Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for ETA-20
in Nicaragua, United States, Honduras

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ETA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Nicaragua, United States, Honduras
Exposed population 200 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 241 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.6 m (03 Nov 20:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Nicaragua)
Landfall between
03 Nov 2020 15:00 - 04 Nov 2020 00:00

in Nicaragua

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 185 km/h 1.6 m n.a. 2.5
Overall 241 km/h 1.6 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

185 km/h Current Max.

Up to 110000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Orange 1 31 Oct 2020 21:00 139 7.1 million 290 thousand Nicaragua
Orange 2 01 Nov 2020 03:00 130 6.3 million 200 thousand Nicaragua, Honduras
Green 3 01 Nov 2020 09:00 148 3.4 million 100 thousand Nicaragua
Orange 4 01 Nov 2020 15:00 130 7.5 million 130 thousand Nicaragua
Orange 5 01 Nov 2020 21:00 176 15.1 million 170 thousand Nicaragua
Red 6 02 Nov 2020 03:00 185 9.4 million 130 thousand Nicaragua
Orange 7 02 Nov 2020 09:00 176 1.5 million 150 thousand Nicaragua
Orange 8 02 Nov 2020 15:00 222 1.3 million 130 thousand Nicaragua
Orange 9 02 Nov 2020 21:00 241 1.8 million 140 thousand Nicaragua
Red 10 03 Nov 2020 03:00 259 4.8 million 200 thousand Nicaragua
Red 11 03 Nov 2020 09:00 204 1.4 million 120 thousand Nicaragua
Red 12 03 Nov 2020 15:00 185 2.2 million 110 thousand Nicaragua

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 31 Oct 2020 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 15, -73.2
GREEN
2 01 Nov 2020 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 15, -74.2
GREEN
3 01 Nov 2020 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 15.2, -75.7
GREEN
4 01 Nov 2020 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 14.8, -77.2
GREEN
5 01 Nov 2020 21:00 Tropical storm 102 no people <1000 people 14.9, -78.9
GREEN
6 02 Nov 2020 03:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 25000 people 14.9, -80
GREEN
7 02 Nov 2020 09:00 Category 1 120 no people 210000 people 14.8, -80.9
GREEN
8 02 Nov 2020 15:00 Category 2 176 no people 210000 people 14.8, -81.5
ORANGE
9 02 Nov 2020 21:00 Category 4 213 69000 people 460000 people 14.5, -82.3
ORANGE
10 03 Nov 2020 03:00 Category 4 241 69000 people 660000 people 14.1, -82.7
ORANGE
11 03 Nov 2020 09:00 Category 4 241 81000 people 940000 people 13.8, -83.1
ORANGE
12 03 Nov 2020 15:00 Category 4 231 26000 people 920000 people 13.6, -83.2
RED
12 04 Nov 2020 00:00 Category 3 185 110000 people 1000000 people 13.5, -83.8 Nicaragua
GREEN
12 04 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 1.6 million people 13.7, -84.9 Nicaragua
GREEN
12 05 Nov 2020 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 14.2, -86.5 Honduras
GREEN
12 05 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 14.7, -88 Honduras
GREEN
12 06 Nov 2020 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 15.2, -89 Guatemala, Honduras
GREEN
12 06 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 15.7, -89 Guatemala
GREEN
12 07 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 17.5, -86.5
GREEN
12 08 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 20, -82.5
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Nicaragua

Provinces

Region Province Country
Zelaya Nicaragua

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Siuna SIU unknown 0
Siuna 146 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Puerto Isabel Nicaragua
Cayos Miskitos Nicaragua

