Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for ETA-20
in Nicaragua, United States, Honduras
31 Oct 2020 21 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone ETA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Nicaragua, United States, Honduras
    Exposed population 200 thousand in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 241 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 1.4 m (03 Nov 07:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Nicaragua)
    Landfall between
    02 Nov 2020 18:00 - 03 Nov 2020 06:00
    in Nicaragua

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 139 km/h 1.4 m n.a. 1.5
    Overall 241 km/h 1.4 m n.a. 1.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      139 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 290000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Orange 1 31 Oct 2020 21:00 139 7.1 million 290 thousand Nicaragua

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 31 Oct 2020 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 15, -73.2
          GREEN
          		 1 01 Nov 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 15.1, -75.6
          GREEN
          		 1 01 Nov 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 15.4, -78.3
          GREEN
          		 1 02 Nov 2020 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 210000 people 15.5, -80.4
          GREEN
          		 1 02 Nov 2020 18:00 Category 1 120 17000 people 1 million people 15.1, -82.1
          ORANGE
          		 1 03 Nov 2020 06:00 Category 1 139 110000 people 3.2 million people 14.3, -83.1 Nicaragua
          ORANGE
          		 1 03 Nov 2020 18:00 Category 1 130 200000 people 4.5 million people 13.8, -83.7 Nicaragua
          GREEN
          		 1 04 Nov 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 6.4 million people 13.5, -85.5 Nicaragua
          GREEN
          		 1 05 Nov 2020 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 14, -86.9 Honduras
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Nicaragua

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Zelaya Nicaragua
          Jinotega Nicaragua

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Puerto Cabezas Atlántico Norte Nicaragua City 34000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Puerto Cabezas PUZ 16 Civ. Paved No 8200
          Rosita RFS 63 0
          Siuna SIU unknown 0
          Siuna 146 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Cayos Miskitos Nicaragua
          Tuapi Nicaragua
          Puerto Cabezas NIPUZ Nicaragua
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          1.4 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  1.4m in Ninayeri, Nicaragua. This height is estimated for 03 Nov 2020 07:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (122 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 31 Oct 2020 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          03 Nov 2020 07:00 Ninayeri Nicaragua  1.4
          03 Nov 2020 07:00 Ledakura Nicaragua  1.4
          03 Nov 2020 07:00 Graytown Nicaragua  1.4
          03 Nov 2020 08:00 Awastara Nicaragua  1.2
          03 Nov 2020 11:00 Crucira Nicaragua  1.0
          03 Nov 2020 19:00 Lama Laya Nicaragua  0.9
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Tuapi Nicaragua  0.9
          03 Nov 2020 05:00 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.9
          03 Nov 2020 06:00 Raya Honduras  0.8
          03 Nov 2020 06:00 Clubki Honduras  0.8
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Puerto Cabezas Nicaragua  0.8
          03 Nov 2020 03:00 Kanko Honduras  0.8
          03 Nov 2020 02:00 Irlaya Honduras  0.7
          03 Nov 2020 02:00 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.7
          03 Nov 2020 17:00 Karata Nicaragua  0.7
          03 Nov 2020 17:00 Huahua Nicaragua  0.7
          03 Nov 2020 08:00 Uhi Honduras  0.6
          03 Nov 2020 06:00 Patlaya Honduras  0.5
          03 Nov 2020 18:00 Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.5
          03 Nov 2020 04:00 Canco Honduras  0.5
          03 Nov 2020 04:00 Barra Kruta Honduras  0.5
          03 Nov 2020 04:00 Tay Lirila Honduras  0.4
          03 Nov 2020 04:00 Cauauira Honduras  0.4
          03 Nov 2020 05:00 Barra de Caratasca Honduras  0.4
          03 Nov 2020 04:00 Dapat Honduras  0.4
          03 Nov 2020 05:00 Yahurabila Honduras  0.4
          03 Nov 2020 05:00 Pusuaya Honduras  0.4
          03 Nov 2020 04:00 Kaski Honduras  0.4
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Punto Miranda Venezuela  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 El Aceituno Venezuela  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Altagracia Venezuela  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Las Playitas Venezuela  0.3
          03 Nov 2020 20:00 Wounta Nicaragua  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Ararca Colombia  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 El Cucharal Venezuela  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 06:00 Claura Honduras  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Leticia Colombia  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Polonia Colombia  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Santa Ana Colombia  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Pasacaballo Colombia  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Haticos del Sur Venezuela  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Punta de Leiva Venezuela  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Jaguecito Venezuela  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 El Canito Venezuela  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Punta Igauna Venezuela  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Palmarejo Venezuela  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 08:00 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 08:00 Santo Tomas Nicaragua  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 08:00 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Pendales Colombia  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Porto Nao Colombia  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 El Bebedero Venezuela  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Santa Rita Venezuela  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 El Guere Venezuela  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 El Mene Venezuela  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Las Mucuras Venezuela  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 21:00 Hualpasika Nicaragua  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Palmarejo Venezuela  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 El Bajo Venezuela  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Barrancas Venezuela  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Bajo Grande Venezuela  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Cabimas Venezuela  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 06:00 Huarta Honduras  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Perrecenega Panama  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Bajo Grande Panama  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 La Palma Panama  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Bavo Grande Panama  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 La Concepcion Venezuela  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Zaragocilla Colombia  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Santa Maria Colombia  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Mogocenega Panama  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Punta Gordo Venezuela  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Pedregalito Venezuela  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 San Antonio Venezuela  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 San Matias Venezuela  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Lagunillas Venezuela  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Cabeza de Toro Venezuela  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Saboga Panama  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Boca de Torin Panama  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Chinina Panama  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Chiman Panama  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Brujas Panama  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Guera Panama  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Pava Grande Panama  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 22:00 Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 06:00 Rio Platano Honduras  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 06:00 Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Buena Vista Panama  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Sebolleta Panama  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 El Encanto Panama  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Baru Colombia  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Tolu Colombia  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 La Pica Roja Venezuela  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 La Vaca Venezuela  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 El Porvenir Venezuela  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Agua Clara Venezuela  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Ciuiad Ojeda Venezuela  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 21:00 Wankluma Nicaragua  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 06:00 Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 13:00 Mayorquin Colombia  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Rincon Colombia  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 22:00 Port Royal Jamaica  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 13:00 Hiqueron Colombia  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 13:00 Montemar Colombia  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Majagual Colombia  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Libertad Colombia  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Cenicita Colombia  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Corea Venezuela  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Los Ahorcados Venezuela  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Rosario Venezuela  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Troja del Tigre Venezuela  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 La Peluda Venezuela  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 22:00 Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 06:00 Mocobila Honduras  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 09:00 Baltimore Honduras  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Punta Alegre Panama  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Patino Panama  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Barro Colorado Panama  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Quebrada Honda Panama  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 09:00 Tasbarraya Honduras  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 18:00 La Graciosa Guatemala  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 18:00 Machacal Guatemala  0.1