Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for GONI-20
in Philippines
29 Oct 2020 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone GONI-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Philippines
    Exposed population 24.4 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 315 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (01 Nov 14:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Philippines)
    Landfall between
    01 Nov 2020 00:00 - 02 Nov 2020 00:00
    in Philippines

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 222 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 2.5
    Overall 315 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 2.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      222 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 6.5 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Orange 1 28 Oct 2020 00:00 167 53.6 million 24 million Philippines
        Red 2 28 Oct 2020 06:00 194 50.1 million 25.8 million Philippines
        Orange 3 28 Oct 2020 12:00 148 50.4 million 2.3 million Philippines
        Red 4 28 Oct 2020 18:00 194 51.2 million 2.2 million Philippines
        Red 5 29 Oct 2020 00:00 222 49.7 million 6.5 million Philippines

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 28 Oct 2020 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 16.6, 140.1
          GREEN
          		 2 28 Oct 2020 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 16.6, 139.5
          GREEN
          		 3 28 Oct 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 16.6, 138.7
          GREEN
          		 4 28 Oct 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 16.6, 137.5
          GREEN
          		 5 29 Oct 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 16.5, 136.6
          GREEN
          		 5 29 Oct 2020 12:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 16.4, 134.5
          GREEN
          		 5 30 Oct 2020 00:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 16.1, 132.5
          GREEN
          		 5 30 Oct 2020 12:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 15.6, 130.7
          GREEN
          		 5 31 Oct 2020 00:00 Category 3 194 no people 2.5 million people 15, 129
          RED
          		 5 01 Nov 2020 00:00 Category 4 222 6.5 million people 49.7 million people 14.2, 124.9
          ORANGE
          		 5 02 Nov 2020 00:00 Category 1 148 240000 people 24 million people 15.5, 119.8 Philippines
          GREEN
          		 5 03 Nov 2020 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 16.3, 115.4
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Philippines

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Bicol Philippines
          Southern Tagalog Philippines
          Central Luzon Philippines
          Ilocos Philippines

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Cabanatuan Central Luzon Philippines City 220000 people
          San Miguel Central Luzon Philippines City 66000 people
          Baliuag Central Luzon Philippines City 130000 people
          Pulilan Central Luzon Philippines City 76000 people
          San Fernando Central Luzon Philippines City 250000 people
          Tarlac Central Luzon Philippines City 180000 people
          Guagua Central Luzon Philippines City 9300 people
          Angeles Central Luzon Philippines City 290000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Fort Magsaysay 57 Mil. Paved No 6300
          Clark AB CRK 146 Civ. Paved Yes 10400
          Basa AB 46 Mil. Paved No 8300
          Iba 3 Civ. Paved No 3200

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Polillo Island Philippines
          Masinloc PHMSC Philippines
          Iba Philippines
          Baluante Philippines

