuaya Honduras  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 07:00 Yahurabila Honduras  0.1
          05 Nov 2020 19:00 Macho Creek Guatemala  0.1
          05 Nov 2020 19:00 Puerto Barrios Guatemala  0.1
          05 Nov 2020 18:00 Cambalache Guatemala  0.1
          05 Nov 2020 19:00 Corozo Guatemala  0.1
          05 Nov 2020 19:00 San Francisco del Mar Guatemala  0.1
          05 Nov 2020 19:00 Buena Vista Guatemala  0.1
          05 Nov 2020 02:00 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.1
          05 Nov 2020 02:00 Gualora Honduras  0.1
          08 Nov 2020 03:00 Julian Cuba  0.1
          08 Nov 2020 03:00 El Caney Cuba  0.1
          06 Nov 2020 06:00 Monkey River Belize  0.1
          06 Nov 2020 17:00 Santeneja Belize  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 03:00 Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 03:00 Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.1
          07 Nov 2020 17:00 Guanimar Cuba  0.1
          08 Nov 2020 01:00 Carapachibey Cuba  0.1
          02 Nov 2020 08:00 Claura Honduras  0.1
          08 Nov 2020 03:00 Guayabal Cuba  0.1
          08 Nov 2020 03:00 Chacmuchuch Mexico  0.1
          08 Nov 2020 03:00 Buenaventura Cuba  0.1
          08 Nov 2020 03:00 Santa Cruz del Sur Cuba  0.1
          08 Nov 2020 03:00 Macareno Cuba  0.1
          08 Nov 2020 03:00 Manopla Cuba  0.1
          08 Nov 2020 03:00 El Junco Cuba  0.1
          05 Nov 2020 01:00 El Porvenir Honduras  0.1
          05 Nov 2020 01:00 La Ceiba Honduras  0.1
          08 Nov 2020 03:00 El Jiqui Cuba  0.1