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

1.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.6m in Coco Haulover, Nicaragua. This height is estimated for 03 Nov 2020 20:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (242 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 12 of 03 Nov 2020 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Nov 2020 20:00 Coco Haulover Nicaragua  1.6
03 Nov 2020 20:00 Wounta Nicaragua  1.3
03 Nov 2020 20:00 Huahua Nicaragua  0.9
03 Nov 2020 20:00 Puerto Cabezas Nicaragua  0.8
03 Nov 2020 21:00 Karata Nicaragua  0.8
03 Nov 2020 22:00 Lama Laya Nicaragua  0.8
03 Nov 2020 19:00 Tuapi Nicaragua  0.7
03 Nov 2020 21:00 Hualpasika Nicaragua  0.7
03 Nov 2020 18:00 Crucira Nicaragua  0.6
03 Nov 2020 10:00 Ninayeri Nicaragua  0.6
03 Nov 2020 10:00 Ledakura Nicaragua  0.6
03 Nov 2020 10:00 Graytown Nicaragua  0.6
03 Nov 2020 11:00 Awastara Nicaragua  0.5
04 Nov 2020 11:00 Uhi Honduras  0.4
04 Nov 2020 10:00 Patlaya Honduras  0.4
03 Nov 2020 02:00 Raya Honduras  0.4
03 Nov 2020 02:00 Clubki Honduras  0.4
03 Nov 2020 22:00 Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.4
04 Nov 2020 18:00 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.3
04 Nov 2020 11:00 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.3
04 Nov 2020 11:00 Venecia Nicaragua  0.3
04 Nov 2020 11:00 Jiquilillo Nicaragua  0.3
04 Nov 2020 11:00 Condega Honduras  0.3
04 Nov 2020 11:00 Cedeno Honduras  0.3
04 Nov 2020 11:00 Santo Tomas Nicaragua  0.3
04 Nov 2020 11:00 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.3
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Boca Chica Panama  0.3
03 Nov 2020 02:00 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.3
03 Nov 2020 23:00 Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.3
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Isla Torta Panama  0.3
04 Nov 2020 09:00 Irlaya Honduras  0.3
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Barrancones Honduras  0.3
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Machacal Guatemala  0.3
03 Nov 2020 01:00 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Livingston Guatemala  0.2
04 Nov 2020 15:00 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.2
04 Nov 2020 15:00 Paso Real Mexico  0.2
02 Nov 2020 09:00 Kanko Honduras  0.2
06 Nov 2020 16:00 La Graciosa Guatemala  0.2
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Fuerte Kobbe Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Vera Cruz Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Zurrones Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Macho Creek Guatemala  0.2
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Puerto Barrios Guatemala  0.2
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Corozo Guatemala  0.2
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Barra del Motagua Guatemala  0.2
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Vaca Monte Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Llano de Mariato Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 12:00 El Sitio Panama  0.2
06 Nov 2020 16:00 Cambalache Guatemala  0.2
01 Nov 2020 22:00 Ararca Colombia  0.2
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Juan Dias Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 12:00 San Juan Guatemala  0.2
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Cocoli Guatemala  0.2
04 Nov 2020 14:00 Mullins Belize  0.2
04 Nov 2020 12:00 El Gabriel Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Calabacito Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Guacamaya Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Barro Marado Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 10:00 Pusuaya Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2020 10:00 Yahurabila Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2020 13:00 El Sitio Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Ciudad Radial Panama  0.2
06 Nov 2020 16:00 Punta Manabique Guatemala  0.2
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Saboga Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Boca de Pacora Panama  0.2
02 Nov 2020 08:00 Tay Lirila Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Stann Creek Town Belize  0.2
05 Nov 2020 04:00 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.2
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Alabama Wharf Belize  0.2
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Limones Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Puerto Real Panama  0.2
02 Nov 2020 08:00 Canco Honduras  0.2
02 Nov 2020 08:00 Barra Kruta Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Chepillo Panama  0.2
02 Nov 2020 08:00 Cauauira Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Palo Grande Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Baranca Belize  0.2
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Uvero Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Los Algarrobos Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Boca de Torin Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Chinina Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Brujas Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Guera Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Pava Grande Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Rio Chico Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Sabaneta Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Casaya Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 10:00 Barra de Caratasca Honduras  0.2
02 Nov 2020 08:00 Dapat Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Rousseau Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Lacona Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Albrook Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Taboga Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Ciudad de Panama Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Finca Bella Vista Panama  0.2
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Camibar Costa Rica  0.2
04 Nov 2020 09:00 Kaski Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 00:00 Wankluma Nicaragua  0.1
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Buena Vista Guatemala  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 San Francisco del Mar Guatemala  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Claridad Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Punta Chame Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 11:00 Set Net Nicaragua  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Farfan Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Lagartero Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Hicaco Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 12:00 El Jagua Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 12:00 El Coco Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Rio Viejo Numero 2 Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Leoncillo Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Estero el Bongon Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Rio Ostion Adentro Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Medina del Este Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 10:00 Claura Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 11:00 Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Playa Leona Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Coco Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 14:00 Freetown Area Belize  0.1