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Angat Angat 1968
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.6 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Cabungalunan, Philippines. This height is estimated for 01 Nov 2020 14:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (132 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 5 of 29 Oct 2020 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          01 Nov 2020 14:00 Cabungalunan Philippines  0.6
          01 Nov 2020 13:00 Calutcot Philippines  0.5
          01 Nov 2020 14:00 Panukulan Philippines  0.5
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Kinasakitan Philippines  0.5
          01 Nov 2020 14:00 Abucay Philippines  0.4
          01 Nov 2020 21:00 Pamarauan Philippines  0.4
          01 Nov 2020 19:00 Manila Philippines  0.4
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Libjo Philippines  0.4
          01 Nov 2020 20:00 Meycauayan Philippines  0.4
          01 Nov 2020 14:00 Binibitinan Philippines  0.4
          01 Nov 2020 14:00 Ngalan Philippines  0.4
          01 Nov 2020 19:00 Tanza Philippines  0.4
          01 Nov 2020 19:00 Tinajeros Philippines  0.4
          01 Nov 2020 19:00 Caloocan Philippines  0.4
          01 Nov 2020 22:00 Abucay Philippines  0.4
          01 Nov 2020 21:00 Samal Philippines  0.4
          01 Nov 2020 21:00 Hermosa Philippines  0.4
          01 Nov 2020 21:00 Orani Philippines  0.4
          01 Nov 2020 06:00 Union Philippines  0.4
          01 Nov 2020 06:00 Tinambac Philippines  0.4
          01 Nov 2020 06:00 Magtang Philippines  0.4
          01 Nov 2020 06:00 Lamon Philippines  0.4
          01 Nov 2020 12:00 Jomalig Philippines  0.4
          01 Nov 2020 13:00 Polillo Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Cabog Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 14:00 Patnanongan Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 22:00 Balanga Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 23:00 Masinloc Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 03:00 Bikal Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 21:00 Imus Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 06:00 Miguel Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 03:00 Bagas Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 06:00 San Vicente Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 14:00 Magdalo Philippines  0.3
          02 Nov 2020 00:00 Palauig Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 19:00 Cavite Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 04:00 Bitaogan Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 05:00 Balaton Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 09:00 Banacboc Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Infanta Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 23:00 Oyong Philippines  0.3
          01 Nov 2020 03:00 Pandan Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 06:00 Tandoc Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 09:00 Alayao Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Bisliang Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Dingalan Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 20:00 Tanza Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 20:00 Binakayan Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 04:00 Calolbon Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 20:00 Tehero Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 23:00 Iba Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 20:00 Amaya Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 22:00 Pilar Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 23:00 Botolan Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 03:00 Garchitorena Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 20:00 General Trias Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 22:00 Orion Philippines  0.2
          02 Nov 2020 00:00 Lauis Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 05:00 Barceloneta Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 03:00 Gitoma Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 04:00 Adiagnao Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 03:00 Guijalo Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 03:00 Pandanan Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 03:00 Manambrag Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 03:00 Mapid Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 03:00 Colongcogong Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 21:00 Limay Philippines  0.2
          02 Nov 2020 00:00 Lacapon Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 22:00 Lingayen Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 22:00 Labangan Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 22:00 Damaloguen Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 22:00 Capantolan Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 22:00 Mangas Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 03:00 Sialat Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 10:00 Binauangan Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 10:00 Capalonga Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 10:00 Calaguikhik Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 10:00 Pangas Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 03:00 Caramoan Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 23:00 Cabangan Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 23:00 Maloma Philippines  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 02:00 Panganiban Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 03:00 Gongonan Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 10:00 Mactang Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 09:00 Jose Panganiban Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 20:00 Naic Philippines  0.1
          02 Nov 2020 00:00 Baluarte Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 22:00 Panasgasan Philippines  0.1
          02 Nov 2020 00:00 Dolaoan Philippines  0.1
          02 Nov 2020 00:00 Pilar Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 05:00 Mandao Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 21:00 Cabcaben Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 22:00 San Felipe Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 15:00 Baler Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 23:00 Pamaoran Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 23:00 Lucap Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 23:00 Santiago Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 23:00 Tondol Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 06:00 Vinzons Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 06:00 Talaga Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 06:00 Tagontong Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 06:00 Mambongalon Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 05:00 Barana Philippines  0.1
          02 Nov 2020 00:00 Tambobong Philippines  0.1
          02 Nov 2020 00:00 Betogoc Philippines  0.1
          02 Nov 2020 00:00 Ul Philippines  0.1
          02 Nov 2020 00:00 Amalbalan Philippines  0.1
          02 Nov 2020 00:00 Dasol Philippines  0.1
          02 Nov 2020 00:00 Egnia Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 09:00 Calauag Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 21:00 Maniboc Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 21:00 Binmale Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 22:00 Olongapo Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 09:00 Paracale Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 21:00 Maragondon Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 23:00 Pundaquit Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 22:00 San Narciso Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 08:00 Talingting Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 10:00 Lopez Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 20:00 Canaoalan Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 20:00 Carael Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 20:00 Dagupan Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 23:00 Alaminos Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 20:00 Bateng Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 02:00 Bagalay Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 06:00 Daet Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Real Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 22:00 San Antonio Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 23:00 Infanta Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Buenavista Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 22:00 Nabaul Philippines  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 22:00 Subic Philippines  0.1