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Diafara Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 12:00 El Coquito Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Los Sabalos Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 12:00 La Pluma Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Cana Brava Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Puerto Mariato Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Floral Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 La Legua Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Palenque Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Rio Sucio Adentro Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Guinea Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 La Ensenada Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 La Puntita Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Playa Lagarto Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 11:00 Baltimore Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 11:00 Rio Platano Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 11:00 Huarta Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 11:00 Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Cerrillos Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Pueblito de San Juan Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Santa Cruz Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 La Playa Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Boca Toro Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Pena Blanca Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 La Mitra Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 El Tigre Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 La Boca de Chame Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Cruces Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Majagul Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 San Jose Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Isleta Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Arraijan Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Puerto Caimito Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Vista Alegre Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 San Vicente de Bique Panama  0.1
06 Nov 2020 17:00 New Haven Belize  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 El Morro Negro Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Tabasara Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Pajaron Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 El Torno Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Espala Abajo Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 La Estancia Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 La Vaca Panama  0.1
05 Nov 2020 05:00 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.1
05 Nov 2020 05:00 Gualora Honduras  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Piedrecitas Colombia  0.1
01 Nov 2020 20:00 Leticia Colombia  0.1
04 Nov 2020 14:00 Santa Rita Venezuela  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 El Guere Venezuela  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 El Mene Venezuela  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Las Mucuras Venezuela  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Buena Vista Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 12:00 El Porvenir Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 12:00 La Ceiba Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 11:00 Tasbarraya Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Torio Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 14:00 El Farallon del Chiru Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 14:00 Juan Hombron Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 14:00 Santa Clara Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 14:00 El Bebedero Venezuela  0.1
04 Nov 2020 14:00 Punta Igauna Venezuela  0.1
04 Nov 2020 14:00 Palmarejo Venezuela  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Josefa Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 La Cantina Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Rio Congo Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 El Grillo Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Esmeralda Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Concholon Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Mocobila Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 La Albina Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Quebrada Piedra Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 El Peru Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Rincon Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Pixvae Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 La Mona Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Limon Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Rosario Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 La Bejucosa Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Rosarito Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 14:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
06 Nov 2020 17:00 Monkey River Belize  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Cabimas Venezuela  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Punta Alegre Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Sebolleta Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Mogocenega Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Perrecenega Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Bajo Grande Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 El Encanto Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 La Palma Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Bavo Grande Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Boca del Toro Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Los Calabazos Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 16:00 Punta de Fisga Cuba  0.1
04 Nov 2020 16:00 Aguas Claras Cuba  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Chiman Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Pedro de Cocal Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Don Bernardo Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Martin Perez Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Gonzalo Vasquez Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Otoque Oriente Panama  0.1
06 Nov 2020 12:00 Cattle Landing Belize  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Charco Azul Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Hato Corrales Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Horconcitos Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Las Huacas Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Boca del Monte Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Canafistulo Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Otoque Occidente Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 La Lajas de Tole Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 El Barranco Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Honduras Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Corotu Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Corocita Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Mamey Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 La Chichicosa Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Managua Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 11:00 El Naranjo Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Boca Vieja Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 11:00 Balfate Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 11:00 Piedra Pintada Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 11:00 Agua Dulce Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2020 12:00 Orilla del Rio Panama  0.1
04 Nov 2020 13:00 Las Narices Panama  0.1